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B+ Composite 78.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

212 Chocktoot St · Chiloquin, OR 97624
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,894 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 196 Days on market
Built 1961 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Home Is Priced as-is And Any Offers Must Have A Minimum Earnest Money Of $1000 Or 2% Of Contract Price. It Was In The In The Process Of A Remodel. Some Items Needed; Heating, Flooring, Bathroom Finish, Appliances, Possible Boundaries Identified. This Is Alot Of Home For The Price And Square Footage $24 A Foot, A Bargain!

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1961

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#121 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 279 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $63k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $99k implies a 408% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
14.90%
Cash-on-cash
30.74%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$401,528
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
701 S Park Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,883 (-1%) 19mo $400,000 $212 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.7%
Equity multiple
4.58×
Total profit
$99,129
Equity at exit
$89,187
10-year hold
IRR
41.5%
Equity multiple
10.25×
Total profit
$256,320
Equity at exit
$192,335

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97624

Home prices YoY
21.5%
Active inventory
279
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,680 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $676/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$710

Break-even live

Break-even rent $781
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-01-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-14
    status Active
  3. 2026-01-01
    status Pending
  4. 2025-12-31
    price $99,000
  5. 2025-10-10
    price $145,000
  6. 2025-08-12
    price $155,000
  7. 2025-06-20
    listed $162,000 Active
  8. 2009-03-11
    soldstatus $19,500 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    This Home Is Priced as-is And Any Offers Must Have A Minimum Earnest Money Of $1000 Or 2% Of Contract Price. It Was In The In The Process Of A Remodel. Some Items Needed; Heating, Flooring, Bathroom Finish, Appliances, Possible Boundaries Identified. This Is Alot Of Home For The Price And Square Footage $24 A Foot, A Bargain!

  9. 2008-08-05
    listed $24,900 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    This Home Is Priced as-is And Any Offers Must Have A Minimum Earnest Money Of $1000 Or 2% Of Contract Price. It Was In The In The Process Of A Remodel. Some Items Needed; Heating, Flooring, Bathroom Finish, Appliances, Possible Boundaries Identified. This Is Alot Of Home For The Price And Square Footage $24 A Foot, A Bargain!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$676 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$960 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$284/yr (+$24/mo · 42.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,155
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$676
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,612
− Management
−$1,612
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$7,333
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,760
After-tax cash flow
$6,761/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Klamath County SD
NCES district ID
4107020
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$44,906
Composite
24.83/100
National rank
#7593
State rank
#46 of 58 in OR

Livability — Chiloquin

Score
71/100
State rank
#121
US rank
#7018

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chiloquin, OR
Population (ZIP)
3,756

Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,870 people
By 2030
62,279 · -2.5%
By 2040
58,891 · -7.8%
By 2050
56,207 · -12.0%
By 2075
51,239 · -19.8%
By 2100
46,526 · -27.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Native American 16% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 5% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Klamath

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 85.46%
Current HPI
483.6619
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+297.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-16 Pending MLSCO
  • 2026-01-14 Relisted MLSCO
  • 2026-01-01 Pending MLSCO
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $99,000 MLSCO
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $145,000 MLSCO
  • 2025-08-12 Price Changed $155,000 MLSCO
  • 2025-06-20 Listed $162,000 MLSCO
  • 2009-03-11 Sold (MLS) $19,500 MLSCO
  • 2008-08-05 Listed $24,900 MLSCO

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $676 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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