Duplex
511 Oildale Dr · Oildale, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 39 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 45 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Built in 2000 with positive cash flow.
Key facts
- Move in ready
- Strong rental income
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Price per unit listed at $135,000
- Financial info: Two total dwelling units; Owner-occupied (per financial info); Annual gross income approximately $25,800; Annual net income approximately $29,300; Total annual expenses approximately $3,500; Income/expense reported as pro forma; Actual monthly rents: one unit at $800, two units at $1,350 each; Vacancy factor assumed at 10%
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer service
- Home design: Single-story building; R2 zoning
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Uncovered parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Two dishwashers total
- Bedrooms: Two unit types each with 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Units with 1 bathroom each
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Tenant-occupied
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $576 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $288/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.9% in Oildale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#680 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Beardsley Elementary (suburban): math 7% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #501 of 517 in CA (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Beardsley Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,564 of 1,571 statewide, top 100%, 421 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 76% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,999/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2931% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $270k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.14%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $414,050
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 E Warren Ave | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (-3%) | 15mo | $400,000 | $245 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-9,421
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $29,577
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93308
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 15.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,999 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$265 /mo · $3,181/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$630
- Net cashflow
- $576
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $729 | -5% $652 | +0% $576 | +5% $499 | +10% $423 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $339 | -5% $457 | +0% $576 | +5% $694 | +10% $813 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $712 | -0.5pp $644 | base $576 | +0.5pp $506 | +1.0pp $435 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,000 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,500 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,500 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,999 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-07$270,000 Active
-
2016-01-08soldstatus $110,000
-
2010-02-26soldstatus $55,000 38-char remark
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
Built in 2000 with positive cash flow.
-
2010-02-26soldstatus $55,000
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
Built in 2000 with positive cash flow.
-
2009-11-18$55,000 38-char remark
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
Built in 2000 with positive cash flow.
-
2002-09-06soldstatus $92,000 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Original structure was removed & this DX was moved onto site w/ utility & water heater rms. added. Units were completely remodeled w/ new plumbing & elect. , tile, cabinets, paint & carpet in early 2001, all done w/ permits. Prox. 1664 sq. ft. - Rents now @ $525 ea.
-
2002-09-06soldstatus $92,000
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Original structure was removed & this DX was moved onto site w/ utility & water heater rms. added. Units were completely remodeled w/ new plumbing & elect. , tile, cabinets, paint & carpet in early 2001, all done w/ permits. Prox. 1664 sq. ft. - Rents now @ $525 ea.
-
2002-07-26historical 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Original structure was removed & this DX was moved onto site w/ utility & water heater rms. added. Units were completely remodeled w/ new plumbing & elect. , tile, cabinets, paint & carpet in early 2001, all done w/ permits. Prox. 1664 sq. ft. - Rents now @ $525 ea.
-
2002-07-26price $96,000 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Original structure was removed & this DX was moved onto site w/ utility & water heater rms. added. Units were completely remodeled w/ new plumbing & elect. , tile, cabinets, paint & carpet in early 2001, all done w/ permits. Prox. 1664 sq. ft. - Rents now @ $525 ea.
-
2002-06-03$92,000 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Original structure was removed & this DX was moved onto site w/ utility & water heater rms. added. Units were completely remodeled w/ new plumbing & elect. , tile, cabinets, paint & carpet in early 2001, all done w/ permits. Prox. 1664 sq. ft. - Rents now @ $525 ea.
-
1998-12-22soldstatus $8,000
-
1998-12-02price $9,995
-
1998-12-02historical
-
1998-11-24$8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,181 · $265/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,181 · $265/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 39 unhealthy d/yr today · 45 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$3,181
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,879
- − Management
- −$2,879
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable income
- $2,720
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$653
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,255/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beardsley Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0604260
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,808
- Composite
- 9.63/100
- National rank
- #9841
- State rank
- #501 of 517 in CA
Livability — Oildale
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #680
- US rank
- #20848
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oildale, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,078
- Household income
- $62,445
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2931.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.52%
- Current HPI
- 825.65
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.22%
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+3275.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — GEMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $270,000 GEMLS
- 2016-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2010-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2010-02-26 Sold (MLS) $55,000 GEMLS
- 2009-11-18 Listed $55,000 GEMLS
- 2002-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-06 Sold (MLS) $92,000 GEMLS
- 2002-07-26 Price Changed $96,000 GEMLS
- 2002-07-26 Delisted — GEMLS
- 2002-06-03 Listed $92,000 GEMLS
- 1998-12-22 Sold (MLS) $8,000 GEMLS
- 1998-12-02 Delisted — GEMLS
- 1998-12-02 Price Changed $9,995 GEMLS
- 1998-11-24 Listed $8,000 GEMLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,181 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…