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4515 Wilmington Pike 8-Plex
B Composite 74.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$543,752

4515 Wilmington Pike · Kettering, OH 45440
64 bd · 64.0 ba · 5,244 sqft · MultiFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1977 Good condition 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 8 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

8-unit multifamily investment opportunity locations on Wilmington Pike in Kettering. Property consists of Eight 1-Bedroom units with shared laundry facilities available within the building. Existing appliances currently on site convey with the property. Building is serviced by a single water meter and includes approximately 9 off street parking spaces located behind the building. Property is currently fully vacant with no tenants in place. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, employment centers and major transportation routes, offering strong accessibility for tenants and long-term investment potential. Property presents an opportunity for improvements updates, and value-add potenti

Key facts

  • Strong accessibility
  • Value-add potential
  • 0.34 acre lot

Tags

SHARED LAUNDRY FACILITIESEXISTING APPLIANCES CONVEYOFF STREET PARKING SPACESSTRONG ACCESSIBILITYVALUE-ADD POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Water service available
  • Home design: Two-story building; Single building containing all units
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.34-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Residential zoning; Public water available

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: All units are one-bedroom units (8 total)
  • Bathrooms: Eight full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Individual heating; Wall-mounted cooling units
  • Interior features: Individual heating for each unit; Wall cooling units
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $544k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $357/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $544k).
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.4% in Kettering — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#61 in OH, #922 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Kettering City School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #277 of 656 in OH (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $8,370/mo this rent would consume 122% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 626% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $152k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $543,752

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.59%
Cash-on-cash
22.50%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$105,344
Equity at exit
$81,075
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$374,950
Equity at exit
$47,014

Cash invested: $152,251 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45440

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
43.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,370 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,851
Tax est. 1.5%
$680 /mo · $8,156/yr
Insurance
$227
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,758
Net cashflow
$2,855

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,757
Max offer price $543,752
Occupancy floor 61%

8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (8 units) $8,370

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$135,938
Closing costs
$16,313
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $543,752 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $543,752 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $543,752 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $543,752 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-05-27
    listed $543,752 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$100,440
− Mortgage interest
−$30,459
− Property taxes
−$8,156
− Insurance
−$2,719
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,035
− Management
−$8,035
− Depreciation
−$15,818
Taxable income
$27,218
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,532
After-tax cash flow
$27,722/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 8-unit multifamily property is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting the exterior and maintaining the landscaping would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kettering City School District
NCES district ID
3904418
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$50,353
Composite
51.89/100
National rank
#1653
State rank
#277 of 656 in OH

Livability — Kettering

Score
83/100
State rank
#61
US rank
#922

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kettering, OH
County
Greene County · 132,120 people
City population
73,116
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
22,358
Household income
$82,383
Rent vs Own
37.6% rent · 62.4% own
Severe rent burden
626.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -168.53%
Current HPI
217.1026
Rent YoY
▲ 4.35%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $543,752 Dayton MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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