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20 Seminole
D+ Composite 48.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.1/10.0

$135,000

20 Seminole · Healdton, OK 73438
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,582 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1954 0.75 ac lot Est $222k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.75 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Carport
  • Security: Storm shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Entry on main level
  • Construction: Built (year per public records); Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Crawlspace and slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Shed(s); Chain link fencing; Storm shelter; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Electric oven connection; Gas range connection; Vinyl and wood window frames; None (no additional interior features listed)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($776/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#390 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Healdton (rural): math 10% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #246 of 270 in OK (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $135k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,506 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.87%
Cash-on-cash
2.05%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,052
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1773 W Lincoln St 0.18mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,297 (-11%) 16mo $198,000 $86 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-17,799
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-10,359
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73438

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,145 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $909/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,063
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $135,000 Pending 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$909 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,215 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$306/yr (+$26/mo · 33.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,741
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$909
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,099
− Management
−$1,099
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$1,531
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$367
After-tax cash flow
$1,143/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Healdton
NCES district ID
4014130
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,740
Composite
9.5/100
National rank
#9849
State rank
#246 of 270 in OK

Livability — Healdton

Score
59/100
State rank
#390
US rank
#20116

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Healdton, OK
Population (ZIP)
3,055

Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,892 people
By 2030
51,913 · +2.0%
By 2040
53,857 · +5.8%
By 2050
55,604 · +9.3%
By 2075
60,670 · +19.2%
By 2100
62,366 · +22.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 4% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Carter

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.7) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -54.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+40.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.75%
Current HPI
231.5295
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.0% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $135,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-23 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $110,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-10-15 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-20 Price Changed $115,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-05-07 Listed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-04-30 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-04-28 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-04-28 Price Changed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-04-09 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-12-16 Price Changed $135,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-10-14 Listed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-09-30 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-09-11 Price Changed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-08-02 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-07-15 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-05-16 Price Changed $145,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-04-01 Listed $150,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2006-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $909 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…