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303 E Louise Ave
D- Composite 36.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,000

303 E Louise Ave · Morristown, TN 37813
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1957 0.30 ac lot $125/sqft · at area comps Est $260k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offering approximately 2000 square feet with tons of potential in a convenient central Morristown location. Situated on a large lot with a huge driveway providing plenty of parking for multiple vehicles, RVs, boats, or work trucks. The property also features a large detached garage/workshop, covered patio area, and a spacious side yard with room to enjoy or customize to your needs. The home is livable as-is and offers a great opportunity for a buyer to add their own finishing touches and updates over time. With the generous floor plan, oversized parking area, and large lot, this property has endless possibilities for an owner-occupant or investment opportunity. Conveniently located close to shopping, restaurants, schools, and everyday amenities.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Huge driveway
  • Spacious side yard

Tags

CENTRAL MORRISTOWN LOCATIONLARGE LOTHUGE DRIVEWAYDETACHED GARAGECOVERED PATIO AREASPACIOUS SIDE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 124 (irregular); Lot size about 0.3 acres
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space); Covered parking for 2 vehicles; Carport (1 space); 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two levels
  • Construction: Built existing (year listed as existing); Stone, brick, vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Private, level lot; Patio; Storage structure on site

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and natural gas); Central air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Formal dining room; Basement (other); Wood and vinyl-style surfaces including carpet, laminate and vinyl
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-171 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (12.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (29.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.9% in Morristown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Hamblen County (urban): math 31% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #57 of 139 in TN (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 298 units permitted in Hamblen County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $239k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,508 (29.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.06%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$260,492
List price
$239,000
Delta
-8.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1423 E East Jackson Cir 0.74mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,050 (+7%) 11mo $305,000 $149 38
1154 Joe Hall Rd 0.66mi 5/3.5 1,821 (-5%) 23mo $260,000 $143 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-49,666
Equity at exit
$35,636
10-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-57,532
Equity at exit
$20,664

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37813

Home prices YoY
-12.9%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,675 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax from tax record
$141 /mo · $1,692/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$-171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,891
Max offer price $208,861
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $239,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $239,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $239,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $239,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $239,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $239,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $239,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $239,000 Active 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offering approximately 2000 square feet with tons of potential in a convenient central Morristown location. Situated on a large lot with a huge driveway providing plenty of parking for multiple vehicles, RVs, boats, or work trucks. The property also features a large detached garage/workshop, covered patio area, and a spacious side yard with room to enjoy or customize to your needs. The home is livable as-is and offers a great opportunity for a buyer to add their own finishing touches and updates over time. With the generous floor plan, oversized parking area, and large lot, this property has endless possibilities for an owner-occupant or investment opportunity. Conveniently located close to shopping, restaurants, schools, and everyday amenities.

  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $239,000 Active 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offering approximately 2000 square feet with tons of potential in a convenient central Morristown location. Situated on a large lot with a huge driveway providing plenty of parking for multiple vehicles, RVs, boats, or work trucks. The property also features a large detached garage/workshop, covered patio area, and a spacious side yard with room to enjoy or customize to your needs. The home is livable as-is and offers a great opportunity for a buyer to add their own finishing touches and updates over time. With the generous floor plan, oversized parking area, and large lot, this property has endless possibilities for an owner-occupant or investment opportunity. Conveniently located close to shopping, restaurants, schools, and everyday amenities.

  18. 2021-10-13
    soldstatus $129,900
  19. 2021-10-12
    soldstatus $129,900
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Fixer Upper, 5 Bedrooms, 2 story home in need of renovation. This home has a lot of potential. Fenced in side back yard, Combo1 car garage 1 carport, attached cover patio & Storage building with storage in back of The structure. Come take a look and bring your imagination with you. Being sold "AS IS" Show anytime it is vactant.

  20. 2021-05-04
    listed $129,999
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Fixer Upper, 5 Bedrooms, 2 story home in need of renovation. This home has a lot of potential. Fenced in side back yard, Combo1 car garage 1 carport, attached cover patio & Storage building with storage in back of The structure. Come take a look and bring your imagination with you. Being sold "AS IS" Show anytime it is vactant.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,692 · $141/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,697 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$5/yr ($0/mo · 0.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,101
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$1,692
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,608
− Management
−$1,608
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable loss
−$6,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,522
After-tax cash flow
$-525/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamblen County
NCES district ID
4700001
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$39,361
Composite
25.61/100
National rank
#7412
State rank
#57 of 139 in TN

Livability — Morristown

Score
64/100
State rank
#175
US rank
#14625

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Morristown, TN
City population
35,239
Population (ZIP)
17,479

Population outlook (Hamblen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,185 people
By 2030
65,707 · +0.8%
By 2040
66,189 · +1.5%
By 2050
65,798 · +0.9%
By 2075
62,642 · -3.9%
By 2100
55,702 · -14.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamblen

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.1% · R 79.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -58.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.9 2020: R+54.0 2016: R+57.2 2012: R+46.4 2008: R+38.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.81%
Current HPI
302.4655
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+83.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $239,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $239,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2021-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
  • 2021-10-12 Sold (MLS) $129,900 LAAR
  • 2021-05-04 Listed $129,999 LAAR

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,692 · +87.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…