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4071 Provost St
C+ Composite 63.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

4071 Provost St · Baton Rouge, LA 70802
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 676 sqft · SingleFamily · 51 Days on market
Built 1974 4,356 sqft lot $141/sqft · 135% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.

Key facts

  • New appliances
  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

ARCHITECTURAL SHINGLE ROOFHIGH-EFFICIENCY HVAC SYSTEMUPDATED ELECTRICAL FIXTURESUPDATED PLUMBING FIXTURESBUTCHER BLOCK COUNTERTOPSNEW APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached off-street parking; Total of 6 parking spaces; Has open parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; No fencing; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Self-cleaning oven
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Range, oven, self-cleaning oven; Tile and vinyl flooring; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
  • East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.88%
Cash-on-cash
12.82%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$40,359
List price
$95,000
Delta
135.38%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1171 N 46th St 0.35mi 2/1.0 692 (+2%) 9mo $69,900 $101 72
1758 N 48th St 0.53mi 2/1.0 747 (+10%) 8mo $35,000 $47 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$6,628
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$46,448
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70802

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,062 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $210/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $703
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
636 N 39th St Apt 2 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 14d 1 0.42mi
1201 N Foster Dr Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1300 $1,240 $0.95 14d 31 0.53mi
115 S Leo St Baton Rouge, LA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,100 $2.00 23d 1 0.83mi
4430 Hatcher Ave Unit 115 Baton Rouge, LA 1.0 1.0 598 $900 $1.51 44d 1 0.94mi
330 Ingleside Dr Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 773 $1,120 $1.45 14d 6 0.98mi
4735 Government St #102 Baton Rouge, LA 1.0 1.0 690 $875 $1.27 14d 1 1.10mi
1251 N Ardenwood Dr Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 923 $899 $0.97 44d 1 1.11mi
605 Ingleside Dr Unit A Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,350 $1.93 44d 1 1.17mi
2040 Gayosa St Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 764 $1,250 $1.64 44d 1 1.18mi
849 Blanchard St Baton Rouge, LA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,000 $1.67 23d 1 1.32mi
849 Blanchard St Baton Rouge, LA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,000 $1.67 44d 1 1.32mi
450 Cloud Dr Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–2.0 1.0 649 $750 $1.16 23d 1 1.38mi
2361 Wisteria St Unit B Baton Rouge, LA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 44d 1 1.42mi
650 N Ardenwood Dr Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 951 $1,025 $1.08 44d 1 1.42mi
5000 Claycut Rd Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1600 $1,380 $0.86 14d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    price $95,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $103,000 Active 35 DOM
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.

  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $103,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $103,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $103,000 Active 32 DOM
  17. 2026-05-11
    price $103,000 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.

  18. 2026-05-11
    price $103,000 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.

  19. 2026-04-28
    listed $110,000 Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.

  20. 2026-04-28
    listed $110,000 Active 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Rest easy knowing the heavy lifting is already done. This home boasts a brand-new architectural shingle roof, a high-efficiency HVAC system, and completely updated electrical and plumbing fixtures, stunning butcher block countertops, sleek new appliances, and modern fixtures that make every meal feel like a special occasion, with new insulation throughout, you'll enjoy low utility bills and year-round comfort.

  21. 2025-11-12
    soldstatus Closed
  22. 2025-11-07
    status Pending
  23. 2025-10-22
    price $5,500
  24. 2025-10-22
    price $5,500
  25. 2025-10-07
    listed $7,500 Active
  26. 2025-10-07
    listed $7,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$210 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$522 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$313/yr (+$26/mo · 149.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,749
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$210
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,020
− Management
−$1,020
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,940
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$465
After-tax cash flow
$2,943/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2200540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$46,263
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7745
State rank
#47 of 98 in LA

Livability — Baton Rouge

Score
74/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#4535

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baton Rouge, LA
County
East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
City population
351,868
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
25,118
Household income
$34,458
Rent vs Own
69.1% rent · 30.9% own
Severe rent burden
1831.0

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 0%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.02%
Current HPI
47.7285
Rent YoY
▲ 6.59%
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1166.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $95,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $95,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $103,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $103,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $110,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $5,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $5,500 GBRMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $7,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $7,500 GBRMLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $210 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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