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69530 Dillon Rd #65
C- Composite 52.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

69530 Dillon Rd #65 · Desert Edge, CA 92241
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 408 sqft · Manufactured · 83 Days on market
Built 1986 Good condition $74/sqft · 36% below area Est $47k · 36% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MODERN INTERIOR DESIGN | MOVE-IN READY! ALL AGES PARK COMMUNITY!!! SELLER FINANCING AVILABLE!! This comfortable and well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home features a thoughtfully designed layout with a bright living room, functional kitchen, and ample cabinetry for personal belongings and kitchenware. All appliances are included, including washer and dryer, making this home truly move-in ready. Upgraded windows throughout enhance natural light and energy efficiency, while the private patio offers the perfect space to relax and enjoy beautiful sunrise or sunset views. Parking is abundant with space under the covered carport as well as additional parking on the side of the home. Conveniently located major routes, this home offers the ideal balance of accessibility and peaceful living. Community amenities include pool and spa, laundry facility, banquet room, ping pong table in the clubhouse. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking affordable living without sacrificing comfort. A fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss!

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Bright living room

Tags

MOVE IN READYTHOUGHTFULLY DESIGNED LAYOUTBRIGHT LIVING ROOMFUNCTIONAL KITCHENAMPLE CABINETRYUPGRADED WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $694 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 39.1% vs local median 14.8% in Desert Edge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, commute D-.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $28,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.33%
Cap rate
39.08%
Cash-on-cash
117.10%
DSCR
6.21
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$47,000
List price
$30,000
Delta
-36.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
70200 Dillon Rd #393 0.40mi 1/1.0 400 (-2%) 1mo $26,500 $66 77
70200 Dillon Rd #192 0.36mi 1/1.0 400 (-2%) 4mo $43,000 $108 77
70200 Dillon Rd #25 0.39mi 1/1.0 400 (-2%) 2mo $32,500 $81 76
70200 Dillon Rd #402 0.40mi 1/1.0 400 (-2%) 3mo $95,000 $238 76
70200 Dillon Rd #2 0.41mi 1/1.0 400 (-2%) 3mo $50,000 $125 76
70200 Dillon Rd #425 0.39mi 1/1.0 400 (-2%) 4mo $47,000 $118 75
70200 Dillon Rd #190 0.41mi 1/1.0 400 (-2%) 5mo $40,000 $100 74
70200 Dillon Rd #585 0.42mi 1/1.0 400 (-2%) 7mo $58,000 $145 72
17405 Corkill Rd #22 0.33mi 1/1.0 432 (+6%) 4mo $65,000 $150 71
70200 Dillon Rd #28 0.41mi 1/1.0 400 (-2%) 10mo $38,000 $95 70
70201 Aurora Rd #149 0.53mi 1/1.0 399 (-2%) 3mo $54,000 $135 69
70200 Dillon Rd #515 0.41mi 1/1.0 400 (-2%) 14mo $45,000 $113 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.70×
Total profit
$39,466
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.92×
Total profit
$91,713
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92241

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$38 /mo · $450/yr
Insurance
$12
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$694

Break-even live

Break-even rent $421
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-01
    price $30,000 1061-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1061 chars)

    MODERN INTERIOR DESIGN | MOVE-IN READY! ALL AGES PARK COMMUNITY!!! SELLER FINANCING AVILABLE!! This comfortable and well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home features a thoughtfully designed layout with a bright living room, functional kitchen, and ample cabinetry for personal belongings and kitchenware. All appliances are included, including washer and dryer, making this home truly move-in ready. Upgraded windows throughout enhance natural light and energy efficiency, while the private patio offers the perfect space to relax and enjoy beautiful sunrise or sunset views. Parking is abundant with space under the covered carport as well as additional parking on the side of the home. Conveniently located major routes, this home offers the ideal balance of accessibility and peaceful living. Community amenities include pool and spa, laundry facility, banquet room, ping pong table in the clubhouse. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking affordable living without sacrificing comfort. A fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss!

  2. 2026-03-04
    listed $35,000 Active 1061-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1061 chars)

    MODERN INTERIOR DESIGN | MOVE-IN READY! ALL AGES PARK COMMUNITY!!! SELLER FINANCING AVILABLE!! This comfortable and well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home features a thoughtfully designed layout with a bright living room, functional kitchen, and ample cabinetry for personal belongings and kitchenware. All appliances are included, including washer and dryer, making this home truly move-in ready. Upgraded windows throughout enhance natural light and energy efficiency, while the private patio offers the perfect space to relax and enjoy beautiful sunrise or sunset views. Parking is abundant with space under the covered carport as well as additional parking on the side of the home. Conveniently located major routes, this home offers the ideal balance of accessibility and peaceful living. Community amenities include pool and spa, laundry facility, banquet room, ping pong table in the clubhouse. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking affordable living without sacrificing comfort. A fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,600
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$450
− Insurance
−$1,652
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$8,448
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,028
After-tax cash flow
$6,306/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior and interior. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and interior functionality, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Resale Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers.
  • Resale Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve the home's appeal to potential buyers.
  • Rental Landscaping and patio furniture — A well-maintained patio can attract more renters and increase rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Resale Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers.
  • Resale Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve the home's appeal to potential buyers.
  • Rental Landscaping and patio furniture — A well-maintained patio can attract more renters and increase rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Desert Edge

Score
68/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#9953

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Desert Edge, CA
Population (ZIP)
8,624

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 38% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.23%
Current HPI
400.5663
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $30,000 GPSMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $35,000 GPSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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