1026 Oak St · Martinsville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special! This cute and quaint 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers incredible potential with an additional adjoining lot included—perfect for expansion, added privacy, or future development. Featuring charming original details and a cozy layout, this property is ideal for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to add value through renovation. Located in a quiet, convenient Martinsville neighborhood, this opportunity won't last long. Bring your vision and make this property shine!
Key facts
- Original details
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1956
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.9% in Martinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#231 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Martinsville City Public School District (town): math 29% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #122 of 131 in VA (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5 units permitted in Martinsville city in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martinsville County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $79k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.89%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $76,079
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- 3.84%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $11,694
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $41,655
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24112
- Active inventory
- 256
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,093 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $376/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1002 Oak St Martinsville, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,263 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 35 Circle Dr Martinsville, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,263 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 509 Monroe St Unit 6 Martinsville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $875 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 300 Dye Plant Rd Apt F Martinsville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $875 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 612 Church St E Apt 4 Martinsville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Active 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Investor Special! This cute and quaint 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers incredible potential with an additional adjoining lot included—perfect for expansion, added privacy, or future development. Featuring charming original details and a cozy layout, this property is ideal for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to add value through renovation. Located in a quiet, convenient Martinsville neighborhood, this opportunity won't last long. Bring your vision and make this property shine!
-
2026-04-17historical Active Under Contract 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Investor Special! This cute and quaint 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers incredible potential with an additional adjoining lot included—perfect for expansion, added privacy, or future development. Featuring charming original details and a cozy layout, this property is ideal for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to add value through renovation. Located in a quiet, convenient Martinsville neighborhood, this opportunity won't last long. Bring your vision and make this property shine!
-
2026-04-07price $79,000 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Investor Special! This cute and quaint 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers incredible potential with an additional adjoining lot included—perfect for expansion, added privacy, or future development. Featuring charming original details and a cozy layout, this property is ideal for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to add value through renovation. Located in a quiet, convenient Martinsville neighborhood, this opportunity won't last long. Bring your vision and make this property shine!
-
2025-12-02$85,000 Active 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Investor Special! This cute and quaint 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers incredible potential with an additional adjoining lot included—perfect for expansion, added privacy, or future development. Featuring charming original details and a cozy layout, this property is ideal for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to add value through renovation. Located in a quiet, convenient Martinsville neighborhood, this opportunity won't last long. Bring your vision and make this property shine!
-
1990-04-01soldstatus $28,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $376 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $648 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$272/yr (+$23/mo · 72.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,117
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$376
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,049
- − Management
- −$1,049
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $3,524
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$846
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,774/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martinsville City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102400
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -51.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,215
- Composite
- 33.43/100
- National rank
- #5467
- State rank
- #122 of 131 in VA
Livability — Martinsville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #231
- US rank
- #7826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Martinsville, VA
- County
- Martinsville City · 31,028 people
- City population
- 31,028
- Metro
- Martinsville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,028
- Household income
- $48,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 888.0
Population outlook (Martinsville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,026 people
- By 2030
- 12,673 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 11,933 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 11,136 · -14.5%
- By 2075
- 9,886 · -24.1%
- By 2100
- 8,334 · -36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martinsville
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.6) · D 60.7% · R 38.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: 28.0pp · 2024: 22.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.6 2020: D+26.6 2016: D+23.5 2012: D+24.6 2008: D+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.37%
- Current HPI
- 172.4393
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Martinsville, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+174.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — MHPCAR
- 2026-04-17 Contingent — MHPCAR
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $79,000 MHPCAR
- 2025-12-02 Listed $85,000 MHPCAR
- 1990-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $376 · +15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…