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2039 E Whitmer St
B- Composite 65.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,897

2039 E Whitmer St · Decatur, IL 62521
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Other · 284 Days on market
Built 1943 5,227 sqft lot $83/sqft · 105% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTOR ALERT - THIS IS A 5 PACKAGE DEAL AND WILL ONLY BE SOLD AS SUCH - NO CHERRY PICKING OF INDIVIDUAL PROPERTY - $234,897 FOR A PACKAGE OF 5 HOMES. -2152 E DECATUR ST $800/MONTH -2039 E WHITMER $700/MONTH -1976 E WILLIAM ST $450/MONTH -1720 N GULICK $710/MONTH - 621 W SAWYER $625/MONTH MAJORITY OF TENANTS ARE LONG TERM TENANTS, UP TO 17 YEARS. MOST ARE UNDER RENTED, HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR UPSIDE POTENTIAL.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1943

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($942 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 284 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 50% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $60k implies a 199% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $52,709 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 284 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
12.97%
Cash-on-cash
23.83%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$29,245
List price
$59,897
Delta
104.81%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$11,518
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$37,394
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,771 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62521

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$942 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $868/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $521
Max offer price $59,897
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,974
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
249 N 17th St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 700 $995 $1.42 43d 1 0.59mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,897 Active 284 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,897 Active 283 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,897 Active 282 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $59,897 Active 281 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,897 Active 281 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,897 Active 280 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,897 Active 278 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,897 Active 277 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,897 Active 275 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,897 Active 274 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,897 Active 273 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,897 Active 272 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,897 Active 269 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,897 Active 267 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,897 Active 266 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,897 Active 265 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,897 Active 264 DOM
  18. 2025-09-08
    listed $39,897 Active 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    INVESTOR ALERT - THIS IS A 5 PACKAGE DEAL AND WILL ONLY BE SOLD AS SUCH - NO CHERRY PICKING OF INDIVIDUAL PROPERTY - $234,897 FOR A PACKAGE OF 5 HOMES. -2152 E DECATUR ST $800/MONTH -2039 E WHITMER $700/MONTH -1976 E WILLIAM ST $450/MONTH -1720 N GULICK $710/MONTH - 621 W SAWYER $625/MONTH MAJORITY OF TENANTS ARE LONG TERM TENANTS, UP TO 17 YEARS. MOST ARE UNDER RENTED, HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR UPSIDE POTENTIAL.

  19. 2016-06-01
    soldstatus $20,000 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    Just two blocks from Nelson Park. Priced to sell. All appliances stay. Roof 4-5 yrs old. New sump pump. Bath updated in 2016. Furnace & AC '95. Enjoy the covered front porch and workshop area and cedar storage in basement.

  20. 2016-06-01
    soldstatus $20,000
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    Just two blocks from Nelson Park. Priced to sell. All appliances stay. Roof 4-5 yrs old. New sump pump. Bath updated in 2016. Furnace & AC '95. Enjoy the covered front porch and workshop area and cedar storage in basement.

  21. 2016-03-22
    listed $24,900 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    Just two blocks from Nelson Park. Priced to sell. All appliances stay. Roof 4-5 yrs old. New sump pump. Bath updated in 2016. Furnace & AC '95. Enjoy the covered front porch and workshop area and cedar storage in basement.

  22. 2016-03-22
    listed $24,900
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    Just two blocks from Nelson Park. Priced to sell. All appliances stay. Roof 4-5 yrs old. New sump pump. Bath updated in 2016. Furnace & AC '95. Enjoy the covered front porch and workshop area and cedar storage in basement.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$868 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,114 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$246/yr (+$21/mo · 28.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,307
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$868
− Insurance
−$299
− Repairs & maintenance
−$905
− Management
−$905
− Depreciation
−$1,742
Taxable income
$3,233
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$776
After-tax cash flow
$3,220/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur SD 61
NCES district ID
1711850
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,864
Composite
3.99/100
National rank
#10059
State rank
#605 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

Score
59/100
State rank
#1076
US rank
#20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, IL
County
Macon County · 78,333 people
City population
78,333
Metro
Decatur, IL
Population (ZIP)
32,665
Household income
$66,337
Rent vs Own
25.5% rent · 74.5% own
Severe rent burden
640.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,568 people
By 2030
94,973 · -4.6%
By 2040
85,250 · -14.4%
By 2050
75,920 · -23.8%
By 2075
55,962 · -43.8%
By 2100
36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.96%
Current HPI
180.9274
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-08 Listed $39,897 CIBR
  • 2016-06-01 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-01 Sold (MLS) $20,000 CIBR
  • 2016-03-22 Listed $24,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-22 Listed $24,900 CIBR

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $868 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…