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1003 Williams St
B Composite 72.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$72,000

1003 Williams St · Jackson, MI 49203
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,458 sqft · SingleFamily · 105 Days on market
Built 1900 4,356 sqft lot $49/sqft · 5% below area Est $76k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 105 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $742 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #458 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 18 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,520 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
18.67%
Cash-on-cash
44.20%
DSCR
2.97
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,855
List price
$72,000
Delta
-5.08%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1003 Williams St 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,458 (0%) 1mo $65,000 $45 99
1013 Maple Ave 0.06mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,435 (-2%) 1mo $110,200 $77 85
1023 Maple Ave 0.08mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,447 (-1%) 3mo $10,600 $7 83
140 Moore St 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (-0%) 1mo $105,000 $72 79
1028 Woodbridge St 0.33mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,388 (-5%) 1mo $59,200 $43 68
409 Garfield St 0.44mi 4/1.5 1,359 (-7%) 3mo $170,000 $125 64
314 Mitchell St 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,589 (+9%) 1mo $65,501 $41 62
714 S Mechanic St 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,276 (-12%) 3mo $60,000 $47 60
732 W Morrell St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,423 (-2%) 3mo $157,000 $110 57
1235 Sheldon St 0.40mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,296 (-11%) 3mo $100,000 $77 54
1505 Carl Breeding Way 0.63mi 4/2.0 1,607 (+10%) 2mo $162,000 $101 52
911 4th St 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,283 (-12%) 1mo $170,000 $133 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.5%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$43,600
Equity at exit
$10,735
10-year hold
IRR
54.4%
Equity multiple
7.69×
Total profit
$134,788
Equity at exit
$6,225

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49203

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,656 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,899/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$742

Break-even live

Break-even rent $716
Max offer price $72,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $783 -5% $763 +0% $742 +5% $722 +10% $702
Rent -10% $612 -5% $677 +0% $742 +5% $808 +10% $873
Rate -1.0pp $779 -0.5pp $761 base $742 +0.5pp $724 +1.0pp $705

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
408 N Perrine St Jackson, MI 3.0 1.0 990 $1,350 $1.36 45d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  2. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  3. 2026-05-08
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  4. 2026-04-01
    price $72,000 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  5. 2026-04-01
    status Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  6. 2026-04-01
    price $72,000 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  7. 2026-04-01
    status Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  8. 2026-04-01
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  9. 2026-04-01
    price $72,000
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  10. 2026-03-16
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  11. 2026-03-16
    historical Active Under Contract 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  12. 2026-03-16
    historical Active - Contingent
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  13. 2026-02-18
    price $74,900 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  14. 2026-02-17
    price $74,900 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  15. 2026-02-17
    price $74,900
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  16. 2026-01-23
    listed $79,900 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  17. 2026-01-23
    listed $79,900 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  18. 2026-01-23
    listed $79,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Current single family rental property. 4 bed, 2 bath, with main floor bedroom and bathroom access. Current rented until Oct for $1,200/month (Section 8).

  19. 2025-11-01
    historical
  20. 2025-10-31
    historical
  21. 2025-10-07
    price $79,900
  22. 2025-10-07
    price $79,900
  23. 2025-10-07
    price $79,900
  24. 2025-09-08
    listed $85,000 Active
  25. 2025-09-08
    listed $85,000 Active
  26. 2025-08-29
    soldstatus $225,000 Closed
  27. 2025-08-29
    soldstatus $225,000 Closed
  28. 2025-08-26
    status Pending
  29. 2025-08-26
    status Pending
  30. 2025-06-26
    listed $320,000 Active
  31. 2025-06-26
    listed $320,000 Active
  32. 2025-05-02
    historical
  33. 2025-05-01
    historical
  34. 2025-04-24
    price $75,000
  35. 2025-04-24
    price $75,000
  36. 2025-04-24
    price $75,000
  37. 2025-03-20
    price $77,000
  38. 2025-03-19
    price $77,000
  39. 2025-03-19
    price $77,000
  40. 2025-02-17
    price $82,000
  41. 2025-02-17
    price $82,000
  42. 2025-02-17
    price $82,000
  43. 2024-12-11
    listed $85,000 Active
  44. 2024-12-11
    listed $85,000 Active
  45. 2024-08-13
    soldstatus $75,000
  46. 2024-08-03
    historical $1,050
  47. 2024-08-01
    soldstatus $75,000 Sold
  48. 2024-08-01
    soldstatus $75,000 Sold
  49. 2024-08-01
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed
  50. 2024-07-12
    listed $1,050

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,899 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,899 · $158/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,873
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$1,899
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,590
− Management
−$1,590
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable income
$8,307
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,994
After-tax cash flow
$6,916/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public Schools
NCES district ID
2619620
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,344
Composite
17.99/100
National rank
#8986
State rank
#458 of 540 in MI

Livability — Jackson

Score
74/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#4970

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MI
County
Jackson County · 85,581 people
City population
85,581
Metro
Jackson, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,474
Household income
$56,201
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
1383.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
156,365 people
By 2030
153,123 · -2.1%
By 2040
144,981 · -7.3%
By 2050
135,671 · -13.2%
By 2075
113,833 · -27.2%
By 2100
86,592 · -44.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.09%
Current HPI
211.5474
Rent YoY
▲ 7.54%
Metro
Jackson, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+102.8% since first listed
65 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $72,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $72,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-16 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $74,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $74,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-09-08 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-08 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Sold (MLS) $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Sold (MLS) $225,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-26 Listed $320,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-26 Listed $320,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $75,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-03-20 Price Changed $77,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-19 Price Changed $77,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-19 Price Changed $77,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-02-17 Price Changed $82,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-17 Price Changed $82,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-17 Price Changed $82,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-12-11 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-11 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2024-08-03 Rental Removed $1,050 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-01 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-01 Sold (MLS) $75,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-08-01 Sold (MLS) $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-07-12 Listed for Rent $1,050 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-07 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-06-07 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2024-06-07 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-05-29 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-29 Listed $80,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-05-27 Coming Soon $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-27 Coming Soon $80,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-05-24 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-12-14 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2022-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2022-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records
  • 2021-07-23 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-03-07 Listed $35,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-03-07 Listed $35,500 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,899 · +28.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…