25211 County Road 327 · Urbana, MO 65767

$115,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Other public records · 14 Days on market

Built 2004 0.37 ac lot $13/mo HOA · 1% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.2/30.0
• Appreciation +8.2/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.4/10.0
• DSCR +4.3/10.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Priced to sell. Two-bedroom one-bathroom cabin located on Pomme de Terre lake. Off the back deck has a great view of the lake. This property could be used a weekend rental or a permanent residence. A little elbow grease and you would have a nice place to get away from the hustle of city life.

Key facts

• Pomme de terre lake
• 0.37 acre lot
• Built 2004

Tags

• POMME DE TERRE LAKE
• GREAT VIEW OF THE LAKE

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $150 (approximately $12.50/month)

Exterior

• Utilities: Propane; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story
• Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built with one level
• Exterior features: Deck; Lakefront view

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Free-standing electric oven; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Propane heat; Window air conditioning units
• Interior features: Tile flooring; Electric oven; Free-standing electric oven; Refrigerator
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $115k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($217/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $93k (19.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $93k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.2% in Urbana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#629 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Hickory County R-I (rural): math 65% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #8 of 324 in MO (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Skyline Elem. (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #4 of 1,115 statewide, top 0%, 306 students, 45% FRL); Skyline Middle (math 57% / reading 59%, grade B, #26 of 391 statewide, top 7%, 206 students, 40% FRL); Skyline High (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #10 of 521 statewide, top 2%, 215 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $8k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
• Hickory County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $92,940 (19.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.48%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.67%
• DSCR: 1.03
• GRM: 10.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 16.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.14×
• Total profit: $36,718
• Equity at exit: $74,844

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.5%
• Equity multiple: 4.31×
• Total profit: $106,448
• Equity at exit: $137,983

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 65767

• Home prices YoY: 2.5%
• Active inventory: 35
• Price-to-rent: 10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $929 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$603
• Tax from tax record: −$52 /mo · $626/yr
• Insurance: −$48
• HOA: −$13
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$195
• Net cashflow: $18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $907

Max offer price $115,000

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $28,750
• Closing costs: $3,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $13 · $156/yr

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 293-char remark
11. 2026-06-07
    listed $115,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $626 · $52/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,116 · $93/mo
• Expected delta: +$490/yr (+$41/mo · 78.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,153
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,442
• − Property taxes: −$626
• − Insurance: −$575
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$892
• − Management: −$892
• − HOA: −$156
• − Depreciation: −$3,345
• Taxable loss: −$1,776
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$426
• After-tax cash flow: $643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hickory County R-I
• NCES district ID: 2914320
• Math proficiency: 65% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 66% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $33,125
• Composite: 54.03/100
• National rank: #1393
• State rank: #8 of 324 in MO

Livability — Urbana

• Score: 57/100
• State rank: #629
• US rank: #21576

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 1,860

Population outlook (Hickory County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 8,206 people
• By 2030: 7,690 · -6.3%
• By 2040: 6,780 · -17.4%
• By 2050: 6,076 · -26.0%
• By 2075: 5,088 · -38.0%
• By 2100: 4,489 · -45.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 94% Two or more races 5%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 14% Iranian 9% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Hickory

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+61.1) · D 19.1% · R 80.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -47.9pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -61.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+61.1 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 6.35%
• Current HPI: 256.3794
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-05 Listed $115,000 SOMO

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $626 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.