374 N Turkey Pine Loop · Lecanto, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INGROUND HEATED POOL, 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, 3 CAR GARAGE AND LARGE MASTER SUITE, ARE JUST A FEW OF THE AMENDITIES THAT GO WITH THIS WONDERFUL HOME. 3 WALKIN CLOSETS, LOTS OF STORAGE AND INSIDE LAUNDRY. CALL ME FOR MORE DETAILS.
Key facts
- Mother in law suite
- Community pool
- Screened lanai
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community pool; Clubhouse
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 3 garage spaces (total 3 parking spaces); Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Faces south; Stucco exterior
- Construction: Built on block and slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Sliding doors; In-ground pool with screen enclosure; Rectangular, paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Laminate counters
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Master bedroom on the main floor; Blinds and window coverings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($846/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (19.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $257k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.2% in Lecanto — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#680 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rock Crusher Elementary School (math 70% / reading 56%, grade B, #582 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 665 students, 68% FRL); Crystal River Middle School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #286 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 900 students, 64% FRL); Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,573/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 41% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $149k; list at $320k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.94%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $336,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199 N Crystal Meadow Path | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 | 2,039 (-3%) | 2mo | $405,000 | $199 | 78 |
| 470 N Bluejack Pt | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,380 (+13%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $116 | 67 |
| 258 N Mesquite Pt | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,179 (+4%) | 12mo | $339,900 | $156 | 65 |
| 5613 W Crossmoor Pl | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 2,077 (-1%) | 10mo | $335,000 | $161 | 63 |
| 158 N Skyflower Pt | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 2,046 (-3%) | 10mo | $335,000 | $164 | 61 |
| 1105 N Commerce Ter | 0.64mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,156 (+3%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $116 | 58 |
| 176 N Crystal Meadow Path | 0.38mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,905 (-9%) | 8mo | $415,000 | $218 | 55 |
| 489 N Turkey Pine Loop | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,839 (-12%) | 11mo | $295,000 | $160 | 54 |
| 5617 W Hunters Ridge Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,025 (-4%) | 2mo | $287,500 | $142 | 54 |
| 5434 W Dayflower Path | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,066 (-2%) | 12mo | $330,000 | $160 | 54 |
| 5420 W Heather Ridge Path | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,316 (+10%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 65 N Leafland Pt | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,317 (+10%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $129 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-47,462
- Equity at exit
- $47,698
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-36,010
- Equity at exit
- $27,659
Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34461
- Home prices YoY
- -10.2%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,573 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,818/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$540
- Net cashflow
- $70
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $252 | -5% $161 | +0% $70 | +5% $-20 | +10% $-111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-133 | -5% $-31 | +0% $70 | +5% $172 | +10% $274 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $232 | -0.5pp $152 | base $70 | +0.5pp $-12 | +1.0pp $-97 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,975
- Closing costs
- $9,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1165 N Commerce Ter Lecanto, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1697 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6384 W Flanders Ln Crystal River, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-14$319,900 Active
-
2013-04-24soldstatus $149,000
-
2013-04-18soldstatus $149,500 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
INGROUND HEATED POOL, 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, 3 CAR GARAGE AND LARGE MASTER SUITE, ARE JUST A FEW OF THE AMENDITIES THAT GO WITH THIS WONDERFUL HOME. 3 WALKIN CLOSETS, LOTS OF STORAGE AND INSIDE LAUNDRY. CALL ME FOR MORE DETAILS.
-
2013-02-14$165,000 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
INGROUND HEATED POOL, 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, 3 CAR GARAGE AND LARGE MASTER SUITE, ARE JUST A FEW OF THE AMENDITIES THAT GO WITH THIS WONDERFUL HOME. 3 WALKIN CLOSETS, LOTS OF STORAGE AND INSIDE LAUNDRY. CALL ME FOR MORE DETAILS.
-
2006-06-05soldstatus $245,000
-
2006-06-01soldstatus $245,000 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
THIS HOME IS HUGE! 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, 3 CAR GARAGE W/ POOL! SEPARATE LIVING AND FAMILY ROOMS, POOL BATH, LANAI, FENCED DOGGIE RUN ARE SOME OF THE AMENITIES. OUTSIDE YOU LL FIND GARDEN CURBING AND GUTTERS. NO NEIGHBOR BEHIND YOU EITHER. JUST A REAL NICE AND CLEAN HOME LOCATED IN A VERY NICE NEIGHBORHOOD. SELLER PROVIDING HOME WARRANTY.
-
2006-03-13$269,900 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
THIS HOME IS HUGE! 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, 3 CAR GARAGE W/ POOL! SEPARATE LIVING AND FAMILY ROOMS, POOL BATH, LANAI, FENCED DOGGIE RUN ARE SOME OF THE AMENITIES. OUTSIDE YOU LL FIND GARDEN CURBING AND GUTTERS. NO NEIGHBOR BEHIND YOU EITHER. JUST A REAL NICE AND CLEAN HOME LOCATED IN A VERY NICE NEIGHBORHOOD. SELLER PROVIDING HOME WARRANTY.
-
1993-11-01soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,818 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,655 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- +$837/yr (+$70/mo · 46.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,879
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,919
- − Property taxes
- −$1,818
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,470
- − Management
- −$2,470
- − Depreciation
- −$9,306
- Taxable loss
- −$4,705
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,129
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,975/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lecanto
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #680
- US rank
- #14112
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- City population
- 13,377
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,377
- Household income
- $63,418
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 41.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.48%
- Current HPI
- 258.0866
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1629.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — RACC
- 2026-05-14 Listed $319,900 RACC
- 2013-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $149,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-18 Sold (MLS) $149,500 RACC
- 2013-02-14 Listed $165,000 RACC
- 2006-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-01 Sold (MLS) $245,000 RACC
- 2006-03-13 Listed $269,900 RACC
- 1993-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,818 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…