1426 Lincoln Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the compelling potential of 1426 Lincoln Ave, a charming single family residence in Flint, MI, built in 1929. This bungalow-style home presents a significant opportunity, perfect for those with a vision for value. The kitchen, designed for both function and connection, features a convenient peninsula, ideal for casual dining or engaging with guests while preparing meals. With two bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom, this property provides a comfortable foundation. A full basement offers additional space for storage or future customization, and the private yard provides an outdoor retreat. This is a great option for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a fantastic investment opportunity. Unlock the possibilities and envision the future of this promising property. INVESTORS - this property is also being listed as part of a package with 5 other properties as follows: 1) 2618 Lester Ct - MLS #20261033179 2) 838 Clinton St - MLS #20261033188 3) 733 Vermilya Ave - MLS #20261033139 4) 920 Huron St - MLS #20261033550 5) 1410 Indiana Ave - MLS #20261035473 Contact listing agent to schedule a showing
Key facts
- Full basement
- Private yard
- Kitchen peninsula
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax listed (amount provided in source)
- HOA & community: Subdivision: LINCOLN PARK SUB
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1.5 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built with aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Ground-level entry with steps; Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (40 x 100)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heat (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($904 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 11.6% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $30k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.10%
- DSCR
- 3.72
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $25,974
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1101 Lincoln Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 666 (-5%) | 7mo | $35,000 | $53 | 74 |
| 842 Ossington Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (+0%) | 7mo | $15,000 | $21 | 64 |
| 1015 Alvord Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+7%) | 3mo | $35,500 | $47 | 63 |
| 834 Remington Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 726 (+3%) | 2mo | $10,000 | $14 | 60 |
| 937 Barrie Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (+11%) | 1mo | $29,000 | $37 | 59 |
| 4414 Brunswick Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 722 (+3%) | 9mo | $64,900 | $90 | 57 |
| 1125 Ingleside Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 771 (+10%) | 2mo | $7,500 | $10 | 57 |
| 908 Barrie Ave | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 660 (-6%) | 8mo | $9,250 | $14 | 54 |
| 4418 Brunswick Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 755 (+8%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $73 | 53 |
| 3116 Camden Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 766 (+9%) | 5mo | $29,000 | $38 | 52 |
| 1039 Markham St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 770 (+10%) | 6mo | $13,000 | $17 | 49 |
| 820 Vermilya Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+13%) | 7mo | $23,500 | $30 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.36×
- Total profit
- $19,791
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- 59.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.04×
- Total profit
- $42,324
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48507
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $904 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,399/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$190
- Net cashflow
- $428
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $527 | -5% $436 | +0% $428 | +5% $419 | +10% $411 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $356 | -5% $392 | +0% $428 | +5% $463 | +10% $499 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $443 | -0.5pp $435 | base $428 | +0.5pp $420 | +1.0pp $412 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1023 Barrie Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $775 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $850 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 666 | $960 | $1.44 | 15d | 19 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $30,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $30,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $30,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $30,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $30,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $30,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $30,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $40,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $40,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $40,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-19$40,000 Active 1129-char remark
Show marketing remark (1129 chars)
Discover the compelling potential of 1426 Lincoln Ave, a charming single family residence in Flint, MI, built in 1929. This bungalow-style home presents a significant opportunity, perfect for those with a vision for value. The kitchen, designed for both function and connection, features a convenient peninsula, ideal for casual dining or engaging with guests while preparing meals. With two bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom, this property provides a comfortable foundation. A full basement offers additional space for storage or future customization, and the private yard provides an outdoor retreat. This is a great option for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a fantastic investment opportunity. Unlock the possibilities and envision the future of this promising property. INVESTORS - this property is also being listed as part of a package with 5 other properties as follows: 1) 2618 Lester Ct - MLS #20261033179 2) 838 Clinton St - MLS #20261033188 3) 733 Vermilya Ave - MLS #20261033139 4) 920 Huron St - MLS #20261033550 5) 1410 Indiana Ave - MLS #20261035473 Contact listing agent to schedule a showing
-
2026-05-19$40,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1129 chars)
Discover the compelling potential of 1426 Lincoln Ave, a charming single family residence in Flint, MI, built in 1929. This bungalow-style home presents a significant opportunity, perfect for those with a vision for value. The kitchen, designed for both function and connection, features a convenient peninsula, ideal for casual dining or engaging with guests while preparing meals. With two bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom, this property provides a comfortable foundation. A full basement offers additional space for storage or future customization, and the private yard provides an outdoor retreat. This is a great option for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a fantastic investment opportunity. Unlock the possibilities and envision the future of this promising property. INVESTORS - this property is also being listed as part of a package with 5 other properties as follows: 1) 2618 Lester Ct - MLS #20261033179 2) 838 Clinton St - MLS #20261033188 3) 733 Vermilya Ave - MLS #20261033139 4) 920 Huron St - MLS #20261033550 5) 1410 Indiana Ave - MLS #20261035473 Contact listing agent to schedule a showing
-
2018-11-15soldstatus $19,500 Sold 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Move in ready & well maintained home located near schools & shopping. Broome Park just around the corner. 2 B/R, 1 Bath; upstairs partially finished for possible 3rd B/R. Appliances include: stove, washer, dryer, freezer; no refrigerator.
-
2018-11-15soldstatus $19,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Move in ready & well maintained home located near schools & shopping. Broome Park just around the corner. 2 B/R, 1 Bath; upstairs partially finished for possible 3rd B/R. Appliances include: stove, washer, dryer, freezer; no refrigerator.
-
2018-10-24status Pending
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2018-10-12status Active
-
2018-10-01historical 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Move in ready & well maintained home located near schools & shopping. Broome Park just around the corner. 2 B/R, 1 Bath; upstairs partially finished for possible 3rd B/R. Appliances include: stove, washer, dryer, freezer; no refrigerator.
-
2018-10-01historical
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Move in ready & well maintained home located near schools & shopping. Broome Park just around the corner. 2 B/R, 1 Bath; upstairs partially finished for possible 3rd B/R. Appliances include: stove, washer, dryer, freezer; no refrigerator.
-
2018-09-18status Active 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Move in ready & well maintained home located near schools & shopping. Broome Park just around the corner. 2 B/R, 1 Bath; upstairs partially finished for possible 3rd B/R. Appliances include: stove, washer, dryer, freezer; no refrigerator.
-
2018-09-14historical 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Move in ready & well maintained home located near schools & shopping. Broome Park just around the corner. 2 B/R, 1 Bath; upstairs partially finished for possible 3rd B/R. Appliances include: stove, washer, dryer, freezer; no refrigerator.
-
2018-06-16price $24,000
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Move in ready & well maintained home located near schools & shopping. Broome Park just around the corner. 2 B/R, 1 Bath; upstairs partially finished for possible 3rd B/R. Appliances include: stove, washer, dryer, freezer; no refrigerator.
-
2018-06-16price $24,000 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Move in ready & well maintained home located near schools & shopping. Broome Park just around the corner. 2 B/R, 1 Bath; upstairs partially finished for possible 3rd B/R. Appliances include: stove, washer, dryer, freezer; no refrigerator.
-
2018-03-15$28,000 Active 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Move in ready & well maintained home located near schools & shopping. Broome Park just around the corner. 2 B/R, 1 Bath; upstairs partially finished for possible 3rd B/R. Appliances include: stove, washer, dryer, freezer; no refrigerator.
-
2018-03-15$28,000 Active
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Move in ready & well maintained home located near schools & shopping. Broome Park just around the corner. 2 B/R, 1 Bath; upstairs partially finished for possible 3rd B/R. Appliances include: stove, washer, dryer, freezer; no refrigerator.
-
2009-10-20soldstatus $25,000
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2009-10-20soldstatus $25,000
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2009-09-11historical
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2008-10-05$31,000
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2008-10-05$31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$1,399
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$868
- − Management
- −$868
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $5,009
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,202
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,930/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,723
- Household income
- $46,554
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1534.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.90%
- Current HPI
- 132.3632
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.04%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+29.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-19 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-11-15 Sold (MLS) $19,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-11-15 Sold (MLS) $19,500 REALCOMP
- 2018-10-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-10-12 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-10-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-10-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-09-18 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2018-09-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-06-16 Price Changed $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-06-16 Price Changed $24,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-03-15 Listed $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-15 Listed $28,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-10-20 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-20 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-09-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-10-05 Listed $31,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-10-05 Listed $31,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,399 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…