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20 Mcmahan Rd
B Composite 70.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$170,000

20 Mcmahan Rd · Woodville, FL 32327
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,377 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market
Built 2003 1.00 ac lot Est $213k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity to own a 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home situated on approximately 1 acre in Crawfordville, Florida. Offering approximately 1,377 square feet of living space, this property provides a functional layout with ample room both inside and out. The spacious lot offers a variety of potential uses, including gardening, recreation, storage, or future improvements, subject to local regulations. Located in Wakulla County, the property provides convenient access to local schools, shopping, dining, and outdoor recreational opportunities while maintaining a more rural setting. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, investment property, or a home with room to spread out, this prop

Key facts

  • Spacious lot
  • 1 acre
  • Functional layout

Tags

1 ACREFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSPACIOUS LOTRURAL SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Other utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One level; East-facing entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Built on a 1-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.3% in Woodville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#581 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Wakulla (rural): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #18 of 73 in FL (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 468 units permitted in Wakulla County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.58%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,435
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
135 Richardson Rd 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,292 (-6%) 16mo $200,000 $155 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.7%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-3,084
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$29,561
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32327

Home prices YoY
-1.5%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
346
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,785 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $816/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$380

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,304
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $170,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$816 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,411 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$595/yr (+$50/mo · 72.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,423
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$816
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,714
− Management
−$1,714
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$1,861
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$447
After-tax cash flow
$4,113/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wakulla
NCES district ID
1201950
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$53,740
Composite
48.12/100
National rank
#2183
State rank
#18 of 73 in FL

Livability — Woodville

Score
67/100
State rank
#581
US rank
#10723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wakulla County · 31,445 people
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,445
Household income
$84,138
Rent vs Own
17.5% rent · 82.5% own
Severe rent burden
360.0

Population outlook (Wakulla County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,809 people
By 2030
33,165 · +1.1%
By 2040
33,245 · +1.3%
By 2050
32,539 · -0.8%
By 2075
29,676 · -9.5%
By 2100
22,931 · -30.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wakulla

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.4% · R 71.8%
2008→2024 swing
-19.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.8pp · 2024: -44.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.4 2020: R+40.9 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+24.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.59%
Current HPI
302.1883
Rent YoY
▲ 3.18%
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $816 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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