CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
446 2nd Ave Duplex
B- Composite 65.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$290,000

446 2nd Ave · Albany, NY 12209
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,697 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1940 6,534 sqft lot $171/sqft · 22% below area Est $374k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Not A Drive By!! Must see inside!! Great owner occupied or investment. Both units feature new kitchen & baths, Hardwood Floors, replacement windows, newer gas boilers, private yard, off street parking separate. utilities and much more. Excellent Condition

Key facts

  • Updated flooring
  • Rear porch
  • Sprinkler system

Tags

REAR PORCHSPRINKLER SYSTEMUPDATED FLOORING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Total parking for 4 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex; Living area approximately 1,697; Lot about 0.15 acres
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Back yard with fencing; Fenced lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Total of 3 bathrooms (2 full, 1 half); Full baths located on 1st and 3rd levels; Half bath located on 2nd level; Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath, 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Heating: baseboard, hot water, natural gas; Cooling: window unit(s)
  • Interior features: ENERGY STAR qualified doors; Sliding doors

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $296/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $290k).
  • Recommended offer: $281k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $290k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $281,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.75%
Cash-on-cash
8.76%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$373,812
List price
$290,000
Delta
-22.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8 Stanwix St 0.06mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,800 (+6%) 1mo $290,000 $161 79
13 Southern Blvd 0.13mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+6%) 2mo $243,000 $135 75
10 Stanwix St 0.07mi 5/2.0 1,880 (+11%) 21mo $200,000 $106 59
313 2nd Ave 0.30mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,840 (+8%) 7mo $227,000 $123 59
99 Southern Blvd 0.16mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,447 (-15%) 7mo $182,000 $126 55
10 Albion Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,786 (+5%) 15mo $250,000 $140 54
8 Mapleridge Ave 0.29mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,877 (+11%) 9mo $351,000 $187 54
13 Sligo St 0.46mi 5/2.0 1,938 (+14%) 2mo $335,000 $173 51
18 Delaware Ter 0.57mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,792 (+6%) 9mo $246,990 $138 49
36 Slingerland St 0.56mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (+9%) 6mo $210,000 $114 47
248 Catherine St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,816 (+7%) 3mo $185,000 $102 46
23 Magnolia Ter 0.53mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,888 (+11%) 23mo $280,000 $148 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-9,188
Equity at exit
$43,240
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$40,819
Equity at exit
$25,074

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12209

Home prices YoY
-7.3%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
14.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,289 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax from tax record
$364 /mo · $4,367/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$691
Net cashflow
$593

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,539
Max offer price $290,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $757 -5% $675 +0% $593 +5% $511 +10% $429
Rent -10% $333 -5% $463 +0% $593 +5% $723 +10% $853
Rate -1.0pp $739 -0.5pp $667 base $593 +0.5pp $518 +1.0pp $441

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15 Stanwix St Albany, NY 4.0 1.5 1660 $2,500 $1.51 14d 1 0.11mi
31 Bertha St Albany, NY 4.0 1.0 1116 $2,000 $1.79 24d 1 0.25mi
52 Grove Ave Albany, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,200 $1.83 21d 1 0.95mi
475 S Pearl St #3 Albany, NY 4.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 14d 1 1.13mi
475 S Pearl St #3 Albany, NY 4.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 21d 1 1.13mi
30 Cardinal Ave Albany, NY 4.0 1.0 1529 $2,800 $1.83 45d 1 1.23mi
38 W Erie St Albany, NY 4.0 2.0 1440 $2,800 $1.94 24d 1 1.32mi
673 Myrtle Ave Albany, NY 4.0 1.0 1076 $2,400 $2.23 21d 1 1.42mi
257 Quail St Albany, NY 4.0 2.5 2208 $2,800 $1.27 44d 1 1.46mi
433 Hamilton St Unit 1 Albany, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 14d 1 1.46mi
437 Hamilton St Unit 2 Albany, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 14d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $290,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $290,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $290,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $290,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $290,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $295,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $295,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $295,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $295,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $295,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $295,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $295,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $295,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    listed $295,000 Active 463-char remark
  15. 2026-05-06
    historical
  16. 2026-03-09
    price $295,000
  17. 2026-02-05
    listed $300,000 Active
  18. 2006-01-06
    soldstatus $170,000
    Show marketing remark (259 chars)

    Not A Drive By!! Must see inside!! Great owner occupied or investment. Both units feature new kitchen & baths, Hardwood Floors, replacement windows, newer gas boilers, private yard, off street parking separate. utilities and much more. Excellent Condition

  19. 2005-11-09
    historical
    Show marketing remark (259 chars)

    Not A Drive By!! Must see inside!! Great owner occupied or investment. Both units feature new kitchen & baths, Hardwood Floors, replacement windows, newer gas boilers, private yard, off street parking separate. utilities and much more. Excellent Condition

  20. 2005-10-30
    listed $164,000
    Show marketing remark (259 chars)

    Not A Drive By!! Must see inside!! Great owner occupied or investment. Both units feature new kitchen & baths, Hardwood Floors, replacement windows, newer gas boilers, private yard, off street parking separate. utilities and much more. Excellent Condition

  21. 2004-07-07
    soldstatus $130,000
  22. 2004-06-29
    soldstatus $130,000
  23. 2004-04-16
    historical
  24. 2004-03-30
    listed $129,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,367 · $364/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,634 · $386/mo
Expected delta
+$267/yr (+$22/mo · 6.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,468
− Mortgage interest
−$16,245
− Property taxes
−$4,367
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,157
− Management
−$3,157
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable income
$2,655
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$637
After-tax cash flow
$6,476/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albany City School District
NCES district ID
3602460
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,568
Composite
32.34/100
National rank
#5744
State rank
#543 of 590 in NY

Livability — Albany

Score
79/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#2083

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, NY
City population
116,921
Population (ZIP)
10,754

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 19% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.91%
Current HPI
318.0191
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+123.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $290,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $295,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $295,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $300,000 Global MLS
  • 2006-01-06 Sold (MLS) $170,000 Global MLS
  • 2005-11-09 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2005-10-30 Listed $164,000 Global MLS
  • 2004-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2004-06-29 Sold (MLS) $130,000 Global MLS
  • 2004-04-16 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2004-03-30 Listed $129,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,367 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…