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1407 Grand Ave
B Composite 70.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.2/10.0

$80,000

1407 Grand Ave · Yazoo City, MS 39194
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Other public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1941 7,405 sqft lot ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1407 Grand Avenue in Yazoo City, Mississippi--a charming and well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located in the heart of Yazoo City. This inviting property offers both comfort and opportunity. Enjoy outdoor living with a fully fenced backyard that features a rear carport for convenient parking, a storage shed for tools and equipment, and a pre-established garden--ready for you to start growing your own plants or vegetables from day one. The home is complemented by major recent upgrades, including a brand-new roof with a 25-year warranty and an updated 200 AMP electrical service, providing modern reliability and efficiency. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors,

Key facts

  • Rear carport
  • Storage shed
  • New roof

Tags

FULLY FENCED BACKYARDREAR CARPORTSTORAGE SHEDPRE-ESTABLISHED GARDENNEW ROOFUPDATED ELECTRICAL SERVICE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.2% in Yazoo City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#328 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Yazoo City Municipal School District (town): math 2% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #130 of 130 in MS (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Yazoo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Yazoo County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.10%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$34,935
Equity at exit
$41,276
10-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
5.02×
Total profit
$90,011
Equity at exit
$68,087

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39194

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,040 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $599/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $636
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-03-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-17
    listed $80,000 Active
  3. 2025-11-28
    historical
  4. 2025-10-22
    status Active
  5. 2025-10-01
    historical
  6. 2025-09-22
    price $82,000
  7. 2025-08-16
    price $90,000
  8. 2025-07-28
    listed $100,000 Active
  9. 1987-05-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$599 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$632 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$33/yr (+$3/mo · 5.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,485
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$599
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$999
− Management
−$999
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$2,680
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$643
After-tax cash flow
$3,187/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yazoo City Municipal School District
NCES district ID
2804770
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$21,256
Composite
1.89/100
National rank
#10103
State rank
#130 of 130 in MS

Livability — Yazoo City

Score
53/100
State rank
#328
US rank
#24436

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yazoo City, MS
Population (ZIP)
19,699

Population outlook (Yazoo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,281 people
By 2030
25,642 · -2.4%
By 2040
24,214 · -7.9%
By 2050
22,492 · -14.4%
By 2075
18,417 · -29.9%
By 2100
14,019 · -46.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Yazoo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.8%
2008→2024 swing
-9.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -2.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.4 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+6.6 2012: D+15.3 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.15%
Current HPI
106.1251
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-20.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $80,000 MLSU
  • 2025-11-28 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-10-22 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-09-22 Price Changed $82,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-16 Price Changed $90,000 MLSU
  • 2025-07-28 Listed $100,000 MLSU
  • 1987-05-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-6.0%/yr

Latest (2021): $599 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…