Duplex
904 - 906 Chestnut St · Hagerstown, MD
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$284,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Excellent investment opportunity in a prime location with strong rental history and upside potential. This fully rented up-and-down duplex features two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with separate electric meters and a detached 2-car garage. Unit 904 currently rents for $950/month, while Unit 906 is below market at $800/month, offering immediate value-add potential for increased cash flow. Property improvements include replacement windows and an upgraded 200-amp electrical panel. A solid addition to any investment portfolio with stable income and future growth opportunity. 2025 YE and 2026 YTD P & L is uploaded in Bright.
Key facts
- Fully rented duplex
- Prime location
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached rear-entry garage with 2 garage spaces; Driveway and on-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Detached building
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Detached structure; Above-grade and below-grade spaces; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Two-unit property
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($756/yr) — positive. Per door: $32/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $257k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.4% in Hagerstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#83 in MD, #3,170 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment F.
- Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 368 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,572/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 2832% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $191k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.95%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,708
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433 Guilford Ave | 0.54mi | 4/— | 1,836 (+6%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $117 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-39,501
- Equity at exit
- $42,480
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-18,127
- Equity at exit
- $24,633
Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21740
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 368
- Price-to-rent
- 18.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,572 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,494
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$356 /mo · $4,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$540
- Net cashflow
- $63
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $260 | -5% $161 | +0% $63 | +5% $-35 | +10% $-134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-140 | -5% $-39 | +0% $63 | +5% $165 | +10% $266 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $206 | -0.5pp $135 | base $63 | +0.5pp $-11 | +1.0pp $-86 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,572 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,286 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,572 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,225
- Closing costs
- $8,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 W Wilson Blvd Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,730 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 837 Virginia Ave Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 909 Corbett St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $2,695 | $2.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 672 Armstrong Ave Hagerstown, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $2,680 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 338 S Locust St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 612 Frederick St Hagerstown, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $1,875 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 313 Frederick St Unit 313 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $2,500 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 313 Frederick St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $2,500 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1527 Sherman Ave Unit 2 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1529 Sherman Ave Unit 1 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 103 E Washington St Unit 1E Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 60 E Washington St Apt 1E Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 92 W Washington St Unit 410 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1415 | $1,795 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 17940 Garden Ln Hagerstown, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $1,706 | $1.67 | 14d | 19 | 1.29mi |
| 42 E Franklin St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 409 Gandy Dancer Ct Hagerstown, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2112 | $2,350 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 409 Gandy Dancer Ct Unit 409 Hagerstown, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2112 | $2,350 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 16 East Ave Hagerstown, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2088 | $1,425 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 104 Buena Vista Ave Unit 104 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 210 N Locust St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1476 | $1,275 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 836 W Washington St Hagerstown, MD | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,950 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 812 Dale St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,730 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 311 Jefferson St Unit 311 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 421 Salem Ave Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,550 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $284,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $284,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $284,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $284,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $284,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $284,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $284,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $284,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $284,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $284,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $284,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $284,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $284,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $284,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $284,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$284,900 Active
-
2018-07-26historical Withdrawn
-
2018-06-07price
-
2018-03-06price
-
2017-11-30price
-
2017-08-21Active
-
2015-04-23historical Withdrawn
-
2015-04-23historical Withdrawn
-
2014-11-17Active
-
2014-11-17Active
-
2005-12-01soldstatus $191,000
-
2005-09-28historical
-
2005-09-23$195,500
-
2005-03-29soldstatus $168,000
-
2005-02-25$179,900
-
2005-02-25historical
-
2004-11-30historical
-
2004-04-30
-
1999-04-28soldstatus $105,000
-
1999-03-12historical
-
1999-03-12$105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,959
- − Property taxes
- −$4,274
- − Insurance
- −$1,424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,469
- − Management
- −$2,469
- − Depreciation
- −$8,288
- Taxable loss
- −$4,019
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$965
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washingtion County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400660
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,784
- Composite
- 22.87/100
- National rank
- #8007
- State rank
- #13 of 24 in MD
Livability — Hagerstown
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #3170
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hagerstown, MD
- County
- Washington County · 98,861 people
- City population
- 64,792
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,792
- Household income
- $62,873
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2832.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 151,614 people
- By 2030
- 151,455 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 150,097 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 148,193 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 146,581 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 138,025 · -9.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.3% · R 60.4% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+20.9 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -248.38%
- Current HPI
- 264.8018
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.00%
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+171.3% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $284,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-07-26 Delisted — MRIS
- 2018-06-07 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2018-03-06 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2017-11-30 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2017-08-21 Listed — MRIS
- 2015-04-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2015-04-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2014-11-17 Listed — MRIS
- 2014-11-17 Listed — MRIS
- 2005-12-01 Sold (MLS) $191,000 MRIS
- 2005-09-28 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-09-23 Listed $195,500 MRIS
- 2005-03-29 Sold (MLS) $168,000 MRIS
- 2005-02-25 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-02-25 Listed $179,900 MRIS
- 2004-11-30 Delisted — MRIS
- 2004-04-30 Listed — MRIS
- 1999-04-28 Sold (MLS) $105,000 MRIS
- 1999-03-12 Listed $105,000 MRIS
- 1999-03-12 Delisted — MRIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…