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20750 N 87th St #2092
D Composite 40.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$775,000

20750 N 87th St #2092 · Scottsdale, AZ 85255
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,825 sqft · Condo public records · 90 Days on market
Built 2009 $425/sqft · 8% above area Est $715k · 8% over $560/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Stunning townhome right at the 18th hole located in the highly sought-after gated community of Encore at Grayhawk. Perfectly positioned on a premium lot, this home showcases breathtaking views of city lights, surrounding mountains, and the Grayhawk Talon Retreat Golf Course. The gourmet kitchen is thoughtfully designed with custom cabinetry featuring oil-rubbed bronze pulls, sleek quartz countertops, a stylish backsplash, breakfast bar, Lusso sink, GE Café appliances, and a 5-burner gas cooktop with griddle--ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Additional highlights include freshly painted exterior, brand-new carpet, a cozy gas fireplace in the family room, a south-facing covered balcony to enjoy the views, and a spacious 2-car garage with durable epoxy flooring. The luxurious primary suite offers a generous walk-in closet and a spa-inspired bathroom complete with dual sinks, quartz counters, custom mirrors and fixtures, a relaxing soaking tub, and a frameless glass walk-in shower. Residents of the gated Encore community enjoy exceptional amenities, including a private access road, heated pool and spa, expansive BBQ area, fitness center, and a beautifully appointed clubhouse with a full kitchen and recreation space.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Custom cabinetry
  • Breathtaking views

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYPREMIUM LOTBREATHTAKING VIEWSGOURMET KITCHENCUSTOM CABINETRYQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $775k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-684 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $654k (15.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $606k (21.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $606k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 720 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,056/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($141k/yr) (locally 1034% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $49k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $44k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$79k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($728k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $605,570 (21.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.11%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$715,058
List price
$775,000
Delta
8.38%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.64% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$172,527
Equity at exit
$469,538
10-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$565,558
Equity at exit
$836,646

Cash invested: $217,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85255

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
720
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,056 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,064
Tax from tax record
$399 /mo · $4,784/yr
Insurance
$323
Flood insurance flood zone
−$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
HOA
$560
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,272
Net cashflow
$-684

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,922
Max offer price $654,157
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$193,750
Closing costs
$23,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1930 $7,500 $3.89 22d 9 0.13mi
20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1930 $7,500 $3.89 24d 8 0.13mi
8882 E Flathorn Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2390 $8,000 $3.35 44d 1 0.27mi
8891 E Mountain Spring Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.5 2431 $5,500 $2.26 4d 1 0.28mi
8890 E Flathorn Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 3.0 2431 $8,000 $3.29 22d 1 0.28mi
19475 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–4.0 2.0–3.5 2155 $5,598 $2.60 44d 5 0.35mi
20704 N 90th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.5 1849 $15,000 $8.11 8d 4 0.41mi
9270 E Thompson Peak Pkwy Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2165 $8,750 $4.04 44d 2 0.50mi
19838 N 84th St Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2549 $12,000 $4.71 14d 1 0.52mi
20801 N 90th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1437 $6,450 $4.49 2d 4 0.57mi
20801 N 90th Pl Unit 01 Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1576 $6,450 $4.09 44d 1 0.57mi
8224 E Angel Spirit Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 2306 $9,500 $4.12 4d 1 0.58mi
8228 E Mohawk Ln Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 2306 $8,500 $3.69 44d 1 0.58mi
8227 E Angel Spirit Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 2366 $4,000 $1.69 44d 1 0.59mi
8184 E Beardsley Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.5 2244 $8,500 $3.79 44d 1 0.64mi
20802 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.5 2030 $8,000 $3.94 44d 4 0.65mi
20802 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.5 2295 $6,000 $2.61 2d 2 0.65mi
8182 E Sierra Pinta Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2476 $3,950 $1.60 44d 1 0.66mi
19550 N Grayhawk Dr Unit 1545664P Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1313 $2,159 $1.64 14d 1 0.69mi
8136 E Beardsley Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.5 2244 $5,950 $2.65 44d 1 0.69mi
19550 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.5 1814 $7,150 $3.94 44d 4 0.71mi
19330 N 88th Way Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.5 2583 $6,295 $2.44 13d 1 0.78mi
8941 E Maple Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1517 $4,375 $2.88 44d 1 0.98mi
19079 N 90th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 1568 $2,750 $1.75 20d 1 0.99mi
20458 N 78th Way Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.0 1834 $4,500 $2.45 24d 1 1.04mi
20394 N 78th St Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.5 2441 $8,500 $3.48 44d 1 1.07mi
9116 E Siesta Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1416 $2,500 $1.77 11d 1 1.10mi
7798 E Buteo Dr Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.5 2575 $4,600 $1.79 5d 1 1.11mi
19047 N 91st Way Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 2198 $15,000 $6.82 44d 1 1.13mi
7789 E Journey Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1634 $4,700 $2.88 44d 1 1.15mi
20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1202 $3,925 $3.26 44d 5 1.16mi
20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1043 $4,650 $4.46 20d 15 1.16mi
20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1043 $4,650 $4.46 4d 17 1.16mi
9440 E Palm Tree Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 2242 $3,695 $1.65 44d 1 1.17mi
7746 E Nestling Way Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.5 2575 $3,995 $1.55 44d 1 1.19mi
7743 E Nestling Way Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.5 2440 $9,000 $3.69 44d 1 1.19mi
7729 E Tailspin Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1634 $3,400 $2.08 8d 1 1.19mi
7725 E Journey Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1882 $4,250 $2.26 5d 1 1.21mi
7689 E Quill Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2319 $8,000 $3.45 44d 1 1.26mi
7711 E Thunderhawk Rd Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.0 2538 $3,895 $1.53 15d 1 1.26mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$560 · $6,720/yr
Likely covers
gaspoolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $775,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $775,000 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $775,000 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $775,000 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $775,000 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $775,000 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $775,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $775,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $775,000 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $775,000 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $775,000 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $775,000 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $775,000 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $775,000 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-03-20
    listed $775,000 Active 1255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1255 chars)

    Stunning townhome right at the 18th hole located in the highly sought-after gated community of Encore at Grayhawk. Perfectly positioned on a premium lot, this home showcases breathtaking views of city lights, surrounding mountains, and the Grayhawk Talon Retreat Golf Course. The gourmet kitchen is thoughtfully designed with custom cabinetry featuring oil-rubbed bronze pulls, sleek quartz countertops, a stylish backsplash, breakfast bar, Lusso sink, GE Café appliances, and a 5-burner gas cooktop with griddle--ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Additional highlights include freshly painted exterior, brand-new carpet, a cozy gas fireplace in the family room, a south-facing covered balcony to enjoy the views, and a spacious 2-car garage with durable epoxy flooring. The luxurious primary suite offers a generous walk-in closet and a spa-inspired bathroom complete with dual sinks, quartz counters, custom mirrors and fixtures, a relaxing soaking tub, and a frameless glass walk-in shower. Residents of the gated Encore community enjoy exceptional amenities, including a private access road, heated pool and spa, expansive BBQ area, fitness center, and a beautifully appointed clubhouse with a full kitchen and recreation space.

  16. 2021-04-04
    soldstatus $700,000 Closed 942-char remark
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    Absolutely gorgeous condo townhome located in the sought after Encore at Grayhawk gated community. Situated on an ideal lot, this home has spectacular views of the city lights, mountains, and Grayhawk Talon Retreat Golf course. The gourmet kitchen incorporates custom cabinetry with ORB pulls, quartz counters, backsplash, breakfast bar, Lusso sink, GE Cafe appliances, and a 5 burner gas cooktop with griddle. Other features include freshly painted exterior, new carpet, charming gas family room fireplace, South facing covered balcony, and a 3 car garage with epoxy flooring. The master suite offers a walk-in closet and a full bathroom with dual sinks, quartz counters, custom mirrors and fixtures, soaker tub, and a frameless glass walk-in shower. The gated Encore community has endless features including a private access road, heated pool and spa, large BBQ area, workout facility, and a full clubhouse rec room equipped with a kitchen.

  17. 2021-04-01
    soldstatus $700,000
  18. 2021-03-30
    status Pending 942-char remark
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    Absolutely gorgeous condo townhome located in the sought after Encore at Grayhawk gated community. Situated on an ideal lot, this home has spectacular views of the city lights, mountains, and Grayhawk Talon Retreat Golf course. The gourmet kitchen incorporates custom cabinetry with ORB pulls, quartz counters, backsplash, breakfast bar, Lusso sink, GE Cafe appliances, and a 5 burner gas cooktop with griddle. Other features include freshly painted exterior, new carpet, charming gas family room fireplace, South facing covered balcony, and a 3 car garage with epoxy flooring. The master suite offers a walk-in closet and a full bathroom with dual sinks, quartz counters, custom mirrors and fixtures, soaker tub, and a frameless glass walk-in shower. The gated Encore community has endless features including a private access road, heated pool and spa, large BBQ area, workout facility, and a full clubhouse rec room equipped with a kitchen.

  19. 2021-03-29
    soldstatus $700,000 Closed 942-char remark
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    Absolutely gorgeous condo townhome located in the sought after Encore at Grayhawk gated community. Situated on an ideal lot, this home has spectacular views of the city lights, mountains, and Grayhawk Talon Retreat Golf course. The gourmet kitchen incorporates custom cabinetry with ORB pulls, quartz counters, backsplash, breakfast bar, Lusso sink, GE Cafe appliances, and a 5 burner gas cooktop with griddle. Other features include freshly painted exterior, new carpet, charming gas family room fireplace, South facing covered balcony, and a 3 car garage with epoxy flooring. The master suite offers a walk-in closet and a full bathroom with dual sinks, quartz counters, custom mirrors and fixtures, soaker tub, and a frameless glass walk-in shower. The gated Encore community has endless features including a private access road, heated pool and spa, large BBQ area, workout facility, and a full clubhouse rec room equipped with a kitchen.

  20. 2021-03-01
    status Pending 942-char remark
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    Absolutely gorgeous condo townhome located in the sought after Encore at Grayhawk gated community. Situated on an ideal lot, this home has spectacular views of the city lights, mountains, and Grayhawk Talon Retreat Golf course. The gourmet kitchen incorporates custom cabinetry with ORB pulls, quartz counters, backsplash, breakfast bar, Lusso sink, GE Cafe appliances, and a 5 burner gas cooktop with griddle. Other features include freshly painted exterior, new carpet, charming gas family room fireplace, South facing covered balcony, and a 3 car garage with epoxy flooring. The master suite offers a walk-in closet and a full bathroom with dual sinks, quartz counters, custom mirrors and fixtures, soaker tub, and a frameless glass walk-in shower. The gated Encore community has endless features including a private access road, heated pool and spa, large BBQ area, workout facility, and a full clubhouse rec room equipped with a kitchen.

  21. 2021-02-24
    listed $700,000 Active 942-char remark
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    Absolutely gorgeous condo townhome located in the sought after Encore at Grayhawk gated community. Situated on an ideal lot, this home has spectacular views of the city lights, mountains, and Grayhawk Talon Retreat Golf course. The gourmet kitchen incorporates custom cabinetry with ORB pulls, quartz counters, backsplash, breakfast bar, Lusso sink, GE Cafe appliances, and a 5 burner gas cooktop with griddle. Other features include freshly painted exterior, new carpet, charming gas family room fireplace, South facing covered balcony, and a 3 car garage with epoxy flooring. The master suite offers a walk-in closet and a full bathroom with dual sinks, quartz counters, custom mirrors and fixtures, soaker tub, and a frameless glass walk-in shower. The gated Encore community has endless features including a private access road, heated pool and spa, large BBQ area, workout facility, and a full clubhouse rec room equipped with a kitchen.

  22. 2015-10-16
    soldstatus $470,000 Closed
  23. 2015-10-16
    soldstatus $470,000
  24. 2015-09-24
    status Pending
  25. 2015-08-06
    price $515,000
  26. 2015-06-05
    price $545,000
  27. 2015-03-09
    price $595,000
  28. 2015-01-27
    listed $619,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,784 · $399/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,115 · $426/mo
Expected delta
+$331/yr (+$28/mo · 6.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AO · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$72,668
− Mortgage interest
−$43,412
− Property taxes
−$4,784
− Insurance
−$5,342
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,813
− Management
−$5,813
− HOA
−$6,720
− Depreciation
−$22,545
Taxable loss
−$21,763
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,223
After-tax cash flow
$-2,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
NCES district ID
0405930
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$64,106
Composite
37.89/100
National rank
#4316
State rank
#56 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

Score
80/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsdale, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
290,846
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
45,346
Household income
$140,616
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
1034.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.64%
Current HPI
330.9931
Rent YoY
▲ 4.42%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $775,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-04-04 Sold (MLS) $700,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $700,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-30 Pending ARMLS
  • 2021-03-29 Sold (MLS) $700,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-03-01 Pending ARMLS
  • 2021-02-24 Listed $700,000 ARMLS
  • 2015-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $470,000 Public Records
  • 2015-10-16 Sold (MLS) $470,000 ARMLS
  • 2015-09-24 Pending ARMLS
  • 2015-08-06 Price Changed $515,000 ARMLS
  • 2015-06-05 Price Changed $545,000 ARMLS
  • 2015-03-09 Price Changed $595,000 ARMLS
  • 2015-01-27 Listed $619,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,784 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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