Duplex
201-203 Campbell St · Williamsport, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Updated Duplex near Penn College. The first floor apartment contains 2 bedrooms, while the second floor apartment contains 3 bedrooms. Call Brian Girio at SOLD WITH MLS WB-77287. TOTAL SALE PRICE $140000
Key facts
- Private bedrooms
- Two-unit investment
- Dining and amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; Approximately 4 open parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential income property (multi-family / multi-units)
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Foundation of stone and block; Built as a multi-family residence
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Commercial zoning
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
- Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units; Natural gas heating; See remarks regarding heating
- Interior features: Vinyl and carpet flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×3bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $974 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $487/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 5.6% in Williamsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#523 in PA, #4,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Williamsport Area SD (urban): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #349 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,656/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2178% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.58%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $218,350
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -22.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $38,418
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $129,784
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17701
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,656 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,944/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$558
- Net cashflow
- $974
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,392 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,263 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,656 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 647-char remark
-
2026-05-01$169,900 Active 647-char remark
-
2025-03-19soldstatus $150,000
-
2016-08-23soldstatus 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Updated Duplex near Penn College. The first floor apartment contains 2 bedrooms, while the second floor apartment contains 3 bedrooms. Call Brian Girio at SOLD WITH MLS WB-77287. TOTAL SALE PRICE $140000
-
2016-04-25$74,900 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Updated Duplex near Penn College. The first floor apartment contains 2 bedrooms, while the second floor apartment contains 3 bedrooms. Call Brian Girio at SOLD WITH MLS WB-77287. TOTAL SALE PRICE $140000
-
2005-11-01soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,944 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,314 · $193/mo
- Expected delta
- +$370/yr (+$31/mo · 19.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,944
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,550
- − Management
- −$2,550
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $9,519
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,285
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,409/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Williamsport Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226460
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,637
- Composite
- 34.63/100
- National rank
- #5150
- State rank
- #349 of 539 in PA
Livability — Williamsport
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #523
- US rank
- #4841
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williamsport, PA
- County
- Lycoming County · 43,104 people
- City population
- 43,104
- Metro
- Williamsport, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,104
- Household income
- $53,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2178.0
Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,164 people
- By 2030
- 112,221 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 107,613 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 102,950 · -9.8%
- By 2075
- 92,987 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 80,924 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.61%
- Current HPI
- 216.7203
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- Williamsport, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+347.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — WBVAR
- 2026-05-01 Listed $169,900 WBVAR
- 2025-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-23 Sold (MLS) — WBVAR
- 2016-04-25 Listed $74,900 WBVAR
- 2005-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,944 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…