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1604 Cynthia Dr
D- Composite 35.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,990

1604 Cynthia Dr · Midwest City, OK 73130
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 860 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1966 8,102 sqft lot $169/sqft · 8% above area Est $134k · 8% over ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Amazing investment opportunity, or starter home. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, nice big yard. Currently tenant occupied on month-to-month lease at $650/mo. Tenant is interested in staying.

Key facts

  • Stylish fixtures
  • New paint
  • Updated flooring

Tags

NEW PAINTUPDATED FLOORINGSTYLISH FIXTURESCONVENIENT MIDWEST CITY AREAQUICK ACCESS TO TINKER AFBMAJOR HIGHWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area listed as 860 (assessor); Directions: Head S from NE 16th St onto Cynthia Dr. Property is right before you have to turn left, property is on the E side of the st.
  • Financial info: Loan qualifying available; Not assumable
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property; Existing property
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on an existing lot
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Interior lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on one level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: One living area; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($287/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (20.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Star Spencer Hs (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #430 of 447 statewide, top 99%, 378 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 82% district-wide (82 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $145k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,229 (20.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.71%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,661
List price
$144,990
Delta
8.48%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1804 N Saint Peter Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 856 (-0%) 5mo $22,000 $26 84
1408 N Douglas Blvd 0.20mi 2/1.0 822 (-4%) 1mo $137,000 $167 83
1417 Mcdonald Dr 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 918 (+7%) 1mo $134,000 $146 66
8924 NE 17th St 0.29mi 2/1.0 946 (+10%) 11mo $145,000 $153 61
9336 NE 16th St 0.24mi 2/1.0 808 (-6%) 22mo $130,000 $161 61
1316 Mcgregor Dr 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+5%) 20mo $95,000 $106 50
1521 Mcdonald Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 978 (+14%) 6mo $149,000 $152 47
1617 N Christine Dr 0.44mi 2/2.0 962 (+12%) 14mo $98,000 $102 44
8905 NE 12th St 0.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 956 (+11%) 17mo $127,000 $133 44
9304 NE 11th St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 932 (+8%) 24mo $110,000 $118 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-18,772
Equity at exit
$21,618
10-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-490
Equity at exit
$12,536

Cash invested: $40,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73130

Home prices YoY
-21.0%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,152 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $787/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,122
Max offer price $144,990
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $106 -5% $65 +0% $24 +5% $-17 +10% $-58
Rent -10% $-67 -5% $-22 +0% $24 +5% $69 +10% $115
Rate -1.0pp $97 -0.5pp $61 base $24 +0.5pp $-14 +1.0pp $-52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,248
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9212 Jennifer Pl Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 960 $1,250 $1.30 44d 1 0.08mi
1400 Marydale Ave Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1082 $1,150 $1.06 16d 1 0.25mi
1168 N Douglas Blvd Oklahoma City, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,020 $1.41 17d 1 0.34mi
1525 McGregor Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 1012 $1,275 $1.26 2d 1 0.40mi
1617 N Christine Dr Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 2.0 962 $1,050 $1.09 24d 1 0.45mi
1632 N Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 772 $895 $1.16 15d 1 0.65mi
8511 Justin Pl Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 962 $950 $0.99 15d 1 0.71mi
1809 Michell Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,095 $0.97 3d 1 0.73mi
1020 N Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 962 $895 $0.93 24d 1 0.75mi
4033 S Locust Dr Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 24d 1 0.75mi
1014 Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 2.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 44d 1 0.76mi
8910 Oak Valley Dr Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 2.0 935 $1,000 $1.07 21d 1 0.84mi
1008 Willow Brook Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 1045 $1,125 $1.08 24d 1 0.90mi
801 Royal Ave Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 951 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 0.93mi
633 Lotus Ave Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1038 $1,300 $1.25 11d 1 0.98mi
801 Meadowridge Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 1095 $1,095 $1.00 44d 1 1.03mi
3609 Woodside Dr Midwest City, OK 3.0 1.0 858 $995 $1.16 3d 1 1.04mi
3513 Parkwoods Ln Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 903 $1,150 $1.27 45d 1 1.04mi
2823 Juvene Cir Spencer, OK 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,800 $1.67 3d 1 1.06mi
10220 Isaac Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,250 $1.13 44d 1 1.11mi
1312 N Midwest Blvd Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 946 $970 $1.03 3d 1 1.11mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK 3.0 2.0 1087 $1,000 $0.92 3d 1 1.23mi
3512 N Holman Ct Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,275 $1.17 3d 1 1.23mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 112 Midwest City, OK 2.0 1.0 970 $940 $0.97 4d 1 1.27mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 167 Midwest City, OK 3.0 2.0 1087 $1,000 $0.92 4d 1 1.27mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Apt 255 Midwest City, OK 2.0 1.0 970 $940 $0.97 20d 1 1.27mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 104 Midwest City, OK 1.0 1.0 735 $800 $1.09 11d 1 1.27mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK 3.0 2.0 1087 $1,000 $0.92 21d 1 1.28mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK 3.0 2.0 1087 $1,000 $0.92 24d 1 1.28mi
1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 803 $850 $1.06 12d 34 1.28mi
1520 Patricia Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 44d 1 1.31mi
3413 Willow Creek Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 872 $975 $1.12 3d 1 1.35mi
3409 Willow Creek Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 932 $1,050 $1.13 24d 1 1.35mi
9705 Oak Tree Ter Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,410 $1.28 11d 1 1.36mi
8801 Saint George Way Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,175 $1.05 24d 1 1.37mi
8801 Saint George Way Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,175 $1.05 11d 1 1.37mi
7801 NE 10th St Oklahoma City, OK 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 940 $999 $1.06 2d 23 1.38mi
8717 Saint George Way Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 2.0 1075 $1,150 $1.07 24d 1 1.40mi
3508 N Douglas Blvd Unit 13 Spencer, OK 2.0 1.0 650 $655 $1.01 21d 1 1.43mi
8517 E Reno Ave Oklahoma City, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 837 $859 $1.03 5d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    listed $144,990 Active 685-char remark
  2. 2026-03-10
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed 182-char remark
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    Amazing investment opportunity, or starter home. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, nice big yard. Currently tenant occupied on month-to-month lease at $650/mo. Tenant is interested in staying.

  3. 2026-01-09
    status Pending 182-char remark
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    Amazing investment opportunity, or starter home. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, nice big yard. Currently tenant occupied on month-to-month lease at $650/mo. Tenant is interested in staying.

  4. 2025-12-01
    listed $100,000 Active 182-char remark
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    Amazing investment opportunity, or starter home. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, nice big yard. Currently tenant occupied on month-to-month lease at $650/mo. Tenant is interested in staying.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$787 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,305 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$518/yr (+$43/mo · 65.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,827
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$787
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,106
− Management
−$1,106
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$2,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$537
After-tax cash flow
$824/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oklahoma City
NCES district ID
4022770
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,606
Composite
7.0/100
National rank
#9970
State rank
#254 of 270 in OK

Livability — Midwest City

Score
71/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#6637

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Midwest City, OK
County
Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
City population
57,386
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
21,476
Household income
$71,189
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
378.0

Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
911,875 people
By 2030
982,413 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,130,468 · +24.0%
By 2050
1,288,422 · +41.3%
By 2075
1,711,482 · +87.7%
By 2100
2,088,448 · +129.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 18% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.22%
Current HPI
245.8385
Rent YoY
▲ 5.73%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2026-05-27 Pending MLSOK
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $144,990 MLSOK
  • 2026-03-10 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-01-09 Pending MLSOK
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $100,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $787 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…