811 Buchta Rd Unit C · Angleton, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MANY UPDATES! Amazing location! This townhome lends a quiet charm with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Features include new interior paint and new ceramic tile in the living room area. You'll love the freshly painted cabinets, new light fixtures, and new faucets in the kitchen area. This townhome also features a new carpet. The property has easy access to Hwy 85 and is located near Downtown Angleton. Explore all the shops, restaurants, and parks Angleton has to offer. What are you waiting for! This townhome has it all, call today for your showing! WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.
Key facts
- New carpet
- New faucets
- New light fixtures
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $69k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $928 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 4.3% in Angleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in TX, #4,520 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Angleton ISD (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #375 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Northside El (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 497 students, 67% FRL); Angleton J H School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #911 of 1,662 statewide, top 56%, 1,561 students, 68% FRL); Angleton H S (math 22% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,066 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1376 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 331 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 331 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.65%
- DSCR
- 3.57
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $143,437
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -51.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1310 Valley Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,281 (+10%) | 2mo | $194,900 | $152 | 72 |
| 310 Amy St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (+19%) | 0mo | $224,900 | $162 | 63 |
| 269 Bennett Loop | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (+13%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $173 | 59 |
| 317 Richmond St | 1.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,129 (-4%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $142 | 57 |
| 108 Cullen St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (+20%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $160 | 56 |
| 208 Richmond St | 1.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,096 (-6%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $73 | 51 |
| 1301 Molina Ct | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (+14%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $105 | 51 |
| 8 Sunnybrook St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (+22%) | 1mo | $193,000 | $135 | 42 |
| 14 Sarita Rd | 1.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (+13%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $163 | 42 |
| 3510 Atlas Point Ln | 1.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,426 (+22%) | 1mo | $229,990 | $161 | 39 |
| 9 Sarita Ct | 1.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,433 (+22%) | 1mo | $249,000 | $174 | 34 |
| 736 Kyle St | 1.03mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 967 (-17%) | 1mo | $109,000 | $113 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $47,961
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 61.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.11×
- Total profit
- $117,992
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77515
- Home prices YoY
- -5.1%
- Active inventory
- 1376
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,778 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $928
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $976 | -5% $952 | +0% $928 | +5% $904 | +10% $880 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $788 | -5% $858 | +0% $928 | +5% $998 | +10% $1,069 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $963 | -0.5pp $946 | base $928 | +0.5pp $910 | +1.0pp $892 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1405 Northview Dr Angleton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $2,225 | $1.90 | 143d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1300 Buchta Rd Angleton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $696 | $1.07 | 0d | 5 | 0.27mi |
| 1300 Buchta Rd Angleton, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $1,085 | $1.40 | 165d | 8 | 0.27mi |
| 128 Dallas St Angleton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 184d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1400 E Henderson Rd Angleton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 752 | $949 | $1.26 | 0d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 711 Shady Ln Angleton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,750 | $1.28 | 1d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 307 Cannan Dr Angleton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 9d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 8 Piney Way Angleton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $2,055 | $1.47 | 77d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4 Stadium Dr Angleton, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $1,810 | $1.70 | 0d | 10 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $69,000 Active 331 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $69,000 Active 330 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $69,000 Active 329 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $69,000 Active 328 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $69,000 Active 327 DOM
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2026-11-02days on market $69,000 Active 325 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $69,000 Active 324 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $69,000 Active 323 DOM
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2026-10-30days on market $69,000 Active 322 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $69,000 Active 321 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $69,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $69,000 Active 319 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $69,000 Active 318 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $69,000 Active 317 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $69,000 Active 316 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $69,000 Active 315 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $69,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $69,000 Active 313 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $69,000 Active 312 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $69,000 Active 311 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $69,000 Active 310 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $69,000 Active 309 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $69,000 Active 308 DOM
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2026-10-15pricedays on market $69,000 Active 307 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $99,749 Active 306 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $99,749 Active 305 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $99,749 Active 304 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $99,749 Active 303 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $99,749 Active 302 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $99,749 Active 301 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $99,749 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $99,749 Active 299 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $99,749 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $99,749 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $99,749 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $99,749 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $99,749 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $99,749 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $99,749 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $99,749 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $99,749 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $99,749 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-09-26days on market $99,749 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $99,749 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $99,749 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $99,749 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $99,749 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $99,749 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $99,749 Active 282 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $99,749 Active 281 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,342
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,707
- − Management
- −$1,707
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $10,675
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,562
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,576/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This townhome is in good condition with cosmetic updates and some minor repairs needed. It offers a good opportunity for an investor to make it move-in ready with a few updates.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen countertops — Dirty and need cleaning.
- Minor Bathroom vanity and sink — Dirty and need cleaning.
- Moderate Kitchen flooring — Older and may need replacement or refinishing.
- Moderate Bathroom flooring — Older and may need replacement or refinishing.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance. ↑
- Both Replace kitchen flooring — New flooring can improve the home's value and appeal. ↑
- Both Replace bathroom flooring — New flooring can improve the home's value and appeal. ↑
- Both Deep clean throughout — A thorough cleaning can make the home look and feel more inviting and well-maintained. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Angleton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808310
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,670
- Composite
- 35.01/100
- National rank
- #5046
- State rank
- #375 of 826 in TX
Livability — Angleton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4520
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Angleton, TX
- County
- Brazoria County · 420,414 people
- City population
- 34,088
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,088
- Household income
- $88,787
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,414 people
- By 2030
- 457,585 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 532,232 · +26.6%
- By 2050
- 605,399 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 779,358 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 883,759 · +110.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.59%
- Current HPI
- 288.7286
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-12.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $99,749 HARMLS
- 2025-10-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-04-23 Listed $113,749 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…