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53 Old E C Womack Rd
C+ Composite 61.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$157,700

53 Old E C Womack Rd · Sanford, NC 27330
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,028 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 224 Days on market
Built 1962 1.52 ac lot Est $212k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come one come all - first time buyers, investors, those wanting to down size, or how about those who want to get away from city life and move to the country. Don't let this little house fool you. It's just off Buckhorn Rd sitting on 1.5+ acres. With some love and care this cutie pie could be a super nice home! If you've been looking for a home in todays market then you know its hard to find a home sitting on 1.52 acres under 200k. Yes this house needs work, but you can soon call it home and get started on its redesign. living room, 2 bedrooms per septic permit, believe it or not it has 2 baths, laundry in bathroom, kitchen and open area that could be used as a living room/ flex space/ you

Key facts

  • 1.5 acres
  • 1.52 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

1.5 ACRES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Holding tank or septic tank for sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Lot is approximately 1.52 acres; Zoned residential

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating
  • Interior features: Range; Refrigerator; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $158k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (2.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.6% in Sanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#92 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, commute F.
  • Lee County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #131 of 178 in NC (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Lee Middle (math 21% / reading 37%, grade F, #350 of 475 statewide, top 74%, 531 students, 71% FRL); Lee County High (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #381 of 535 statewide, top 72%, 1,508 students, 60% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 528 active listings in the ZIP; 602 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $158k implies a 531% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,776 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.20%
Cash-on-cash
6.80%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,768
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4662 Buckhorn Rd 0.43mi 2/1.0 900 (-12%) 17mo $185,000 $206 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-7,060
Equity at exit
$23,514
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$25,242
Equity at exit
$13,635

Cash invested: $44,156 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27330

Home prices YoY
-19.4%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
528
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,538 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$827
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $867/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,222
Max offer price $157,700
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $339 -5% $295 +0% $250 +5% $206 +10% $161
Rent -10% $129 -5% $189 +0% $250 +5% $311 +10% $372
Rate -1.0pp $330 -0.5pp $290 base $250 +0.5pp $209 +1.0pp $168

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,425
Closing costs
$4,731
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $157,700 Active 224 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $157,700 Active 222 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $157,700 Active 221 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $157,700 Active 220 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $157,700 Active 219 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $157,700 Active 218 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $157,700 Active 216 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $157,700 Active 215 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $157,700 Active 213 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $157,700 Active 212 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $157,700 Active 211 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $157,700 Active 210 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $157,700 Active 207 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $157,700 Active 206 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $157,700 Active 205 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $157,700 Active 204 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $157,700 Active 203 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $157,700 Active 202 DOM
  19. 2026-05-02
    status Active
  20. 2026-05-02
    price $157,700
  21. 2026-03-30
    status Active
  22. 2026-03-14
    status Pending
  23. 2026-03-04
    price $167,700
  24. 2025-12-23
    price $177,700
  25. 2025-09-28
    status Active
  26. 2025-09-13
    status Pending
  27. 2025-09-05
    listed $187,700 Active
  28. 2006-09-12
    soldstatus $25,000
  29. 2006-04-27
    soldstatus $33,500
  30. 2001-01-23
    soldstatus $37,000
  31. 1998-09-14
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$867 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,293 · $108/mo
Expected delta
+$426/yr (+$35/mo · 49.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,459
− Mortgage interest
−$8,834
− Property taxes
−$867
− Insurance
−$788
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,477
− Management
−$1,477
− Depreciation
−$4,588
Taxable income
$428
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$103
After-tax cash flow
$2,900/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee County Schools
NCES district ID
3702560
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,300
Composite
29.87/100
National rank
#6403
State rank
#131 of 178 in NC

Livability — Sanford

Score
72/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#6134

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lee County · 76,725 people
City population
76,725
Metro
Sanford, NC
Population (ZIP)
39,778
Household income
$61,300
Rent vs Own
37.4% rent · 62.6% own
Severe rent burden
928.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,008 people
By 2030
64,443 · +2.3%
By 2040
66,898 · +6.2%
By 2050
68,310 · +8.4%
By 2075
70,920 · +12.6%
By 2100
70,402 · +11.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
R (+17.5) · D 40.8% · R 58.3%
2008→2024 swing
-9.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.4pp · 2024: -17.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.5 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+13.2 2012: R+10.2 2008: R+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.62%
Current HPI
302.3589
Rent YoY
▲ 4.66%
Metro
Sanford, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+688.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $157,700 LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $167,700 LPRMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $177,700 LPRMLS
  • 2025-09-28 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2025-09-13 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $187,700 LPRMLS
  • 2006-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
  • 2001-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 1998-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $867 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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