Triplex
3811 Kings Hwy · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$999,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Exceptional Investment Opportunity – Solid Brick 3-Family Home Don't miss this well-maintained brick 3-family property offering strong income potential and excellent long-term value. Whether you're an investor seeking cash flow or a buyer looking for a property ideal for a 1031 exchange, this building checks all the boxes. Property Features: • Ground Level Unit: 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom • First Floor Unit: 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom, spacious living room, and full kitchen • Second Floor Unit: Spacious 2-bedroom apartment with 1 full bathroom and full kitchen Additional Highlights: • Private parking for 1 vehicle • Backyard/sitting area perfect
Key facts
- Private parking
- 1,700 sq ft lot
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1940
- Construction: Living area approximately 2660
- Exterior features: Located in the Flatlands neighborhood
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1000k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $770/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $1000k).
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.2%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,979/mo this rent would consume 135% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 2384% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $280k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $362k; list at $1000k implies a 176% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.90%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $42,953
- Equity at exit
- $149,103
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $490,261
- Equity at exit
- $86,462
Cash invested: $280,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11234
- Rents YoY
- 16.2%
- Active inventory
- 459
- Price-to-rent
- 22.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,979 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,244
- Tax from tax record
- −$702 /mo · $8,428/yr
- Insurance
- −$417
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,306
- Net cashflow
- $2,310
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,876 | -5% $2,593 | +0% $2,310 | +5% $2,027 | +10% $1,744 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,443 | -5% $1,877 | +0% $2,310 | +5% $2,744 | +10% $3,178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,814 | -0.5pp $2,565 | base $2,310 | +0.5pp $2,051 | +1.0pp $1,788 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 3 | $10,980 |
| #1 | 4 | 3 | $3,660 |
| #2 | 4 | 3 | $3,660 |
| #3 | 4 | 3 | $3,660 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,979 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $250,000
- Closing costs
- $30,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $999,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $999,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $999,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $999,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 668-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $999,999 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-12$900,000 Active
-
2017-07-31price $950,000
-
2017-07-28price $1,100,000
-
2017-07-28price $110,000
-
2017-07-24price $999,000
-
2003-10-30soldstatus $362,000
-
1986-09-25soldstatus $165,000
-
1986-09-25soldstatus $165,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,428 · $702/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,664 · $1,055/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,236/yr (+$353/mo · 50.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $131,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$56,015
- − Property taxes
- −$8,428
- − Insurance
- −$5,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,540
- − Management
- −$10,540
- − Depreciation
- −$29,091
- Taxable income
- $12,134
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $24,812/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 83,187
- Household income
- $97,479
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2384.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, China, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -667.47%
- Current HPI
- 318.0416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 16.21%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+445.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $900,000 FSBO.com
- 2017-07-31 Price Changed $950,000 BNYMLS
- 2017-07-28 Price Changed $1,100,000 BNYMLS
- 2017-07-28 Price Changed $110,000 BNYMLS
- 2017-07-24 Price Changed $999,000 BNYMLS
- 2003-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $362,000 Public Records
- 1986-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 1986-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $8,428 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…