2725 E Neal Ave · New Kingman-Butler, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$184,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has so much potential with a little imagination. 1184 sf and the double lot it's got lots of opportunity. 2 bedrooms, 1.5 baths and a larger two car garage. Room to build an RV Garage. Room for a pool. The half bath is a shower and a sink. It has an added family room and an enclosed back patio. making it very spacious. Alley behind home to make a rear access to the lot. It needs a handyman or a great home for flipping. Seller wiil not be making any repairs selling As Is.
Key facts
- Updated hvac system
- Newer roof
- Newer water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-749/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (6.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (27.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.3% in New Kingman-Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 643 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $125k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.45%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,900
- List price
- $184,900
- Delta
- -6.09%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2765 E Butler Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,173 (-1%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $209 | 88 |
| 2470 E Neal Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,163 (-2%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $189 | 79 |
| 2485 E Devlin Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,173 (-1%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $209 | 78 |
| 2445 E Hearne Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,187 (+0%) | 2mo | $235,900 | $199 | 74 |
| 2800 E Lass Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,187 (+0%) | 4mo | $228,000 | $192 | 68 |
| 3138 E John L Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,184 (0%) | 4mo | $239,900 | $203 | 64 |
| 3150 E Northfield Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,207 (+2%) | 2mo | $198,000 | $164 | 62 |
| 2381 E Neal Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+0%) | 5mo | $222,000 | $187 | 55 |
| 3066 E Leroy Ave | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (-13%) | 3mo | $223,000 | $217 | 51 |
| 3178 E Northfield Ave | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (-13%) | 6mo | $222,500 | $217 | 41 |
| 2990 E Ames Ave Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,068 (-10%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $164 | 40 |
| 3147 E Thompson Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,361 (+15%) | 3mo | $229,000 | $168 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-37,528
- Equity at exit
- $27,569
- IRR
- -21.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.00×
- Total profit
- $-51,782
- Equity at exit
- $15,987
Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86409
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 643
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $937/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $-62
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,225
- Closing costs
- $5,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2381 E Butler Ave Kingman, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2840 E Leroy Ave Kingman, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2915 E Thompson Ave Kingman, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 792 | $1,150 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2995 E Ames Ave Kingman, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1221 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2658 E Punta Vista Kingman, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,700 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3356 E El Tovar Ave Kingman, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,975 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3953 Rex Allen Ct Kingman, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,750 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2118 Gene Autry Dr Kingman, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3849 N Roosevelt St Kingman, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $950 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-15status $184,900 Pending 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $184,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $184,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $184,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $184,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $184,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $184,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $184,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $184,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $184,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $184,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $184,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $184,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-05-30pricestatusdays on market $184,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-03-31price $199,000
-
2025-07-11$214,900 Active
-
2022-06-03soldstatus $125,000 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
This home has so much potential with a little imagination. 1184 sf and the double lot it's got lots of opportunity. 2 bedrooms, 1.5 baths and a larger two car garage. Room to build an RV Garage. Room for a pool. The half bath is a shower and a sink. It has an added family room and an enclosed back patio. making it very spacious. Alley behind home to make a rear access to the lot. It needs a handyman or a great home for flipping. Seller wiil not be making any repairs selling As Is.
-
2022-05-17soldstatus $125,000
-
2022-05-16soldstatus $125,000
-
2022-04-13$134,900 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
This home has so much potential with a little imagination. 1184 sf and the double lot it's got lots of opportunity. 2 bedrooms, 1.5 baths and a larger two car garage. Room to build an RV Garage. Room for a pool. The half bath is a shower and a sink. It has an added family room and an enclosed back patio. making it very spacious. Alley behind home to make a rear access to the lot. It needs a handyman or a great home for flipping. Seller wiil not be making any repairs selling As Is.
-
2022-04-13$134,900
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
This home has so much potential with a little imagination. 1184 sf and the double lot it's got lots of opportunity. 2 bedrooms, 1.5 baths and a larger two car garage. Room to build an RV Garage. Room for a pool. The half bath is a shower and a sink. It has an added family room and an enclosed back patio. making it very spacious. Alley behind home to make a rear access to the lot. It needs a handyman or a great home for flipping. Seller wiil not be making any repairs selling As Is.
-
1997-12-16soldstatus $66,500
-
1994-11-08soldstatus $52,000
-
1993-03-08soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $937 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,220 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$283/yr (+$24/mo · 30.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,357
- − Property taxes
- −$937
- − Insurance
- −$924
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − Depreciation
- −$5,379
- Taxable loss
- −$4,042
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$970
- After-tax cash flow
- $222/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingman Unified School District (79598)
- NCES district ID
- 0400295
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,760
- Composite
- 17.87/100
- National rank
- #9002
- State rank
- #179 of 249 in AZ
Livability — New Kingman-Butler
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Kingman-Butler, AZ
- County
- Mohave County · 181,906 people
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,365
- Household income
- $50,852
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 688.0
Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,184 people
- By 2030
- 209,674 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 205,897 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 196,810 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 169,454 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 136,630 · -34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Mohave
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.90%
- Current HPI
- 280.1884
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.33%
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+282.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $199,000 WARDEX
- 2025-07-11 Listed $214,900 WARDEX
- 2022-06-03 Sold (MLS) $125,000 WARDEX
- 2022-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-16 Sold (MLS) $125,000 LHAR
- 2022-04-13 Listed $134,900 LHAR
- 2022-04-13 Listed $134,900 WARDEX
- 1997-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records
- 1994-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $937 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…