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3317 Texas Rd
C+ Composite 61.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$124,900

3317 Texas Rd · Jesterville, MD 21814
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1960 0.75 ac lot $137/sqft · 13% below area Est $144k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 bedroom 1 bathroom rancher with multiple out buildings, hardwood floors This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac first look Initiative. Property sold "As is"

Key facts

  • Hardwood floors
  • 0.75 acre lot
  • Built 1960

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Private water supply; Private septic tank
  • Home design: Detached home; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Stick-built construction; Crawl space foundation; Building winterized; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade other structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Ramp to main level; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (5.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#279 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Westside Intermediate (math 18% / reading 21%, grade F, #353 of 860 statewide, top 45%, 343 students, 44% FRL); Salisbury Middle (math 13% / reading 27%, grade F, #147 of 225 statewide, top 68%, 873 students, 51% FRL); James M. Bennett High (math 55% / reading 66%, grade C+, #71 of 222 statewide, top 32%, 1,343 students, 44% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 21% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Wicomico County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $85k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,686 (5.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.89%
Cash-on-cash
5.71%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$144,359
List price
$124,900
Delta
-13.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3309 Jesterville Rd 0.32mi 2/2.0 924 (+1%) 14mo $105,000 $114 67
20885 Nanticoke Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 924 (+1%) 6mo $205,000 $222 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$26,766
Equity at exit
$57,399
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
3.26×
Total profit
$78,970
Equity at exit
$89,434

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21814

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,187 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $771/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $976
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $237 -5% $202 +0% $166 +5% $131 +10% $96
Rent -10% $73 -5% $119 +0% $166 +5% $213 +10% $260
Rate -1.0pp $229 -0.5pp $198 base $166 +0.5pp $134 +1.0pp $101

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $124,900 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 168-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $124,900 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
  18. 2026-04-30
    listed $139,900 Active 146-char remark
  19. 2006-03-02
    soldstatus $85,000
  20. 1981-03-16
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$771 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$295/yr (+$25/mo · 38.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,242
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$771
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,139
− Management
−$1,139
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$62
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$15
After-tax cash flow
$2,011/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wicomico County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400690
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$51,745
Composite
18.87/100
National rank
#8860
State rank
#19 of 24 in MD

Livability — Jesterville

Score
64/100
State rank
#279
US rank
#14274

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jesterville, MD
City population
205
Population (ZIP)
205

Population outlook (Wicomico County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
108,548 people
By 2030
111,783 · +3.0%
By 2040
118,139 · +8.8%
By 2050
123,641 · +13.9%
By 2075
139,784 · +28.8%
By 2100
145,334 · +33.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (58%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 58% White 42%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Iranian 20%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 58%

Political lean MEDSL · Wicomico

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.5) · D 46.1% · R 51.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.3pp no change · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -5.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.5 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+6.9 2008: R+5.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.18%
Current HPI
118.5236
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1149.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 1981-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $771 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…