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374 N Turkey Pine Loop
D Composite 43.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$319,900

374 N Turkey Pine Loop · Lecanto, FL 34461
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,102 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1994 10,380 sqft lot Est $336k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INGROUND HEATED POOL, 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, 3 CAR GARAGE AND LARGE MASTER SUITE, ARE JUST A FEW OF THE AMENDITIES THAT GO WITH THIS WONDERFUL HOME. 3 WALKIN CLOSETS, LOTS OF STORAGE AND INSIDE LAUNDRY. CALL ME FOR MORE DETAILS.

Key facts

  • Mother in law suite
  • Community pool
  • Screened lanai

Tags

SCREENED LANAIGARDEN TUBWALK IN CLOSETMOTHER IN LAW SUITERV BOAT STORAGECOMMUNITY POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community pool; Clubhouse

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 3 garage spaces (total 3 parking spaces); Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Faces south; Stucco exterior
  • Construction: Built on block and slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Sliding doors; In-ground pool with screen enclosure; Rectangular, paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Laminate counters
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Master bedroom on the main floor; Blinds and window coverings

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($846/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (19.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.2% in Lecanto — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#680 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rock Crusher Elementary School (math 70% / reading 56%, grade B, #582 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 665 students, 68% FRL); Crystal River Middle School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #286 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 900 students, 64% FRL); Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,573/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 41% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $149k; list at $320k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $257,328 (19.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.94%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$336,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
199 N Crystal Meadow Path 0.34mi 4/3.0 2,039 (-3%) 2mo $405,000 $199 78
470 N Bluejack Pt 0.08mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,380 (+13%) 0mo $275,000 $116 67
258 N Mesquite Pt 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,179 (+4%) 12mo $339,900 $156 65
5613 W Crossmoor Pl 0.58mi 4/3.0 2,077 (-1%) 10mo $335,000 $161 63
158 N Skyflower Pt 0.46mi 4/2.0 2,046 (-3%) 10mo $335,000 $164 61
1105 N Commerce Ter 0.64mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,156 (+3%) 1mo $250,000 $116 58
176 N Crystal Meadow Path 0.38mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,905 (-9%) 8mo $415,000 $218 55
489 N Turkey Pine Loop 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,839 (-12%) 11mo $295,000 $160 54
5617 W Hunters Ridge Cir 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,025 (-4%) 2mo $287,500 $142 54
5434 W Dayflower Path 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,066 (-2%) 12mo $330,000 $160 54
5420 W Heather Ridge Path 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,316 (+10%) 2mo $270,000 $117 52
65 N Leafland Pt 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,317 (+10%) 2mo $300,000 $129 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-47,462
Equity at exit
$47,698
10-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-36,010
Equity at exit
$27,659

Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34461

Home prices YoY
-10.2%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,573 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,818/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$540
Net cashflow
$70

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,484
Max offer price $319,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $252 -5% $161 +0% $70 +5% $-20 +10% $-111
Rent -10% $-133 -5% $-31 +0% $70 +5% $172 +10% $274
Rate -1.0pp $232 -0.5pp $152 base $70 +0.5pp $-12 +1.0pp $-97

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,975
Closing costs
$9,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1165 N Commerce Ter Lecanto, FL 3.0 2.5 1697 $1,800 $1.06 23d 1 0.67mi
6384 W Flanders Ln Crystal River, FL 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,250 $1.25 23d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-14
    listed $319,900 Active
  3. 2013-04-24
    soldstatus $149,000
  4. 2013-04-18
    soldstatus $149,500 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    INGROUND HEATED POOL, 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, 3 CAR GARAGE AND LARGE MASTER SUITE, ARE JUST A FEW OF THE AMENDITIES THAT GO WITH THIS WONDERFUL HOME. 3 WALKIN CLOSETS, LOTS OF STORAGE AND INSIDE LAUNDRY. CALL ME FOR MORE DETAILS.

  5. 2013-02-14
    listed $165,000 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    INGROUND HEATED POOL, 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, 3 CAR GARAGE AND LARGE MASTER SUITE, ARE JUST A FEW OF THE AMENDITIES THAT GO WITH THIS WONDERFUL HOME. 3 WALKIN CLOSETS, LOTS OF STORAGE AND INSIDE LAUNDRY. CALL ME FOR MORE DETAILS.

  6. 2006-06-05
    soldstatus $245,000
  7. 2006-06-01
    soldstatus $245,000 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    THIS HOME IS HUGE! 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, 3 CAR GARAGE W/ POOL! SEPARATE LIVING AND FAMILY ROOMS, POOL BATH, LANAI, FENCED DOGGIE RUN ARE SOME OF THE AMENITIES. OUTSIDE YOU LL FIND GARDEN CURBING AND GUTTERS. NO NEIGHBOR BEHIND YOU EITHER. JUST A REAL NICE AND CLEAN HOME LOCATED IN A VERY NICE NEIGHBORHOOD. SELLER PROVIDING HOME WARRANTY.

  8. 2006-03-13
    listed $269,900 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    THIS HOME IS HUGE! 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, 3 CAR GARAGE W/ POOL! SEPARATE LIVING AND FAMILY ROOMS, POOL BATH, LANAI, FENCED DOGGIE RUN ARE SOME OF THE AMENITIES. OUTSIDE YOU LL FIND GARDEN CURBING AND GUTTERS. NO NEIGHBOR BEHIND YOU EITHER. JUST A REAL NICE AND CLEAN HOME LOCATED IN A VERY NICE NEIGHBORHOOD. SELLER PROVIDING HOME WARRANTY.

  9. 1993-11-01
    soldstatus $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,818 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,655 · $221/mo
Expected delta
+$837/yr (+$70/mo · 46.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,879
− Mortgage interest
−$17,919
− Property taxes
−$1,818
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,470
− Management
−$2,470
− Depreciation
−$9,306
Taxable loss
−$4,705
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,129
After-tax cash flow
$1,975/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lecanto

Score
64/100
State rank
#680
US rank
#14112

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Citrus County · 111,314 people
City population
13,377
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
Population (ZIP)
13,377
Household income
$63,418
Rent vs Own
10.7% rent · 89.3% own
Severe rent burden
41.0

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.48%
Current HPI
258.0866
Rent YoY
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1629.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending RACC
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $319,900 RACC
  • 2013-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $149,000 Public Records
  • 2013-04-18 Sold (MLS) $149,500 RACC
  • 2013-02-14 Listed $165,000 RACC
  • 2006-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-01 Sold (MLS) $245,000 RACC
  • 2006-03-13 Listed $269,900 RACC
  • 1993-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,818 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…