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215 N Hamilton St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 60.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$389,000

215 N Hamilton St · Poughkeepsie, NY 12601
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,590 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1900 0.26 ac lot Est $686k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to own a centrally located 2-family in the City of Poughkeepsie! Each unit offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Unit 1 is currently rented at $2,000/month. Unit 2 is vacant - Ideal for an owner-occupant looking to live in one unit while rental income helps offset your mortgage. Property features include separate electric meters, oil heat, and private driveway parking. A laundromat directly across the street offers added everyday convenience. Easy commuter location with nearby Route 9 shopping, restaurants, colleges, hospitals, the Culinary Institute of America, public transportation, and the train station. Solid investment potential with income opportunity in a commuter-friendly location - Call today!

Key facts

  • Oil heat
  • Nearby shopping
  • Nearby restaurants

Tags

SEPARATE ELECTRIC METERSOIL HEATOFF-STREET DRIVEWAY PARKINGEASY COMMUTER LOCATIONNEARBY SHOPPINGNEARBY RESTAURANTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $389,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$686,284) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $389k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $230/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $389k).
  • Recommended offer: $377k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.4% in Poughkeepsie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#165 in NY, #2,577 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Poughkeepsie City School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #559 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,358/mo this rent would consume 82% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 2891% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($377k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $165k; list at $389k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $377,330 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.07%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$686,284
List price
$389,000
Delta
-43.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 N Clinton St 0.06mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,400 (-7%) 18mo $375,000 $156 65
32 Balding Ave 0.47mi 4/2.0 2,452 (-5%) 5mo $405,000 $165 65
70 N Hamilton St 0.47mi 4/2.0 2,570 (-1%) 23mo $360,000 $140 57
93 Delafield St 0.72mi 4/2.0 2,750 (+6%) 1mo $385,000 $140 55
2-4 Elm Pl 0.33mi 4/4.0 2,309 (-11%) 6mo $357,000 $155 53
44 Conklin St 0.57mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,760 (+7%) 12mo $377,000 $137 48
91 Smith St 0.63mi 4/2.0 2,400 (-7%) 14mo $285,000 $119 47
29 Cottage St 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,976 (+15%) 10mo $270,000 $91 46
63 Lent St 0.72mi 4/2.0 2,344 (-10%) 15mo $275,000 $117 38
66 Lent St 0.74mi 4/2.0 2,344 (-10%) 24mo $430,000 $183 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-30,540
Equity at exit
$58,001
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$24,427
Equity at exit
$33,634

Cash invested: $108,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12601

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,358 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,040
Tax from tax record
$781 /mo · $9,371/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$915
Net cashflow
$460

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,776
Max offer price $389,000
Occupancy floor 84%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,358

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,250
Closing costs
$11,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
236 Mansion St #2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 2076 $2,600 $1.25 43d 1 0.59mi
32 Salt Point Tpke Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 2.5 1761 $3,000 $1.70 21d 1 0.70mi
15 Forbus St Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 2140 $2,500 $1.17 23d 1 1.26mi
212 S Cherry St Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 4.0 1.5 3100 $2,950 $0.95 14d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $389,000 Pending 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $389,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $389,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $389,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $389,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $389,000 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-04-07
    listed $389,000 Active 729-char remark
    Show marketing remark (729 chars)

    Great opportunity to own a centrally located 2-family in the City of Poughkeepsie! Each unit offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Unit 1 is currently rented at $2,000/month. Unit 2 is vacant - Ideal for an owner-occupant looking to live in one unit while rental income helps offset your mortgage. Property features include separate electric meters, oil heat, and private driveway parking. A laundromat directly across the street offers added everyday convenience. Easy commuter location with nearby Route 9 shopping, restaurants, colleges, hospitals, the Culinary Institute of America, public transportation, and the train station. Solid investment potential with income opportunity in a commuter-friendly location - Call today!

  8. 2023-08-10
    soldstatus $165,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,371 · $781/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,371 · $781/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,296
− Mortgage interest
−$21,790
− Property taxes
−$9,371
− Insurance
−$1,945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,184
− Management
−$4,184
− Depreciation
−$11,316
Taxable loss
−$493
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$118
After-tax cash flow
$5,637/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Poughkeepsie City School District
NCES district ID
3623760
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$39,159
Composite
29.68/100
National rank
#6459
State rank
#559 of 590 in NY

Livability — Poughkeepsie

Score
78/100
State rank
#165
US rank
#2577

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime F Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poughkeepsie, NY
County
Dutchess County · 188,048 people
City population
86,468
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
Population (ZIP)
44,164
Household income
$63,652
Rent vs Own
56.8% rent · 43.2% own
Severe rent burden
2891.0

Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
291,768 people
By 2030
287,131 · -1.6%
By 2040
274,881 · -5.8%
By 2050
259,971 · -10.9%
By 2075
235,366 · -19.3%
By 2100
208,786 · -28.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 17% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.62%
Current HPI
293.9789
Rent YoY
▲ 3.67%
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $389,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,371 · +29.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…