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9553 Auburn St
C+ Composite 63.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

9553 Auburn St · Detroit, MI 48228
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 857 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 414 Days on market
Built 1946 5,227 sqft lot $111/sqft · 97% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special , very well maintained houses. Buy it by itself or as a bundle with these listings :7661 Penrod, 18651 Warwick , 16559 Mansfield , 18699 Forrer . .BATVAI

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1946

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,195/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 414 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $95k implies a 1627% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 414 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.27%
Cash-on-cash
14.20%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$48,113
List price
$95,000
Delta
97.45%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9634 Evergreen Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 912 (+6%) 3mo $23,000 $25 81
11329 Minock St 0.31mi 3/1.0 816 (-5%) 4mo $50,000 $61 75
9244 Heyden 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 801 (-6%) 0mo $35,000 $44 68
9534 Heyden St 0.23mi 3/1.0 960 (+12%) 3mo $100,000 $104 67
8686 Artesian St 0.71mi 3/1.0 864 (+1%) 2mo $35,000 $41 64
9109 Stahelin Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 836 (-2%) 3mo $25,000 $30 64
9252 Fielding St 0.42mi 4/1.0 (+1) 807 (-6%) 3mo $50,000 $62 63
9221 Grandville Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 971 (+13%) 2mo $135,000 $139 61
9012 Pierson St 0.68mi 3/1.0 910 (+6%) 0mo $60,000 $66 58
9072 Burt Rd 0.70mi 3/1.0 906 (+6%) 2mo $57,000 $63 56
11700 Auburn St 0.54mi 3/1.5 964 (+12%) 3mo $55,000 $57 49
11419 Braile St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 969 (+13%) 2mo $45,000 $46 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,158
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$13,299
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
363
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,195 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,101/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $797
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 950 $1,500 $1.58 43d 1 0.14mi
20522 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.40mi
20529 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.40mi
9401 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.40mi
20541 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.41mi
20550 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.41mi
9410 Patton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.42mi
20545 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.42mi
20547 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.42mi
9404 Patton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.43mi
20619 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 43d 1 0.45mi
11652 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,386 $1.39 43d 1 0.59mi
9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 787 $1,250 $1.59 43d 1 0.59mi
19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 43d 1 0.63mi
20921 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.65mi
18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,117 $1.62 1d 15 0.66mi
20935 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.66mi
12084 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 0.67mi
20937 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.67mi
20945 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.67mi
9416 Trinity St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.68mi
9059 Burt Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 980 $1,400 $1.43 43d 1 0.74mi
11704 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1046 $1,300 $1.24 24d 1 0.79mi
11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1124 $1,400 $1.25 16d 1 0.88mi
8283 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,294 $1.22 4d 1 0.89mi
8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,100 $1.18 17d 1 0.93mi
9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 4d 1 1.02mi
8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 867 $1,150 $1.33 43d 1 1.07mi
8270 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 806 $1,528 $1.90 43d 1 1.10mi
20431 Tireman St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,350 $1.32 17d 1 1.14mi
7794 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 16d 1 1.14mi
8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 836 $1,200 $1.44 4d 1 1.18mi
13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,200 $1.41 43d 1 1.27mi
7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 690 $1,350 $1.96 43d 1 1.29mi
19050 W Davison St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1118 $1,400 $1.25 43d 1 1.30mi
12875 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 735 $1,200 $1.63 4d 1 1.32mi
12950 Glastonbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 1.34mi
13514 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 1.35mi
7411 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 888 $1,428 $1.61 12d 1 1.40mi
12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $1,050 $1.43 43d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 414 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 413 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 411 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 409 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 408 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 405 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 404 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 403 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 400 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 399 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 397 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 396 DOM
  13. 2025-04-30
    listed $95,000 Active 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Investor special , very well maintained houses. Buy it by itself or as a bundle with these listings :7661 Penrod, 18651 Warwick , 16559 Mansfield , 18699 Forrer . .BATVAI

  14. 2025-04-30
    listed $95,000 Active 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Investor special , very well maintained houses. Buy it by itself or as a bundle with these listings :7661 Penrod, 18651 Warwick , 16559 Mansfield , 18699 Forrer . .BATVAI

  15. 2025-04-29
    historical $95,000 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Investor special , very well maintained houses. Buy it by itself or as a bundle with these listings :7661 Penrod, 18651 Warwick , 16559 Mansfield , 18699 Forrer . .BATVAI

  16. 2011-12-20
    historical
  17. 2011-10-04
    listed $650
  18. 2011-08-30
    soldstatus $5,500
  19. 2011-08-30
    soldstatus $5,500
  20. 2011-08-30
    soldstatus $5,500
  21. 2011-08-24
    historical
  22. 2011-04-24
    listed $19,900
  23. 2011-04-24
    listed $19,900
  24. 2011-04-24
    listed $19,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,101 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,282 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$181/yr (+$15/mo · 16.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 6% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,345
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,101
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,148
− Management
−$1,148
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$2,389
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$573
After-tax cash flow
$3,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+377.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2025-04-30 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-30 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-29 Coming Soon $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-12-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-10-04 Listed $650 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-08-30 Sold (MLS) $5,500 REALCOMP
  • 2011-08-30 Sold (MLS) $5,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-08-30 Sold (MLS) $5,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-08-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-04-24 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2011-04-24 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-04-24 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,101 · -8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…