🏷️ Likely Rental
2580 Alter Rd · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is an investment opportunity near the border of Detroit and Grosse Pointe Park. Spacious upper / lower duplex currently occupied at 1330 / month. Single tenant occupies both units. Superb location one block for Grosse Pointe Park. Excellent opportunity for an investor looking to add value. Lease and ledger available upon request.
Key facts
- Superb location
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.95%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $324,282
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -61.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Pointe Park Pl #303 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,660 (-14%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $220 | 38 |
| 74 Pointe Park Pl | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,658 (-14%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $235 | 38 |
| 32 Pointe Park Pl | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,660 (-14%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $229 | 37 |
| 54 Pointe Park Pl | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,661 (-14%) | 5mo | $387,000 | $233 | 36 |
| 58 Pointe Park Pl | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-14%) | 8mo | $365,000 | $221 | 34 |
| 36 Pointe Park Place Pl | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,658 (-14%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $217 | 31 |
| 24 Pointe Park Pl Unit 24, on 2nd Floor | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-14%) | 23mo | $385,000 | $234 | 20 |
| 24 Pointe Park Pl | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-14%) | 23mo | $385,000 | $234 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,617
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $18,320
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48215
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,413 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $261
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $296 | +0% $261 | +5% $226 | +10% $190 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $149 | -5% $205 | +0% $261 | +5% $317 | +10% $373 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $324 | -0.5pp $293 | base $261 | +0.5pp $229 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4251 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1326 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3651 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,300 | $0.98 | 19d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 875 Philip St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1353 | $1,400 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2174 Springle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2256 | $1,150 | $0.51 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3626 Courville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,300 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 371 Piper Blvd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2340 | $2,000 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 18d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 19d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 178 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $125,000 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity near the border of Detroit and Grosse Pointe Park. Spacious upper / lower duplex currently occupied at 1330 / month. Single tenant occupies both units. Superb location one block for Grosse Pointe Park. Excellent opportunity for an investor looking to add value. Lease and ledger available upon request.
-
2026-05-01price $125,000 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity near the border of Detroit and Grosse Pointe Park. Spacious upper / lower duplex currently occupied at 1330 / month. Single tenant occupies both units. Superb location one block for Grosse Pointe Park. Excellent opportunity for an investor looking to add value. Lease and ledger available upon request.
-
2026-03-02price $139,000 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity near the border of Detroit and Grosse Pointe Park. Spacious upper / lower duplex currently occupied at 1330 / month. Single tenant occupies both units. Superb location one block for Grosse Pointe Park. Excellent opportunity for an investor looking to add value. Lease and ledger available upon request.
-
2026-03-01price $139,000 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity near the border of Detroit and Grosse Pointe Park. Spacious upper / lower duplex currently occupied at 1330 / month. Single tenant occupies both units. Superb location one block for Grosse Pointe Park. Excellent opportunity for an investor looking to add value. Lease and ledger available upon request.
-
2026-01-21price $145,000 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity near the border of Detroit and Grosse Pointe Park. Spacious upper / lower duplex currently occupied at 1330 / month. Single tenant occupies both units. Superb location one block for Grosse Pointe Park. Excellent opportunity for an investor looking to add value. Lease and ledger available upon request.
-
2026-01-20price $145,000 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity near the border of Detroit and Grosse Pointe Park. Spacious upper / lower duplex currently occupied at 1330 / month. Single tenant occupies both units. Superb location one block for Grosse Pointe Park. Excellent opportunity for an investor looking to add value. Lease and ledger available upon request.
-
2025-12-05$150,000 Active 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity near the border of Detroit and Grosse Pointe Park. Spacious upper / lower duplex currently occupied at 1330 / month. Single tenant occupies both units. Superb location one block for Grosse Pointe Park. Excellent opportunity for an investor looking to add value. Lease and ledger available upon request.
-
2025-12-05$150,000 Active 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity near the border of Detroit and Grosse Pointe Park. Spacious upper / lower duplex currently occupied at 1330 / month. Single tenant occupies both units. Superb location one block for Grosse Pointe Park. Excellent opportunity for an investor looking to add value. Lease and ledger available upon request.
-
2021-06-02soldstatus $85,000
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2017-04-27historical
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2017-04-27historical
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2017-03-07$600 Active
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2017-03-07$600 Active
-
2015-10-20historical
-
2015-10-15soldstatus $37,000 Sold
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2015-10-15soldstatus $37,000
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2015-10-09historical
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2015-09-22status Active
-
2015-09-09historical
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2015-05-10$42,000 Active
-
2015-04-01$42,000
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2013-11-12historical
-
2013-08-12$38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,775 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,850 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$75/yr (+$6/mo · 4.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,775
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,357
- − Management
- −$1,357
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,208
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$290
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,842/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- City population
- 572,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,238
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% White 9% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.84%
- Current HPI
- 191.0405
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+228.9% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $139,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-01 Price Changed $139,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-04-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-03-07 Listed $600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-03-07 Listed $600 REALCOMP
- 2015-10-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-10-15 Sold (MLS) $37,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-10-15 Sold (MLS) $37,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-10-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-09-22 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2015-09-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-05-10 Listed $42,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-04-01 Listed $42,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-11-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-08-12 Listed $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,775 · -34.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…