521 S Menlo Ave Ave · Sioux Falls, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Central location
- New vinyl windows
- Income producing
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax amount reported
- Financial info: 3-unit multifamily property (each unit: 1 bed, 1 bath)
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story building; Stucco exterior
- Construction: Block foundation; Composition roof; Built with stucco exterior
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 140 x 32; Private entry
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
- Bedrooms: Three separate 1-bedroom units (each unit is 1 bedroom)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/5.0-bath other listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($199/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (12.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in Sioux Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in SD, #610 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Sioux Falls School District 49-5 (urban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #45 of 59 in SD (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jefferson High School - 67 (1,749 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,425 units permitted in Minnehaha County in 2024 (1,367 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Minnehaha County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $122k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.49%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,460
- List price
- $144,900
- Delta
- -22.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-17,086
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $10,254
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57104
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,275 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,044/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $17
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 915 W 12th St Sioux Falls, SD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 708 S Euclid Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $899 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 718 W 12th St Unit 4 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 219 S Menlo Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $1,004 | $1.19 | 13d | 4 | 0.22mi |
| 1330 W 14th St Sioux Falls, SD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,499 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 203 S Covell Ave Unit 3 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 500 W 16th St Apt 6 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $825 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1000 S Summit Ave Unit 03 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 425 W 16th St Unit 427 Sioux Falls, SD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 811 S Glendale Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,650 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 602 W 9th St Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1605 W 10th St Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1009 W 7th St Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,600 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 616 S Western Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $875 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1733 W 11th St Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,350 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 633 S Main Ave Unit 2 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $950 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 647 S Main Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,097 | $0.90 | 13d | 2 | 0.60mi |
| 210 W 17th St Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 101 S Main Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1143 | $2,450 | $2.14 | 43d | 2 | 0.66mi |
| 112 W 17th St Unit 7 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 100 W 17th St Apt 15 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 205 W 18th St Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 21d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 230 S Phillips Ave Unit 405 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,625 | $1.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 205 E 12th St Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 772 | $2,430 | $3.15 | 13d | 28 | 0.76mi |
| 105 S Lyndale Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 320 N Western Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,056 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 325 E 12th St Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $1,680 | $1.76 | 13d | 11 | 0.88mi |
| 633 N Menlo Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 758 S 3rd Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1906 S Menlo Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,640 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1900 W 6th St Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 813 | $853 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 704 N Duluth Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 350 N Reid Pl Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 898 | $3,000 | $3.34 | 13d | 9 | 1.04mi |
| 500 S Kiwanis Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $1,045 | $1.22 | 13d | 11 | 1.04mi |
| 310 N Reid Pl Sioux Falls, SD | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1251 | $5,000 | $4.00 | 13d | 7 | 1.04mi |
| 2000 S Duluth Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1192 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 155 E 4th Pl Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $3,240 | $3.41 | 13d | 12 | 1.11mi |
| 701 N Phillips Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 894 | $2,589 | $2.90 | 13d | 17 | 1.17mi |
| 1000 N Covell Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $874 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 600 E 21st St Unit 1 (F) Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,476 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-05status $144,900 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $144,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Pending 642-char remark
-
2026-04-28$144,900 Active 642-char remark
-
2026-01-27status Pending
-
2026-01-26historical
-
2025-12-04$149,900 Active
-
2025-12-04historical
-
2025-10-07$164,900 Active
-
2019-10-07soldstatus $122,000
-
2017-06-29soldstatus $98,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,044 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,044 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,299
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$2,044
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,224
- − Management
- −$1,224
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$2,249
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$540
- After-tax cash flow
- $739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sioux Falls School District 49-5
- NCES district ID
- 4666270
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,093
- Composite
- 37.47/100
- National rank
- #4407
- State rank
- #45 of 59 in SD
Livability — Sioux Falls
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #610
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sioux Falls, SD
- County
- Minnehaha County · 191,523 people
- City population
- 207,623
- Metro
- Sioux Falls, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,963
- Household income
- $57,688
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1111.0
Population outlook (Minnehaha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 222,323 people
- By 2030
- 241,430 · +8.6%
- By 2040
- 281,643 · +26.7%
- By 2050
- 325,574 · +46.4%
- By 2075
- 469,313 · +111.1%
- By 2100
- 664,763 · +199.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 11% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Iranian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Minnehaha
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 42.5% · R 55.2% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.5 2016: R+14.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.10%
- Current HPI
- 261.8359
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.99%
- Metro
- Sioux Falls, SD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
+47.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-05-28 Relisted — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-05-15 Pending — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-04-28 Listed $144,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-01-27 Pending — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-01-26 Listing Removed — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2025-12-04 Listing Removed — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2025-12-04 Listed $149,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2025-10-07 Listed $164,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2019-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2024): $2,044 · -7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…