1509 Liberty Ave · Terre Haute, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1885
- Listed 29 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.7% in Terre Haute — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#63 in IN, #4,186 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
- Vigo County School Corporation (urban): math 32% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #202 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 60 units permitted in Vigo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,000/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($25k/yr) (locally 1836% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Vigo County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.59%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $77,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 S 23rd St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,242 (-0%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $125 | 66 |
| 1612 Locust St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,368 (+10%) | 1mo | $89,900 | $66 | 66 |
| 1509 2nd Ave | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 5mo | $30,000 | $25 | 65 |
| 239 S 22nd St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,301 (+4%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $123 | 60 |
| 613 N 25th St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,244 (-0%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $52 | 59 |
| 1337 3rd Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 1,123 (-10%) | 4mo | $69,500 | $62 | 55 |
| 1407 Ohio St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,178 (-6%) | 4mo | $29,500 | $25 | 55 |
| 2250 Tippecanoe St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,090 (-13%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $55 | 53 |
| 1427 6th Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-7%) | 6mo | $64,000 | $55 | 45 |
| 1543 3 Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-12%) | 4mo | $103,000 | $94 | 43 |
| 1232 N 13th St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (-13%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $69 | 38 |
| 917 N 9th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,423 (+14%) | 5mo | $42,750 | $30 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.14% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $29,596
- Equity at exit
- $43,753
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $81,601
- Equity at exit
- $72,133
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47807
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,194/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $210
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2124 1st Ave Terre Haute, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $899 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1609 Ohio St Unit 1 Terre Haute, IN, USA Terre Haute, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $785 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1701 Ohio St Unit C Terre Haute, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $950 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1432 4th Ave Terre Haute, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,000 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1915 Poplar St Unit A Terre Haute, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1412 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 435 S 18th St Terre Haute, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1028 N 9th St Terre Haute, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 501 S 19th St Terre Haute, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $975 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 433 S 25th St Terre Haute, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $995 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1723 N 11th St Unit 3 Terre Haute, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1723 N 11th St Unit 2 Terre Haute, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2003 N 22nd St Terre Haute, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $650 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 600 S Center St Unit 602 Terre Haute, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 731 S 7th St Terre Haute, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1320 S 19th St Terre Haute, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $700 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1 Sycamore St Terre Haute, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,510 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $84,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Active
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-03-21price $84,900
-
2026-03-04status Active
-
2026-02-13status Pending
-
2026-02-08price $89,900
-
2026-01-13price $94,900
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2026-01-07$99,900 Active
-
2026-01-06historical
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2025-12-18price $99,900
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2025-12-01price $102,500
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2025-11-17price $104,900
-
2025-11-01$109,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,194 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,194 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,998
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,194
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $1,235
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$296
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,222/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vigo County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1812090
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,100
- Composite
- 28.97/100
- National rank
- #6625
- State rank
- #202 of 301 in IN
Livability — Terre Haute
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #4186
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Terre Haute, IN
- County
- Vigo County · 91,193 people
- City population
- 91,193
- Metro
- Terre Haute, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,140
- Household income
- $24,706
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1836.0
Population outlook (Vigo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,366 people
- By 2030
- 105,674 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 103,731 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 101,200 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 95,674 · -10.1%
- By 2100
- 85,910 · -19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vigo
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.1) · D 40.0% · R 58.1% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.8pp · 2024: -18.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.1 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+15.2 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.14%
- Current HPI
- 152.8073
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.74%
- Metro
- Terre Haute, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-22.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $84,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-08 Price Changed $89,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $94,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Listed $99,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $99,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $102,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $104,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-01 Listed $109,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-5.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,194 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…