🏷️ Likely Rental
10505 NE 53rd Ave #25 · Barberton, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained manufactured home in 55+ Nomad Community Estates. Covered front porch overlooks a quiet, well kept neighborhood. Spacious living area with fireplace and natural light. Roof replaced approximately three years ago. Brand new heat and A/C system installed July 2025. Space rent is $763/month and includes water, sewer, and garbage. Convenient Vancouver location near shopping and amenities. Contact your agent for a showing today!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Spacious living area
- Natural light
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $723 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 2.5% in Barberton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#223 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Battle Ground School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #92 of 291 in WA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 98 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.50%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $254,093
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -58.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10505 NE 53rd Ave #36 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-4%) | 11mo | $128,000 | $139 | 81 |
| 4810 NE 105th Cir | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-12%) | 0mo | $380,000 | $452 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $24,016
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $60,799
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98660
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,833 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $723
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7101 NE 109th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 784 | $1,900 | $2.42 | 8d | 6 | 0.76mi |
| 8515 NE Saint Johns Rd Unit A09 Vancouver, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8515 NE Saint Johns Rd Unit B29 Vancouver, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8515 NE Saint Johns Rd Unit B22 Vancouver, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7105 NE 123rd St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $1,875 | $2.18 | 12d | 3 | 1.12mi |
| 7011 NE 126th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $2,235 | $2.47 | 24d | 23 | 1.23mi |
| 6914 NE 126th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $2,168 | $2.38 | 2d | 79 | 1.29mi |
| 2703 NE 99th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 6901 NE 131st Way Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $1,974 | $1.88 | 2d | 6 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-01-19$105,000 Active 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Well-maintained manufactured home in 55+ Nomad Community Estates. Covered front porch overlooks a quiet, well kept neighborhood. Spacious living area with fireplace and natural light. Roof replaced approximately three years ago. Brand new heat and A/C system installed July 2025. Space rent is $763/month and includes water, sewer, and garbage. Convenient Vancouver location near shopping and amenities. Contact your agent for a showing today!
-
2023-03-14soldstatus $90,000 Closed 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Well maintained and move-in ready 2bed/1bth Manufactured Home in desired Nomad Country Club 55+ park. New carpet in 2019 in Living Rm, Dining Rm & Bedrooms. Wood-Lam floors in Kitchen, Vinyl Windows and built-in china hutch in Dining Rm for extra storage. Lrg Master w/Walk-in Closet. Front & Back Covered Porch, Two carports w/Storage sheds attached. All appliances included even Washer & Dryer. Space rent $630/month which includes, water, sewer, garbage and club house.
-
2023-02-15status Pending 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Well maintained and move-in ready 2bed/1bth Manufactured Home in desired Nomad Country Club 55+ park. New carpet in 2019 in Living Rm, Dining Rm & Bedrooms. Wood-Lam floors in Kitchen, Vinyl Windows and built-in china hutch in Dining Rm for extra storage. Lrg Master w/Walk-in Closet. Front & Back Covered Porch, Two carports w/Storage sheds attached. All appliances included even Washer & Dryer. Space rent $630/month which includes, water, sewer, garbage and club house.
-
2023-01-15price $115,000 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Well maintained and move-in ready 2bed/1bth Manufactured Home in desired Nomad Country Club 55+ park. New carpet in 2019 in Living Rm, Dining Rm & Bedrooms. Wood-Lam floors in Kitchen, Vinyl Windows and built-in china hutch in Dining Rm for extra storage. Lrg Master w/Walk-in Closet. Front & Back Covered Porch, Two carports w/Storage sheds attached. All appliances included even Washer & Dryer. Space rent $630/month which includes, water, sewer, garbage and club house.
-
2023-01-04status Active 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Well maintained and move-in ready 2bed/1bth Manufactured Home in desired Nomad Country Club 55+ park. New carpet in 2019 in Living Rm, Dining Rm & Bedrooms. Wood-Lam floors in Kitchen, Vinyl Windows and built-in china hutch in Dining Rm for extra storage. Lrg Master w/Walk-in Closet. Front & Back Covered Porch, Two carports w/Storage sheds attached. All appliances included even Washer & Dryer. Space rent $630/month which includes, water, sewer, garbage and club house.
-
2022-10-21$120,000 Active 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Well maintained and move-in ready 2bed/1bth Manufactured Home in desired Nomad Country Club 55+ park. New carpet in 2019 in Living Rm, Dining Rm & Bedrooms. Wood-Lam floors in Kitchen, Vinyl Windows and built-in china hutch in Dining Rm for extra storage. Lrg Master w/Walk-in Closet. Front & Back Covered Porch, Two carports w/Storage sheds attached. All appliances included even Washer & Dryer. Space rent $630/month which includes, water, sewer, garbage and club house.
-
2019-09-27soldstatus $59,000 Sold
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2019-08-31status Pending
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2019-08-17$70,000 Active
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2009-04-02soldstatus $15,500
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2009-03-26historical
-
2009-03-02$18,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,760
- − Management
- −$1,760
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $7,443
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,786
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Battle Ground School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300380
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,646
- Composite
- 49.81/100
- National rank
- #4201
- State rank
- #92 of 291 in WA
Livability — Barberton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #223
- US rank
- #6415
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clark County · 513,189 people
- City population
- 20,553
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,212
- Household income
- $67,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1125.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 529,610 people
- By 2030
- 563,242 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 625,905 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 681,558 · +28.7%
- By 2075
- 805,967 · +52.2%
- By 2100
- 877,450 · +65.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.28%
- Current HPI
- 355.0231
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+455.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-19 Listed $105,000 RMLS
- 2023-03-14 Sold (MLS) $90,000 RMLS
- 2023-02-15 Pending — RMLS
- 2023-01-15 Price Changed $115,000 RMLS
- 2023-01-04 Relisted — RMLS
- 2022-10-21 Listed $120,000 RMLS
- 2019-09-27 Sold (MLS) $59,000 RMLS
- 2019-08-31 Pending — RMLS
- 2019-08-17 Listed $70,000 RMLS
- 2009-04-02 Sold (MLS) $15,500 RMLS
- 2009-03-26 Delisted — RMLS
- 2009-03-02 Listed $18,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+14.6%/yrLatest (2024): $124 · -33.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…