3317 Texas Rd · Jesterville, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 bedroom 1 bathroom rancher with multiple out buildings, hardwood floors This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac first look Initiative. Property sold "As is"
Key facts
- Hardwood floors
- 0.75 acre lot
- Built 1960
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Private water supply; Private septic tank
- Home design: Detached home; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Stick-built construction; Crawl space foundation; Building winterized; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade other structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Ramp to main level; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (5.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#279 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Westside Intermediate (math 18% / reading 21%, grade F, #353 of 860 statewide, top 45%, 343 students, 44% FRL); Salisbury Middle (math 13% / reading 27%, grade F, #147 of 225 statewide, top 68%, 873 students, 51% FRL); James M. Bennett High (math 55% / reading 66%, grade C+, #71 of 222 statewide, top 32%, 1,343 students, 44% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 21% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Wicomico County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $85k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.71%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,359
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -13.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3309 Jesterville Rd | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+1%) | 14mo | $105,000 | $114 | 67 |
| 20885 Nanticoke Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+1%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $222 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $26,766
- Equity at exit
- $57,399
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $78,970
- Equity at exit
- $89,434
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21814
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,187 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $771/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $237 | -5% $202 | +0% $166 | +5% $131 | +10% $96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $73 | -5% $119 | +0% $166 | +5% $213 | +10% $260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $229 | -0.5pp $198 | base $166 | +0.5pp $134 | +1.0pp $101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $124,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 168-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $124,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-30$139,900 Active 146-char remark
-
2006-03-02soldstatus $85,000
-
1981-03-16soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $771 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,066 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$295/yr (+$25/mo · 38.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$771
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,139
- − Management
- −$1,139
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable loss
- −$62
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$15
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,011/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wicomico County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400690
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,745
- Composite
- 18.87/100
- National rank
- #8860
- State rank
- #19 of 24 in MD
Livability — Jesterville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #279
- US rank
- #14274
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jesterville, MD
- City population
- 205
- Population (ZIP)
- 205
Population outlook (Wicomico County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 108,548 people
- By 2030
- 111,783 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 118,139 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 123,641 · +13.9%
- By 2075
- 139,784 · +28.8%
- By 2100
- 145,334 · +33.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 58% White 42%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 20%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 58%
Political lean MEDSL · Wicomico
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.5) · D 46.1% · R 51.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.3pp no change · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.5 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+6.9 2008: R+5.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.18%
- Current HPI
- 118.5236
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1149.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 1981-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $771 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…