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3103 Nc 8401
C+ Composite 64.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$149,000

3103 Nc 8401 · Wayton, AR 72641
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · SingleFamily · 47 Days on market
Built 2025 Fair condition 1.73 ac lot $248/sqft · 259% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Owner Financing Available. Great STR opportunity in the Ozark Mountains of Newton County, Arkansas awaits! Two cabins with 3.45 stunning acres and an amazing view. The cabins are both 600 sq feet, 1 bedroom, 1 bath with 300 sq feet per cabin of covered porches which are perfect for relaxing, entertaining, and watching unforgettable sunsets that look over the Little Buffalo Valley and distant mountain peaks. The cabins are not yet complete - both still need a few finishing touches. A new well has been drilled for the property and access to a year-round spring if needed. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the endless opportunities nearby, including rock climbing, biking, hiking, kayaking, and exploring the Buffalo National River. The property is also conveniently located just minutes from Jasper, offering restaurants, shops, and the inviting charm of small-town Arkansas. Whether you're seeking a short-term rental investment, a mountain retreat, or both, this property captures the very best of the Ozarks.

Key facts

  • Covered porches
  • Ozark mountains
  • Stunning acres

Tags

SHORT TERM RENTAL OPPORTUNITYOZARK MOUNTAINSSTUNNING ACRESCOVERED PORCHESBUFFALO NATIONAL RIVERCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Has a virtual tour available
  • Financial info: Annual tax information available (excluded from feature list)
  • HOA & community: HOA or association fees billed monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel driveway parking
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale (less than 25 years old); Block foundation
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Front porch; Property has views; Rural setting outside city limits; Dirt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Information not provided
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Ductless cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floor areas with laminate flooring; No additional interior amenities listed
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Jasper School District (rural): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #115 of 238 in AR (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Newton County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.52%
Cash-on-cash
11.52%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$41,487
List price
$149,000
Delta
259.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,944
Equity at exit
$22,797
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$35,122
Equity at exit
$13,881

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72641

Home prices YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,811 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax est. 1.5%
$186 /mo · $2,235/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$401

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,303
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $149,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-05-02
    listed $149,000 Active 809-char remark
  18. 2026-04-10
    price $299,000 1021-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1018 chars)

    Owner Financing Available. Great STR opportunity in the Ozark Mountains of Newton County, Arkansas awaits! Two cabins with 3.45 stunning acres and an amazing view. The cabins are both 600 sq feet, 1 bedroom, 1 bath with 300 sq feet per cabin of covered porches which are perfect for relaxing, entertaining, and watching unforgettable sunsets that look over the Little Buffalo Valley and distant mountain peaks. The cabins are not yet complete - both still need a few finishing touches. A new well has been drilled for the property and access to a year-round spring if needed. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the endless opportunities nearby, including rock climbing, biking, hiking, kayaking, and exploring the Buffalo National River. The property is also conveniently located just minutes from Jasper, offering restaurants, shops, and the inviting charm of small-town Arkansas. Whether you're seeking a short-term rental investment, a mountain retreat, or both, this property captures the very best of the Ozarks.

  19. 2026-03-30
    price $329,000 1021-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1018 chars)

    Owner Financing Available. Great STR opportunity in the Ozark Mountains of Newton County, Arkansas awaits! Two cabins with 3.45 stunning acres and an amazing view. The cabins are both 600 sq feet, 1 bedroom, 1 bath with 300 sq feet per cabin of covered porches which are perfect for relaxing, entertaining, and watching unforgettable sunsets that look over the Little Buffalo Valley and distant mountain peaks. The cabins are not yet complete - both still need a few finishing touches. A new well has been drilled for the property and access to a year-round spring if needed. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the endless opportunities nearby, including rock climbing, biking, hiking, kayaking, and exploring the Buffalo National River. The property is also conveniently located just minutes from Jasper, offering restaurants, shops, and the inviting charm of small-town Arkansas. Whether you're seeking a short-term rental investment, a mountain retreat, or both, this property captures the very best of the Ozarks.

  20. 2026-03-03
    status Active 1021-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1018 chars)

    Owner Financing Available. Great STR opportunity in the Ozark Mountains of Newton County, Arkansas awaits! Two cabins with 3.45 stunning acres and an amazing view. The cabins are both 600 sq feet, 1 bedroom, 1 bath with 300 sq feet per cabin of covered porches which are perfect for relaxing, entertaining, and watching unforgettable sunsets that look over the Little Buffalo Valley and distant mountain peaks. The cabins are not yet complete - both still need a few finishing touches. A new well has been drilled for the property and access to a year-round spring if needed. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the endless opportunities nearby, including rock climbing, biking, hiking, kayaking, and exploring the Buffalo National River. The property is also conveniently located just minutes from Jasper, offering restaurants, shops, and the inviting charm of small-town Arkansas. Whether you're seeking a short-term rental investment, a mountain retreat, or both, this property captures the very best of the Ozarks.

  21. 2026-01-31
    historical 1021-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1018 chars)

    Owner Financing Available. Great STR opportunity in the Ozark Mountains of Newton County, Arkansas awaits! Two cabins with 3.45 stunning acres and an amazing view. The cabins are both 600 sq feet, 1 bedroom, 1 bath with 300 sq feet per cabin of covered porches which are perfect for relaxing, entertaining, and watching unforgettable sunsets that look over the Little Buffalo Valley and distant mountain peaks. The cabins are not yet complete - both still need a few finishing touches. A new well has been drilled for the property and access to a year-round spring if needed. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the endless opportunities nearby, including rock climbing, biking, hiking, kayaking, and exploring the Buffalo National River. The property is also conveniently located just minutes from Jasper, offering restaurants, shops, and the inviting charm of small-town Arkansas. Whether you're seeking a short-term rental investment, a mountain retreat, or both, this property captures the very best of the Ozarks.

  22. 2025-12-09
    listed $375,000 Active 1021-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1018 chars)

    Owner Financing Available. Great STR opportunity in the Ozark Mountains of Newton County, Arkansas awaits! Two cabins with 3.45 stunning acres and an amazing view. The cabins are both 600 sq feet, 1 bedroom, 1 bath with 300 sq feet per cabin of covered porches which are perfect for relaxing, entertaining, and watching unforgettable sunsets that look over the Little Buffalo Valley and distant mountain peaks. The cabins are not yet complete - both still need a few finishing touches. A new well has been drilled for the property and access to a year-round spring if needed. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the endless opportunities nearby, including rock climbing, biking, hiking, kayaking, and exploring the Buffalo National River. The property is also conveniently located just minutes from Jasper, offering restaurants, shops, and the inviting charm of small-town Arkansas. Whether you're seeking a short-term rental investment, a mountain retreat, or both, this property captures the very best of the Ozarks.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,726
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$2,235
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,738
− Management
−$1,738
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable income
$2,589
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$621
After-tax cash flow
$4,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

A fair condition cabin with good interior and exterior features, but requires some repairs and maintenance to improve its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Gravel driveway — Some areas appear worn
  • Minor Landscaping — Some areas appear overgrown

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Replace gravel driveway — Improves accessibility and enhances curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Gravel driveway · Some areas appear worn Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Some areas appear overgrown Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Replace gravel driveway — Improves accessibility and enhances curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jasper School District
NCES district ID
0508240
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$33,615
Composite
29.59/100
National rank
#6480
State rank
#115 of 238 in AR

Livability — Wayton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,063

Population outlook (Newton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,052 people
By 2030
6,509 · -7.7%
By 2040
5,424 · -23.1%
By 2050
4,502 · -36.2%
By 2075
3,018 · -57.2%
By 2100
1,985 · -71.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Newton

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.1% · R 81.2% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-28.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.5pp · 2024: -64.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.2 2020: R+62.1 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+41.4 2008: R+35.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.91%
Current HPI
195.4325
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-60.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $149,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $299,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $329,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Relisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Delisted NWARMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $375,000 NWARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…