3017 Richfield Rd · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bedrooms • Newer Mechanicals • Solid Foundation • Detached 2-Car Garage This home offers great bones and strong potential — perfect for homeowners or investors looking for a solid property with lasting value.
Key facts
- Solid foundation
- Newer mechanicals
- 5,663 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property type
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer / sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Lot in ASSRS OF MAPLE HILL GARDENS subdivision; Lot dimensions approximately 5,663 (units provided); Lot size about 0.13 acres; Cross streets: Branch Rd and Richfield Rd; No pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: One and one-half level home layout
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling listed
- Interior features: Has basement; Total of 3 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.2% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 85.48%
- DSCR
- 4.80
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,500
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2806 Epsilon Trl | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,018 (-3%) | 1mo | $92,000 | $90 | 62 |
| 3291 Drexel Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,089 (+4%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $115 | 62 |
| 3252 N Term St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-5%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $90 | 61 |
| 3230 Huggins Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (-3%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $137 | 58 |
| 4907 Delta Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,008 (-4%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $50 | 57 |
| 3006 Arizona Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-14%) | 1mo | $92,900 | $103 | 54 |
| 3413 Dakota Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,018 (-3%) | 2mo | $113,351 | $111 | 50 |
| 2925 Colorado Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-14%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $28 | 49 |
| 4808 Alpha Way | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 963 (-8%) | 4mo | $63,500 | $66 | 44 |
| 3705 Aldon Ln | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 917 (-13%) | 3mo | $69,900 | $76 | 44 |
| 2709 Gamma Ln | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (+10%) | 4mo | $43,000 | $37 | 43 |
| 4914 Alpha Way | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 965 (-8%) | 9mo | $92,000 | $95 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 86.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.96×
- Total profit
- $38,735
- Equity at exit
- $5,204
- IRR
- 89.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.32×
- Total profit
- $91,044
- Equity at exit
- $3,018
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48506
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,263 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,246/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $696
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2311 N Averill Ave Unit Main Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $34,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $34,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $34,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $34,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $34,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $34,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $34,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $39,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $39,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $49,900 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
3 Bedrooms • Newer Mechanicals • Solid Foundation • Detached 2-Car Garage This home offers great bones and strong potential — perfect for homeowners or investors looking for a solid property with lasting value.
-
2026-05-14price $49,900
-
2026-04-17$54,900 Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
3 Bedrooms • Newer Mechanicals • Solid Foundation • Detached 2-Car Garage This home offers great bones and strong potential — perfect for homeowners or investors looking for a solid property with lasting value.
-
2026-04-17$54,900 Active
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
3 Bedrooms • Newer Mechanicals • Solid Foundation • Detached 2-Car Garage This home offers great bones and strong potential — perfect for homeowners or investors looking for a solid property with lasting value.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,246 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,246 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$1,246
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $8,337
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,001
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,712
- Household income
- $47,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.31%
- Current HPI
- 90.0494
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-9.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-17 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-17 Listed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,246 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…