5041 Rapido Rd · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1-story 3bed 1bath fully fenced South Park home ready for you. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 28606985, 64295644, 79580837, 8944513,67417929
Key facts
- 5,828 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kelso El (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 397 students, 99% FRL); Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,763/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.20%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,169
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -34.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7314 Forrestal St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-2%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $103 | 85 |
| 5106 Malmedy Rd | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,071 (+3%) | 10mo | $159,999 | $149 | 78 |
| 5041 Southwind St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (-2%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $191 | 70 |
| 5010 Gren St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (-2%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $133 | 64 |
| 7330 Hurtgen Forest Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,154 (+11%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $134 | 64 |
| 5306 Kenilwood Dr | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,038 (-0%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $77 | 60 |
| 5018 Balkin St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,048 (+1%) | 9mo | $189,000 | $180 | 57 |
| 5318 Longmeadow St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,138 (+9%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $110 | 54 |
| 5035 Andrea St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,156 (+11%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $169 | 53 |
| 7710 Sharondale Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+1%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $71 | 51 |
| 5014 Yellowstone Blvd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,190 (+14%) | 6mo | $189,900 | $160 | 45 |
| 7713 St Lo Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,151 (+11%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $174 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $31,418
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 35.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.68×
- Total profit
- $102,078
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77033
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,763 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,892/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $675
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $731 | -5% $703 | +0% $675 | +5% $647 | +10% $618 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $535 | -5% $605 | +0% $675 | +5% $744 | +10% $814 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $724 | -0.5pp $700 | base $675 | +0.5pp $649 | +1.0pp $623 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4942 Bataan Rd Unit 77033 Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5537 Bataan Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6928 Paris St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6926 Paris St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6532 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 20d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 1d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5835 Southmont St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 26d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,295 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,185 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7818 Calhoun Rd Unit 8 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5123 Dewberry St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1391 | $2,400 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5954 Doolittle Blvd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,575 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,149 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 26d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,790 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $3,500 | $2.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1375 | $3,500 | $2.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7032 Conley St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $2,850 | $2.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5918 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,700 | $1.29 | 17d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4007 Corder St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $885 | $1.09 | 26d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 5571 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,214 | $0.92 | 12d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,190 | $0.90 | 7d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2165 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,215 | $0.92 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,190 | $0.90 | 9d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,225 | $0.93 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,210 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5116 Griggs Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,316 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5154 Griggs Rd Unit CAVE Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,420 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,225 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,214 | $0.92 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,250 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5520 Griggs Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,241 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-03-23price $99,000 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
1-story 3bed 1bath fully fenced South Park home ready for you. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 28606985, 64295644, 79580837, 8944513,67417929
-
2025-11-15$105,000 Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
1-story 3bed 1bath fully fenced South Park home ready for you. May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 28606985, 64295644, 79580837, 8944513,67417929
-
2007-05-07soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,892 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,892 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,154
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,892
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,692
- − Management
- −$1,692
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $6,956
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,670
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,425/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,154
- Household income
- $38,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1728.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 212.6472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-5.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-15 Listed $105,000 HARMLS
- 2007-05-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,892 · +20.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…