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3811 Kings Hwy Triplex
C+ Composite 63.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$999,999

3811 Kings Hwy · New York, NY 11234
12 bd · 9.0 ba · 2,660 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1940 1,700 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Exceptional Investment Opportunity – Solid Brick 3-Family Home Don't miss this well-maintained brick 3-family property offering strong income potential and excellent long-term value. Whether you're an investor seeking cash flow or a buyer looking for a property ideal for a 1031 exchange, this building checks all the boxes. Property Features: • Ground Level Unit: 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom • First Floor Unit: 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom, spacious living room, and full kitchen • Second Floor Unit: Spacious 2-bedroom apartment with 1 full bathroom and full kitchen Additional Highlights: • Private parking for 1 vehicle • Backyard/sitting area perfect

Key facts

  • Private parking
  • 1,700 sq ft lot
  • Parking

Tags

SOLID BRICK CONSTRUCTIONPRIVATE PARKINGBACKYARD SITTING AREAINCOME PRODUCING POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1940
  • Construction: Living area approximately 2660
  • Exterior features: Located in the Flatlands neighborhood

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 4-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1000k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $770/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $1000k).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.2%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,979/mo this rent would consume 135% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 2384% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $280k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $362k; list at $1000k implies a 176% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $999,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.07%
Cash-on-cash
9.90%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$42,953
Equity at exit
$149,103
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$490,261
Equity at exit
$86,462

Cash invested: $280,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11234

Rents YoY
16.2%
Active inventory
459
Price-to-rent
22.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,979 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,244
Tax from tax record
$702 /mo · $8,428/yr
Insurance
$417
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,306
Net cashflow
$2,310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,055
Max offer price $999,999
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,876 -5% $2,593 +0% $2,310 +5% $2,027 +10% $1,744
Rent -10% $1,443 -5% $1,877 +0% $2,310 +5% $2,744 +10% $3,178
Rate -1.0pp $2,814 -0.5pp $2,565 base $2,310 +0.5pp $2,051 +1.0pp $1,788

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $10,979

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$250,000
Closing costs
$30,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $999,999 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $999,999 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $999,999 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $999,999 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 668-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $999,999 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-05-12
    listed $900,000 Active
  8. 2017-07-31
    price $950,000
  9. 2017-07-28
    price $1,100,000
  10. 2017-07-28
    price $110,000
  11. 2017-07-24
    price $999,000
  12. 2003-10-30
    soldstatus $362,000
  13. 1986-09-25
    soldstatus $165,000
  14. 1986-09-25
    soldstatus $165,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,428 · $702/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$12,664 · $1,055/mo
Expected delta
+$4,236/yr (+$353/mo · 50.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$131,748
− Mortgage interest
−$56,015
− Property taxes
−$8,428
− Insurance
−$5,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,540
− Management
−$10,540
− Depreciation
−$29,091
Taxable income
$12,134
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,912
After-tax cash flow
$24,812/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
83,187
Household income
$97,479
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
2384.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, China, Mexico
Languages at home
65% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -667.47%
Current HPI
318.0416
Rent YoY
▲ 16.21%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+445.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $900,000 FSBO.com
  • 2017-07-31 Price Changed $950,000 BNYMLS
  • 2017-07-28 Price Changed $1,100,000 BNYMLS
  • 2017-07-28 Price Changed $110,000 BNYMLS
  • 2017-07-24 Price Changed $999,000 BNYMLS
  • 2003-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $362,000 Public Records
  • 1986-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 1986-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,428 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…