299 E Walnut St · Dyer, TN 38330

$44,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 210 Days on market

Built 1924 0.43 ac lot ↓ 36% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.8/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

1380 sq ft 3/2 in the heart of Dyer, Large eat-in kitchen with a Large lot, Ready for new owners. Being sold as-is.

Key facts

• Large eat-in kitchen
• Tree-shaded lot
• 0.43 acre lot

Tags

• LARGE EAT-IN KITCHEN
• DEDICATED LAUNDRY AREA
• TREE-SHADED LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Total of 1 parking space; 1 covered carport space; 2 open parking spaces; Open parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected / available; Sewer connected; Water connected
• Home design: Single family residence; One-level / single-story
• Construction: Vinyl siding and other exterior materials; Combination foundation; Composition roof; Built as residential single family home
• Exterior features: Front porch; No fencing; Asphalt road frontage (city street); Accessible entrance with ramp; Accessible approach

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas range
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Space heater; Central air; Window unit(s)
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Laminate countertops; Wood window frames
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $605 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
• Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#234 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Gibson County Sp District (rural): math 47% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 139 in TN (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($310 loan paydown + $709 appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
• Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $39,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.58% ✓
• Cap rate: 22.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 57.76%
• DSCR: 3.57
• GRM: 3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 61.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.24×
• Total profit: $40,685
• Equity at exit: $16,696

10-year hold

• IRR: 62.0%
• Equity multiple: 8.57×
• Total profit: $95,182
• Equity at exit: $23,286

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Tennessee: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 38330

• Home prices YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 28
• Price-to-rent: 3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,159 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$235
• Tax from tax record: −$57 /mo · $680/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$243
• Net cashflow: $605

Break-even live

Break-even rent $393

Max offer price $44,900

Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,225
• Closing costs: $1,347
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-13
   status $44,900 Pending 210 DOM
2. 2026-06-12
   days on market $44,900 Active 210 DOM
3. 2026-06-09
   days on market $44,900 Active 207 DOM
4. 2026-06-08
   days on market $44,900 Active 206 DOM
5. 2026-06-08
   days on market $44,900 Active 205 DOM
6. 2026-06-07
   days on market $44,900 Active 204 DOM
7. 2026-06-03
   days on market $44,900 Active 201 DOM
8. 2026-06-02
   days on market $44,900 Active 200 DOM
9. 2026-06-01
   days on market $44,900 Active 199 DOM
10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,900 Active 198 DOM
11. 2026-04-22
    price $44,900
12. 2026-03-03
    price $47,500
13. 2026-01-31
    price $49,900
14. 2025-11-14
    listed $52,000 Active
15. 2025-04-28
    price $69,000
16. 2024-11-02
    price $75,000
17. 2023-02-02
    soldstatus $63,000
18. 2023-01-31
    soldstatus $63,000 116-char remark

    Show marketing remark (116 chars)

    1380 sq ft 3/2 in the heart of Dyer, Large eat-in kitchen with a Large lot, Ready for new owners. Being sold as-is.

19. 2022-09-03
    listed $77,000 116-char remark

    Show marketing remark (116 chars)

    1380 sq ft 3/2 in the heart of Dyer, Large eat-in kitchen with a Large lot, Ready for new owners. Being sold as-is.

20. 2022-05-03
    soldstatus $58,000
21. 2022-05-02
    soldstatus $58,000
22. 2021-11-05
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $680 · $57/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $680 · $57/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,914
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,515
• − Property taxes: −$680
• − Insurance: −$224
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,113
• − Management: −$1,113
• − Depreciation: −$1,306
• Taxable income: $6,962
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,671
• After-tax cash flow: $5,591/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Gibson County Sp District
• NCES district ID: 4701400
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $47,868
• Composite: 36.82/100
• National rank: #4565
• State rank: #11 of 139 in TN

Livability — Dyer

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #234
• US rank: #17246

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dyer, TN
• Population (ZIP): 3,938

Population outlook (Gibson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 48,793 people
• By 2030: 48,221 · -1.2%
• By 2040: 46,793 · -4.1%
• By 2050: 44,909 · -8.0%
• By 2075: 40,191 · -17.6%
• By 2100: 33,574 · -31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 0%
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gibson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.6% · R 75.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.2pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -52.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+28.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.58%
• Current HPI: 184.9194
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.78%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	3	$91B
▸Retail	3	$72B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$88B
▸Paper / Packaging	1	$19B
▸Insurance	1	$13B
▸Energy	1	$12B

Price history

-35.8% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-22 Price Changed $44,900 CWTAR
• 2026-03-03 Price Changed $47,500 CWTAR
• 2026-01-31 Price Changed $49,900 CWTAR
• 2025-11-14 Listed $52,000 CWTAR
• 2025-04-28 Price Changed $69,000 CWTAR
• 2024-11-02 Price Changed $75,000 CWTAR
• 2023-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
• 2023-01-31 Sold (MLS) $63,000 CWTAR
• 2022-09-03 Listed $77,000 CWTAR
• 2022-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
• 2022-05-02 Sold (MLS) $58,000 CWTAR
• 2021-11-05 Listed $69,900 CWTAR

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $680 · +60.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.