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511 Oildale Dr Duplex
B- Composite 66.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$270,000

511 Oildale Dr · Oildale, CA 93308
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,690 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2000 6,969 sqft lot Est $414k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 2000 with positive cash flow.

Key facts

  • Move in ready
  • Strong rental income
  • Conveniently located

Tags

LIGHT FILLED KITCHENSAMPLE CABINET STORAGEWASHER AND DRYER HOOKUPSMOVE IN READYSTRONG RENTAL INCOMECONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Price per unit listed at $135,000
  • Financial info: Two total dwelling units; Owner-occupied (per financial info); Annual gross income approximately $25,800; Annual net income approximately $29,300; Total annual expenses approximately $3,500; Income/expense reported as pro forma; Actual monthly rents: one unit at $800, two units at $1,350 each; Vacancy factor assumed at 10%

Exterior

  • Parking: Uncovered parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer service
  • Home design: Single-story building; R2 zoning
  • Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Uncovered parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Two dishwashers total
  • Bedrooms: Two unit types each with 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Units with 1 bathroom each
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Tenant-occupied
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $576 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $288/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.9% in Oildale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#680 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Beardsley Elementary (suburban): math 7% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #501 of 517 in CA (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Beardsley Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,564 of 1,571 statewide, top 100%, 421 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 76% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,999/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2931% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $270k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $270,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.85%
Cash-on-cash
9.14%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$414,050
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
119 E Warren Ave 0.64mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,632 (-3%) 15mo $400,000 $245 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-9,421
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$29,577
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93308

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
312
Price-to-rent
15.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,999 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$265 /mo · $3,181/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$630
Net cashflow
$576

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,270
Max offer price $270,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $729 -5% $652 +0% $576 +5% $499 +10% $423
Rent -10% $339 -5% $457 +0% $576 +5% $694 +10% $813
Rate -1.0pp $712 -0.5pp $644 base $576 +0.5pp $506 +1.0pp $435

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,999

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $270,000 Active
  3. 2016-01-08
    soldstatus $110,000
  4. 2010-02-26
    soldstatus $55,000 38-char remark
    Show marketing remark (38 chars)

    Built in 2000 with positive cash flow.

  5. 2010-02-26
    soldstatus $55,000
    Show marketing remark (38 chars)

    Built in 2000 with positive cash flow.

  6. 2009-11-18
    listed $55,000 38-char remark
    Show marketing remark (38 chars)

    Built in 2000 with positive cash flow.

  7. 2002-09-06
    soldstatus $92,000 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Original structure was removed & this DX was moved onto site w/ utility & water heater rms. added. Units were completely remodeled w/ new plumbing & elect. , tile, cabinets, paint & carpet in early 2001, all done w/ permits. Prox. 1664 sq. ft. - Rents now @ $525 ea.

  8. 2002-09-06
    soldstatus $92,000
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Original structure was removed & this DX was moved onto site w/ utility & water heater rms. added. Units were completely remodeled w/ new plumbing & elect. , tile, cabinets, paint & carpet in early 2001, all done w/ permits. Prox. 1664 sq. ft. - Rents now @ $525 ea.

  9. 2002-07-26
    historical 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Original structure was removed & this DX was moved onto site w/ utility & water heater rms. added. Units were completely remodeled w/ new plumbing & elect. , tile, cabinets, paint & carpet in early 2001, all done w/ permits. Prox. 1664 sq. ft. - Rents now @ $525 ea.

  10. 2002-07-26
    price $96,000 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Original structure was removed & this DX was moved onto site w/ utility & water heater rms. added. Units were completely remodeled w/ new plumbing & elect. , tile, cabinets, paint & carpet in early 2001, all done w/ permits. Prox. 1664 sq. ft. - Rents now @ $525 ea.

  11. 2002-06-03
    listed $92,000 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Original structure was removed & this DX was moved onto site w/ utility & water heater rms. added. Units were completely remodeled w/ new plumbing & elect. , tile, cabinets, paint & carpet in early 2001, all done w/ permits. Prox. 1664 sq. ft. - Rents now @ $525 ea.

  12. 1998-12-22
    soldstatus $8,000
  13. 1998-12-02
    price $9,995
  14. 1998-12-02
    historical
  15. 1998-11-24
    listed $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,181 · $265/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,181 · $265/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 39 unhealthy d/yr today · 45 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,988
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$3,181
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,879
− Management
−$2,879
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable income
$2,720
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$653
After-tax cash flow
$6,255/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beardsley Elementary
NCES district ID
0604260
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$28,808
Composite
9.63/100
National rank
#9841
State rank
#501 of 517 in CA

Livability — Oildale

Score
58/100
State rank
#680
US rank
#20848

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oildale, CA
County
Kern County · 710,371 people
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
Population (ZIP)
55,078
Household income
$62,445
Rent vs Own
51.3% rent · 48.7% own
Severe rent burden
2931.0

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
947,286 people
By 2030
978,984 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,045,018 · +10.3%
By 2050
1,105,232 · +16.7%
By 2075
1,229,538 · +29.8%
By 2100
1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.52%
Current HPI
825.65
Rent YoY
▲ 2.22%
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3275.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending GEMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $270,000 GEMLS
  • 2016-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2010-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2010-02-26 Sold (MLS) $55,000 GEMLS
  • 2009-11-18 Listed $55,000 GEMLS
  • 2002-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2002-09-06 Sold (MLS) $92,000 GEMLS
  • 2002-07-26 Price Changed $96,000 GEMLS
  • 2002-07-26 Delisted GEMLS
  • 2002-06-03 Listed $92,000 GEMLS
  • 1998-12-22 Sold (MLS) $8,000 GEMLS
  • 1998-12-02 Delisted GEMLS
  • 1998-12-02 Price Changed $9,995 GEMLS
  • 1998-11-24 Listed $8,000 GEMLS

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,181 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…