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18435 Robson St
B Composite 74.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

18435 Robson St · Detroit, MI 48235
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 925 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1939 4,792 sqft lot Est $105k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take some time to tour this strong 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home located on Detroit's west side. Excellent choice as a family home or an investment property. buyer to verify all measurements

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1939

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area approximately 925 square feet; Lot size about 0.11 acre (approx. 4,792 units listed)
  • Financial info: Annual tax information available
  • HOA & community: Property is part of a homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-one-half story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Public water and sewer available; Lot in Blackstone Park Subdivision; cross street 7 Mile & Coyle

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms (includes bedrooms and other living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $90k implies a 619% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.47%
Cash-on-cash
22.04%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,525
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18435 Robson St 0.00mi 3/1.0 925 (0%) 0mo $86,000 $93 100
17576 Hubbell St 0.38mi 3/1.0 925 (0%) 12mo $104,900 $113 72
18267 Stansbury St 0.51mi 3/1.0 926 (+0%) 12mo $146,000 $158 66
18460 Winthrop St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,002 (+8%) 7mo $65,000 $65 64
19152 Whitcomb St 0.42mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,012 (+9%) 1mo $110,000 $109 57
19193 Lesure St 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 909 (-2%) 1mo $140,000 $154 54
19348 Montrose St 0.66mi 3/1.5 990 (+7%) 5mo $145,900 $147 51
18282 Freeland St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+12%) 12mo $72,500 $70 50
18518 Prevost St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 844 (-9%) 11mo $125,000 $148 48
19215 Winthrop St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,030 (+11%) 6mo $137,000 $133 47
19165 Rutherford St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,013 (+10%) 6mo $43,500 $43 46
18235 Tracey St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,055 (+14%) 4mo $67,000 $64 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$15,244
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$52,681
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48235

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,362 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,259/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$462

Break-even live

Break-even rent $777
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18481 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 19d 1 0.25mi
18427 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 952 $980 $1.03 5d 1 0.31mi
18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 3d 1 0.56mi
18268 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 17d 1 0.62mi
18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 0.66mi
18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 24d 1 0.72mi
17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $2,400 $2.26 2d 1 0.80mi
19440 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.82mi
19467 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.86mi
19474 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 896 $1,075 $1.20 5d 1 0.98mi
18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,175 $1.62 44d 1 1.06mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 11d 1 1.13mi
19736 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $995 $1.43 12d 1 1.19mi
18675 Meyers Rd Unit 18677 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 942 $1,100 $1.17 44d 1 1.20mi
20555 Motor Dr Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,222 $1.63 15d 5 1.33mi
18494 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 17d 1 1.33mi
16503 Ward Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 1.39mi
20210 Biltmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $1,350 $1.31 24d 1 1.40mi
17150 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $975 $1.26 44d 2 1.43mi
20203 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1031 $1,250 $1.21 5d 1 1.46mi
19818 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,275 $1.41 44d 1 1.46mi
15468 Sussex St #2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Take some time to tour this strong 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home located on Detroit's west side. Excellent choice as a family home or an investment property. buyer to verify all measurements

  2. 2026-05-22
    status Pending 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Take some time to tour this strong 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home located on Detroit's west side. Excellent choice as a family home or an investment property. buyer to verify all measurements

  3. 2026-05-20
    listed $89,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Take some time to tour this strong 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home located on Detroit's west side. Excellent choice as a family home or an investment property. buyer to verify all measurements

  4. 2026-05-20
    listed $89,900 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Take some time to tour this strong 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home located on Detroit's west side. Excellent choice as a family home or an investment property. buyer to verify all measurements

  5. 2009-07-02
    historical
  6. 2009-02-03
    listed $37,500
  7. 2008-09-29
    soldstatus $12,500
  8. 2008-08-20
    listed $10,900
  9. 2004-06-11
    historical
  10. 2004-05-11
    listed $104,000
  11. 2001-01-23
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,259 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,322 · $110/mo
Expected delta
+$62/yr (+$5/mo · 5.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,349
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,259
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,308
− Management
−$1,308
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$4,373
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,049
After-tax cash flow
$4,500/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
45,600
Household income
$39,265
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
3064.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -153.02%
Current HPI
263.6326
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-07-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-02-03 Listed $37,500 REALCOMP
  • 2008-09-29 Sold (MLS) $12,500 REALCOMP
  • 2008-08-20 Listed $10,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-06-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-05-11 Listed $104,000 REALCOMP
  • 2001-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,259 · -54.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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