3030 Marcos Dr Unit T301 · Aventura, FL 33160

$255,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,083 sqft · Condo public records · 135 Days on market

Built 1968 $615/mo HOA · 17% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.2/30.0
• 1% rule +9.3/10.0
• DSCR +7.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.3/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Fall in love with your captivating waterfront sanctuary! This beautifully remodeled, move-in ready corner home features a bright open floor plan and modern finishes. Enjoy a gated community just minutes from shopping and dining. BEAUTIFUL COMMUNITY +55 WITH AN AMAZING WATER VIEW, 24 HOURS SECURITY, GATED COMMUNITY, BEAUTIFULLY 2 BDRM 2 BTH, OPENED KITCHEN, WOOD AND CERAMIC FLOORS, COURTESY BUS, BINGO, BILLIARD, BOWLING, MOVIES, 5 POOLS 2 HEATED, FREE LIVE SHOWS DURING SEASON, GYM, SAUNA PLUS MUCH MORE AMENITIES. LOWEST SELLING PRICE IN AVENTURA AND LOW HOA MONTHLY PAYMENT.

Key facts

• Gated community
• Remodeled corner
• Water view

Tags

• WATER VIEW
• GATED COMMUNITY
• REMODELED CORNER
• OPENED KITCHEN
• WOOD AND CERAMIC FLOORS
• 5 POOLS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Pets allowed with restrictions (conditional)
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $615; Association covers management, amenities, common areas, cable TV, internet, laundry, grounds and structure maintenance, parking, pest control, reserve fund, trash and water; Association amenities include boat dock, marina, pier, clubhouse, fitness center, pool, billiard room, library, storage, bike storage, laundry, transportation service and elevators; Senior community

Exterior

• Parking: Assigned detached garage space; Guest parking; One covered parking space
• Security: Security guard; Smoke detectors
• Utilities: Cable available
• Home design: Condo/attached property; Six-story building; Unit on entry level 3, entry located on level 3; East-facing; Updated/remodeled
• Construction: Brick and block construction; Resale property
• Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Open porch/patio; Fruit trees; Storm/security shutters; Association pool; Bayfront and lakefront access with navigable water and lake privileges; Complex fenced

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric range; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Wood
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Blinds and sliding window coverings; Accessible hallways; Closet cabinetry; Eat-in kitchen; Living/dining room; Pantry; Tub/shower
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $255k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $255k).
• Recommended offer: $224k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,639/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $168k; list at $255k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $224,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.43% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.69%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.58%
• DSCR: 1.38
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.97×
• Total profit: $-2,443
• Equity at exit: $80,833

10-year hold

• IRR: 2.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.27×
• Total profit: $19,270
• Equity at exit: $102,764

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33160

• Home prices YoY: 0.2%
• Rents YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 1870
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,639 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,337
• Tax from tax record: −$306 /mo · $3,667/yr
• Insurance: −$106
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$615
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$764
• Net cashflow: $84

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,532

Max offer price $255,000

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $63,750
• Closing costs: $7,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $615 · $7,380/yr
• Likely covers: waterpoolgymsecurity
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $255,000 Active 135 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $255,000 Active 134 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $255,000 Active 133 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $255,000 Active 132 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $255,000 Active 130 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $255,000 Active 126 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $255,000 Active 125 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $255,000 Active 124 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $255,000 Active 121 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $255,000 Active 120 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $255,000 Active 119 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $255,000 Active 118 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $255,000 Active 117 DOM
14. 2026-02-03
    listed $255,000 Active
15. 2014-02-28
    historical
16. 2013-08-27
    listed $209,900 Active
17. 2004-12-29
    soldstatus $167,500
18. 1973-01-01
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,667 · $306/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,667 · $306/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 91% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $43,662
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,284
• − Property taxes: −$3,667
• − Insurance: −$6,394
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,493
• − Management: −$3,493
• − HOA: −$7,380
• − Depreciation: −$7,418
• Taxable loss: −$2,466
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$592
• After-tax cash flow: $1,598/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Aventura

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #127
• US rank: #1834

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Aventura, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 43,718
• Household income: $67,040
• Rent vs Own: 41.0% rent · 59.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 3106.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
• Foreign-born: 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.53%
• Current HPI: 284.9293
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.94%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+628.6% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-03 Listed $255,000 MARMLS
• 2014-02-28 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2013-08-27 Listed $209,900 MARMLS
• 2004-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $167,500 Public Records
• 1973-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,667 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.