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7 Bellevue St
C Composite 57.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$98,500

7 Bellevue St · Cumberland, MD 21502
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 862 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1900 2,182 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

They don't get cheaper than this! Priced well below assessment (only a third of assessed value!). Could be 2 bedroom (pass thru), part enclosed porch, patio. Visit our website for more information. Don't wait, call today.

Key facts

  • Short drive to i68
  • 2,182 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900

Tags

LOW EXTERIOR LAWN MAINTENANCESHORT DRIVE TO I68CLOSE TO UPMC HOSPITALCLOSE TO ROCKY GAP STATE PARKCLOSE TO ROCKY GAP CASINOCLOSE TO ALLEGANY PASSAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric power
  • Home design: Detached structure; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Property is in city limits; No tidal water nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate plank
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heat; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Good condition; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups only; Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (0.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (0.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.7% in Cumberland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#64 in MD, #2,385 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $681 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $9k; list at $98k implies a 971% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,442

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.63%
Cash-on-cash
8.34%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$56,030
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
617 Frederick St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 848 (-2%) 6mo $55,000 $65 71
461 S Central Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 864 (+0%) 21mo $25,000 $29 68
518 Baltimore Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 808 (-6%) 6mo $55,000 $68 66
433 Columbia St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 861 (-0%) 5mo $8,750 $10 62
12 Schiller Ter 0.28mi 2/1.0 784 (-9%) 21mo $14,300 $18 54
537 Fort Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 747 (-13%) 11mo $129,000 $173 40
324 Reservoir Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 784 (-9%) 12mo $124,900 $159 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,409
Equity at exit
$14,687
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$40,452
Equity at exit
$8,516

Cash invested: $27,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21502

Home prices YoY
-17.4%
Rents YoY
10.9%
Active inventory
235
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$984 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$517
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $341/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$192

Break-even live

Break-even rent $742
Max offer price $98,500
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,625
Closing costs
$2,955
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
418 N Mechanic St Unit 1B Cumberland, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 44d 1 0.63mi
424 N Mechanic St Unit 1 Cumberland, MD 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 44d 1 0.64mi
529 N Centre St Unit Rear Cumberland, MD 2.0 1.0 982 $850 $0.87 44d 1 0.74mi
623 Columbia Ave Unit C Cumberland, MD 1.0 1.0 600 $635 $1.06 44d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $98,500 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,500 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,500 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $98,500 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $98,500 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $98,500 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $98,500 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,500 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 656-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $98,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$341 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$707 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$367/yr (+$31/mo · 107.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,813
− Mortgage interest
−$5,518
− Property taxes
−$341
− Insurance
−$492
− Repairs & maintenance
−$945
− Management
−$945
− Depreciation
−$2,865
Taxable income
$707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$170
After-tax cash flow
$2,131/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allegany County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400030
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$39,760
Composite
18.95/100
National rank
#8854
State rank
#18 of 24 in MD

Livability — Cumberland

Score
78/100
State rank
#64
US rank
#2385

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cumberland, MD
County
Allegany County · 41,015 people
City population
41,015
Metro
Cumberland, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
41,015
Household income
$60,725
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
824.0

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,778 people
By 2030
66,766 · -2.9%
By 2040
62,784 · -8.7%
By 2050
59,179 · -14.0%
By 2075
50,732 · -26.2%
By 2100
40,837 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.33%
Current HPI
258.6676
Rent YoY
▲ 10.88%
Metro
Cumberland, MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1307.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $98,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-21 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-21 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-16 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-04-30 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-04-25 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-05-14 Sold (MLS) $9,200 MRIS
  • 2008-04-02 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-03-27 Listed $9,900 MRIS
  • 2007-11-27 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-03-26 Listed MRIS
  • 2005-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1991-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
  • 1988-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $341 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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