212 Chocktoot St · Chiloquin, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Home Is Priced as-is And Any Offers Must Have A Minimum Earnest Money Of $1000 Or 2% Of Contract Price. It Was In The In The Process Of A Remodel. Some Items Needed; Heating, Flooring, Bathroom Finish, Appliances, Possible Boundaries Identified. This Is Alot Of Home For The Price And Square Footage $24 A Foot, A Bargain!
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1961
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#121 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime F.
- Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 279 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $63k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $99k implies a 408% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.74%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $401,528
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 S Park Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,883 (-1%) | 19mo | $400,000 | $212 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $99,129
- Equity at exit
- $89,187
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.25×
- Total profit
- $256,320
- Equity at exit
- $192,335
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97624
- Home prices YoY
- 21.5%
- Active inventory
- 279
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,680 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $676/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $710
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-01-16status Pending
-
2026-01-14status Active
-
2026-01-01status Pending
-
2025-12-31price $99,000
-
2025-10-10price $145,000
-
2025-08-12price $155,000
-
2025-06-20$162,000 Active
-
2009-03-11soldstatus $19,500 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
This Home Is Priced as-is And Any Offers Must Have A Minimum Earnest Money Of $1000 Or 2% Of Contract Price. It Was In The In The Process Of A Remodel. Some Items Needed; Heating, Flooring, Bathroom Finish, Appliances, Possible Boundaries Identified. This Is Alot Of Home For The Price And Square Footage $24 A Foot, A Bargain!
-
2008-08-05$24,900 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
This Home Is Priced as-is And Any Offers Must Have A Minimum Earnest Money Of $1000 Or 2% Of Contract Price. It Was In The In The Process Of A Remodel. Some Items Needed; Heating, Flooring, Bathroom Finish, Appliances, Possible Boundaries Identified. This Is Alot Of Home For The Price And Square Footage $24 A Foot, A Bargain!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $676 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $960 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$284/yr (+$24/mo · 42.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$676
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,612
- − Management
- −$1,612
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $7,333
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,760
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,761/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Klamath County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4107020
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,906
- Composite
- 24.83/100
- National rank
- #7593
- State rank
- #46 of 58 in OR
Livability — Chiloquin
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #7018
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chiloquin, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,756
Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,870 people
- By 2030
- 62,279 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 58,891 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 56,207 · -12.0%
- By 2075
- 51,239 · -19.8%
- By 2100
- 46,526 · -27.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Native American 16% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Klamath
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 85.46%
- Current HPI
- 483.6619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+297.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Pending — MLSCO
- 2026-01-14 Relisted — MLSCO
- 2026-01-01 Pending — MLSCO
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $99,000 MLSCO
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $145,000 MLSCO
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $155,000 MLSCO
- 2025-06-20 Listed $162,000 MLSCO
- 2009-03-11 Sold (MLS) $19,500 MLSCO
- 2008-08-05 Listed $24,900 MLSCO
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $676 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…