7 Bellevue St · Cumberland, MD
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
They don't get cheaper than this! Priced well below assessment (only a third of assessed value!). Could be 2 bedroom (pass thru), part enclosed porch, patio. Visit our website for more information. Don't wait, call today.
Key facts
- Short drive to i68
- 2,182 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric power
- Home design: Detached structure; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Property is in city limits; No tidal water nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate plank
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heat; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Good condition; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups only; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (0.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $98k (0.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.7% in Cumberland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#64 in MD, #2,385 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $681 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $98k implies a 971% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.34%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $56,030
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 617 Frederick St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 848 (-2%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $65 | 71 |
| 461 S Central Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+0%) | 21mo | $25,000 | $29 | 68 |
| 518 Baltimore Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 808 (-6%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $68 | 66 |
| 433 Columbia St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 861 (-0%) | 5mo | $8,750 | $10 | 62 |
| 12 Schiller Ter | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-9%) | 21mo | $14,300 | $18 | 54 |
| 537 Fort Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 747 (-13%) | 11mo | $129,000 | $173 | 40 |
| 324 Reservoir Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 784 (-9%) | 12mo | $124,900 | $159 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,409
- Equity at exit
- $14,687
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $40,452
- Equity at exit
- $8,516
Cash invested: $27,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21502
- Home prices YoY
- -17.4%
- Rents YoY
- 10.9%
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $984 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$517
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $341/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $192
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,625
- Closing costs
- $2,955
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 418 N Mechanic St Unit 1B Cumberland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 424 N Mechanic St Unit 1 Cumberland, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 529 N Centre St Unit Rear Cumberland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $850 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 623 Columbia Ave Unit C Cumberland, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $635 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $98,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $98,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $98,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $98,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $98,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $98,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 656-char remark
-
2026-06-07$98,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $341 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $707 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$367/yr (+$31/mo · 107.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,813
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,518
- − Property taxes
- −$341
- − Insurance
- −$492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$945
- − Management
- −$945
- − Depreciation
- −$2,865
- Taxable income
- $707
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$170
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegany County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400030
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,760
- Composite
- 18.95/100
- National rank
- #8854
- State rank
- #18 of 24 in MD
Livability — Cumberland
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #64
- US rank
- #2385
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cumberland, MD
- County
- Allegany County · 41,015 people
- City population
- 41,015
- Metro
- Cumberland, MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,015
- Household income
- $60,725
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,778 people
- By 2030
- 66,766 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,784 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 59,179 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 50,732 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 40,837 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.33%
- Current HPI
- 258.6676
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.88%
- Metro
- Cumberland, MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1307.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $98,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-16 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-30 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-25 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-05-14 Sold (MLS) $9,200 MRIS
- 2008-04-02 Delisted — MRIS
- 2008-03-27 Listed $9,900 MRIS
- 2007-11-27 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-03-26 Listed — MRIS
- 2005-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1991-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
- 1988-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $341 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…