1604 Cynthia Dr · Midwest City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- ARV discount +3.7/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Amazing investment opportunity, or starter home. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, nice big yard. Currently tenant occupied on month-to-month lease at $650/mo. Tenant is interested in staying.
Key facts
- Stylish fixtures
- New paint
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area listed as 860 (assessor); Directions: Head S from NE 16th St onto Cynthia Dr. Property is right before you have to turn left, property is on the E side of the st.
- Financial info: Loan qualifying available; Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property; Existing property
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on an existing lot
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Interior lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on one level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: One living area; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($287/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (20.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Star Spencer Hs (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #430 of 447 statewide, top 99%, 378 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 82% district-wide (82 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $145k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.71%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,661
- List price
- $144,990
- Delta
- 8.48%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1804 N Saint Peter Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 856 (-0%) | 5mo | $22,000 | $26 | 84 |
| 1408 N Douglas Blvd | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 822 (-4%) | 1mo | $137,000 | $167 | 83 |
| 1417 Mcdonald Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 918 (+7%) | 1mo | $134,000 | $146 | 66 |
| 8924 NE 17th St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 946 (+10%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $153 | 61 |
| 9336 NE 16th St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 808 (-6%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 1316 Mcgregor Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+5%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $106 | 50 |
| 1521 Mcdonald Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 978 (+14%) | 6mo | $149,000 | $152 | 47 |
| 1617 N Christine Dr | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 962 (+12%) | 14mo | $98,000 | $102 | 44 |
| 8905 NE 12th St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 956 (+11%) | 17mo | $127,000 | $133 | 44 |
| 9304 NE 11th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 932 (+8%) | 24mo | $110,000 | $118 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-18,772
- Equity at exit
- $21,618
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-490
- Equity at exit
- $12,536
Cash invested: $40,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73130
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,152 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $787/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $106 | -5% $65 | +0% $24 | +5% $-17 | +10% $-58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-67 | -5% $-22 | +0% $24 | +5% $69 | +10% $115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $97 | -0.5pp $61 | base $24 | +0.5pp $-14 | +1.0pp $-52 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,248
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9212 Jennifer Pl Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1400 Marydale Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 16d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1168 N Douglas Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,020 | $1.41 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1525 McGregor Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1012 | $1,275 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1617 N Christine Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1632 N Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $895 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 8511 Justin Pl Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1809 Michell Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,095 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1020 N Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $895 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4033 S Locust Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1014 Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8910 Oak Valley Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $1,000 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1008 Willow Brook Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1045 | $1,125 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 801 Royal Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 951 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 633 Lotus Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 801 Meadowridge Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1095 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3609 Woodside Dr Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $995 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3513 Parkwoods Ln Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 903 | $1,150 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2823 Juvene Cir Spencer, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 10220 Isaac Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1312 N Midwest Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 946 | $970 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3512 N Holman Ct Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,275 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 112 Midwest City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $940 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 167 Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Apt 255 Midwest City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $940 | $0.97 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 104 Midwest City, OK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $800 | $1.09 | 11d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 803 | $850 | $1.06 | 12d | 34 | 1.28mi |
| 1520 Patricia Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3413 Willow Creek Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $975 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3409 Willow Creek Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 9705 Oak Tree Ter Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,410 | $1.28 | 11d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8801 Saint George Way Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8801 Saint George Way Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 11d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7801 NE 10th St Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 940 | $999 | $1.06 | 2d | 23 | 1.38mi |
| 8717 Saint George Way Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3508 N Douglas Blvd Unit 13 Spencer, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $655 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8517 E Reno Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $859 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-29$144,990 Active 685-char remark
-
2026-03-10soldstatus $75,000 Closed 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
Amazing investment opportunity, or starter home. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, nice big yard. Currently tenant occupied on month-to-month lease at $650/mo. Tenant is interested in staying.
-
2026-01-09status Pending 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
Amazing investment opportunity, or starter home. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, nice big yard. Currently tenant occupied on month-to-month lease at $650/mo. Tenant is interested in staying.
-
2025-12-01$100,000 Active 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
Amazing investment opportunity, or starter home. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, nice big yard. Currently tenant occupied on month-to-month lease at $650/mo. Tenant is interested in staying.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $787 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,305 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$518/yr (+$43/mo · 65.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,827
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$787
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,106
- − Management
- −$1,106
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$2,237
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$537
- After-tax cash flow
- $824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oklahoma City
- NCES district ID
- 4022770
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,606
- Composite
- 7.0/100
- National rank
- #9970
- State rank
- #254 of 270 in OK
Livability — Midwest City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #6637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midwest City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 57,386
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,476
- Household income
- $71,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 378.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 18% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.22%
- Current HPI
- 245.8385
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.73%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-25.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-27 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-04-29 Listed $144,990 MLSOK
- 2026-03-10 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MLSOK
- 2026-01-09 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-12-01 Listed $100,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $787 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…