4071 Provost St · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.
Key facts
- New appliances
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached off-street parking; Total of 6 parking spaces; Has open parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; No fencing; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Self-cleaning oven
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Range, oven, self-cleaning oven; Tile and vinyl flooring; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.82%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $40,359
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- 135.38%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1171 N 46th St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 692 (+2%) | 9mo | $69,900 | $101 | 72 |
| 1758 N 48th St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 747 (+10%) | 8mo | $35,000 | $47 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $6,628
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $46,448
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70802
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,062 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $210/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 636 N 39th St Apt 2 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1201 N Foster Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1300 | $1,240 | $0.95 | 14d | 31 | 0.53mi |
| 115 S Leo St Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,100 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4430 Hatcher Ave Unit 115 Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 598 | $900 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 330 Ingleside Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $1,120 | $1.45 | 14d | 6 | 0.98mi |
| 4735 Government St #102 Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $875 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1251 N Ardenwood Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $899 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 605 Ingleside Dr Unit A Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2040 Gayosa St Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 764 | $1,250 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 849 Blanchard St Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 849 Blanchard St Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 450 Cloud Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 649 | $750 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2361 Wisteria St Unit B Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 650 N Ardenwood Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $1,025 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5000 Claycut Rd Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1600 | $1,380 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 26 events
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2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-03price $95,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $103,000 Active 35 DOM
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.
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2026-06-01days on market $103,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $103,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $103,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-05-11price $103,000 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.
-
2026-05-11price $103,000 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.
-
2026-04-28$110,000 Active 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.
-
2026-04-28$110,000 Active 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.
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2025-11-12soldstatus Closed
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2025-11-07status Pending
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2025-10-22price $5,500
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2025-10-22price $5,500
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2025-10-07$7,500 Active
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2025-10-07$7,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $210 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $522 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$313/yr (+$26/mo · 149.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,749
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$210
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,020
- − Management
- −$1,020
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,940
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$465
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,943/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baton Rouge, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- City population
- 351,868
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,118
- Household income
- $34,458
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1831.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.02%
- Current HPI
- 47.7285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.59%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1166.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $95,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $95,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $103,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $103,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $110,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-12 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2025-11-07 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $5,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $5,500 GBRMLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $7,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $7,500 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $210 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…