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9175 Celeste Dr #204
C+ Composite 63.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,900

9175 Celeste Dr #204 · Lely Resort, FL 34113
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Condo public records · 69 Days on market
Built 2004 $613/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This hidden gem located in Lely resort is within walking distance to shops, restaurants and groceries. Minutes to Downtown Naples and Marco Island. This condo has 2 bedroom/ 2 bath with sleeper sofa comes fully furnished with stainless steel appliances and washer and dryer in unit. This complex has a pool, spa, chickee huts and common grill area. If you are looking to own a piece of paradise in SW Fl. there is no better time than now with interest rates at an all time low. If you are looking to invest this property has a history of rental income or if you are tired of renting this is an opportunity. Buyer has the option to join Players club and Spa that offers live entertainment, pool, fitness center, and tennis. Two public courses nearby.

Key facts

  • $613 HOA
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Other

  • Location: Subdivision: Coral Falls Resort (Sub condo name); Directions available
  • Possession: Possession at closing
  • Multi-unit information: 1 unit per floor; 64 units in the complex; 32 units in the building; 1 floor (building level count)

Finance

  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA (Condo/Hotel community); Professional management; Quarterly condo fee; Condo fee: $1,839 quarterly; Total annual recurring fees: $7,356; Total one-time fees: $650; HOA maintenance covers insurance, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, legal/accounting, manager, master association fee, exterior pest control, reserves, sewer, street lights, trash removal, water; Community amenities include BBQ/picnic area, bike and jog paths, bike storage, cabana, community pool, community room, community spa/hot tub, golf course (public), play area, sidewalks, streetlights

Exterior

  • Parking: Common parking
  • Security: Fire sprinklers; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Water assessment paid; Central sewer; Cable available; Irrigation: central and lake/canal
  • Home design: Residential property in a mid-rise (4-7) building; Contemporary style; Zero lot line; Rear exposure faces northwest; Located in Lely Resort / Coral Falls Resort
  • Construction: Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior; Tile roof; Built in 2004
  • Exterior features: Courtyard; Automatic sprinkler system; Screened balcony / screened lanai or porch; Landscaped area view; Pool/club view; Preserve view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Electric cooktop; Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator/freezer; Breakfast bar / eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Split bedroom floor plan
  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks and shower (no tub)
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Exhaust fan; Whole-house fan
  • Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Cable prewire; Fire sprinkler system; Foyer; High-speed internet available; Pantry; Smoke detectors; Wheelchair access; Window coverings; Turnkey furnished; Common elevator; 4 ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in residence; Guest bath/room included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $350k).
  • Recommended offer: $329k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#786 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 597 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,611/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $188k; list at $350k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $328,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
8.86%
Cash-on-cash
9.18%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-23,190
Equity at exit
$52,171
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$62,152
Equity at exit
$30,253

Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34113

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
597
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,611 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$299 /mo · $3,592/yr
Insurance
$146
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$613
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$968
Net cashflow
$323

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,202
Max offer price $349,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,475
Closing costs
$10,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9175 Celeste Dr Unit 105 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 23d 1 0.03mi
9187 Celeste Dr Unit 1073494P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1399 $2,979 $2.13 14d 1 0.04mi
9165 Celeste Dr Unit 3-303 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $6,500 $6.50 23d 1 0.09mi
9115 Capistrano St S #8207 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1494 $6,000 $4.02 23d 1 0.32mi
9111 Capistrano St S #8303 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1432 $7,500 $5.24 23d 1 0.32mi
6590 Beach Resort Dr Unit 305 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1351 $4,500 $3.33 14d 1 0.32mi
9092 Chula Vista St #11003 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $6,850 $4.88 23d 1 0.36mi
9088 Chula Vista St Unit 108-3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $5,700 $4.06 23d 1 0.38mi
9081 Albion Ln S #6505 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1225 $7,500 $6.12 23d 1 0.45mi
9071 Albion Ln N #5706 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1441 $2,200 $1.53 23d 1 0.51mi
6650 Beach Resort Dr Unit 908 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1351 $4,600 $3.40 14d 1 0.52mi
9082 Capistrano St N Unit 48-5 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $6,500 $5.30 23d 1 0.54mi
6750 Beach Resort Dr #7 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1351 $3,900 $2.89 23d 1 0.61mi
6750 Beach Resort Dr Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1351 $3,200 $2.37 14d 2 0.61mi
9054 Capistrano St N #4003 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1385 $2,495 $1.80 23d 1 0.65mi
6680 Beach Resort Dr Unit 1214 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1351 $4,500 $3.33 14d 1 0.67mi
9022 Michael Cir Unit 2-205 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1450 $3,500 $2.41 23d 1 0.68mi
8175 Celeste Dr Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $2,395 $1.64 23d 1 0.72mi
8175 Celeste Dr #1230 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1476 $2,775 $1.88 23d 1 0.72mi
8135 Celeste Dr #4218 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1476 $7,500 $5.08 23d 1 0.74mi
8986 Cambria Cir Unit 22 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $6,000 $4.27 23d 1 0.79mi
8161 Twelve Oaks Cir #512 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1066 $5,000 $4.69 23d 1 0.81mi
8085 Celeste Dr #812 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1480 $6,000 $4.05 14d 1 0.95mi
8065 Tiger Cv #1604 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1203 $2,495 $2.07 21d 1 1.01mi
8065 Tiger Cv Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1203 $2,495 $2.07 23d 1 1.02mi
8055 Tiger Cv Unit 6-606 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1439 $1,800 $1.25 23d 1 1.05mi
1252 Henderson Creek Dr Naples, FL 2.0 1.5 820 $1,895 $2.31 23d 1 1.10mi
8073 Panther Trl #1404 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1450 $5,500 $3.79 23d 1 1.11mi
7955 Mahogany Run Ln #515 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1244 $8,925 $7.17 23d 1 1.11mi
7955 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504173P Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1442 $5,840 $4.05 14d 1 1.11mi
7895 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504163P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1237 $4,125 $3.33 21d 1 1.11mi
7895 Mahogany Run Ln Naples, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1339 $2,850 $2.13 14d 3 1.11mi
7925 Mahogany Run Ln #924 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1389 $8,925 $6.43 23d 1 1.13mi
7920 Mahogany Run Ln #1011 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1454 $10,395 $7.15 23d 1 1.16mi
7885 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504180P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1237 $2,915 $2.36 21d 1 1.16mi
7940 Mahogany Run Ln #623 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1389 $8,000 $5.76 23d 1 1.16mi
7930 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504165P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1237 $4,053 $3.28 14d 1 1.16mi
7930 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504168P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1237 $4,495 $3.63 14d 1 1.16mi
7930 Mahogany Run Ln #826 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1454 $9,450 $6.50 23d 1 1.16mi
8693 Querce Ct Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1415 $5,000 $3.53 23d 1 1.17mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$613 · $7,356/yr
Likely covers
poolgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $349,900 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $349,900 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $349,900 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $349,900 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $349,900 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $349,900 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $349,900 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $349,900 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $349,900 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $349,900 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 695-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $349,900 Active 53 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,592 · $299/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,592 · $299/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,327
− Mortgage interest
−$19,600
− Property taxes
−$3,592
− Insurance
−$6,868
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,426
− Management
−$4,426
− HOA
−$7,356
− Depreciation
−$10,179
Taxable loss
−$1,120
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$269
After-tax cash flow
$4,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lely Resort

Score
61/100
State rank
#786
US rank
#17981

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A- Housing D- Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lely Resort, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,056
Household income
$81,674
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.86%
Current HPI
279.4232
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+144.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $349,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2020-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $188,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-04 Sold (MLS) $188,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2020-10-22 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2020-09-04 Listed $195,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2005-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
  • 2004-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $142,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,592 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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