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150 N Acacia 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$925,000

150 N Acacia · Ripon, CA 95366
21 bd · 12.0 ba · 3,015 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 146 Days on market
Built 1917 0.28 ac lot $307/sqft · 25% below area Est $1233k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Exceptional opportunity to own a rare 3-unit property in the heart of Ripon! Currently grossing $5,800 per month! Ideally located with the elementary and high schools directly across the street and within walking distance to downtown Ripon, this versatile property offers strong rental appeal, long-term appreciation, and an ideal setup for owner-occupancy. The property consists of a single-story single-family residence plus a duplex, totaling three units. Unit 1 is a spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering approximately 1,500 square feet of living space. This home features updated luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas, updated ceiling fans, and a remodeled kitchen wit

Key facts

  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Private side yard
  • Private yard space

Tags

SINGLE STORY RESIDENCEREMODELED KITCHENPRIVATE SIDE YARDOVERSIZED DETACHED GARAGEINDOOR LAUNDRYPRIVATE YARD SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $925,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$1,233,409) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 21-bed/12.0-bath multifamily listed at $925k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-344 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $864k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $669k (27.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $669k (27.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.1% in Ripon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#579 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Ripon Unified (suburban): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #106 of 517 in CA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Ripona Elementary (math 24% / reading 36%, grade F, #834 of 1,571 statewide, top 54%, 480 students, 48% FRL); Ripon High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #296 of 1,170 statewide, top 27%, 998 students, 28% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 53% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Ripon Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 3,779 units permitted in San Joaquin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Joaquin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($814k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 37655% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $278k; list at $925k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $668,600 (27.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.85%
Cash-on-cash
-1.59%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,233,409
List price
$925,000
Delta
-25.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.0%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-172,172
Equity at exit
$137,921
10-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-179,643
Equity at exit
$79,977

Cash invested: $259,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95366

Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
32.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,686 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,851
Tax from tax record
$390 /mo · $4,677/yr
Insurance
$385
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,404
Net cashflow
$-344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,121
Max offer price $864,224
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $180 -5% $-82 +0% $-344 +5% $-606 +10% $-868
Rent -10% $-872 -5% $-608 +0% $-344 +5% $-80 +10% $184
Rate -1.0pp $122 -0.5pp $-109 base $-344 +0.5pp $-584 +1.0pp $-828

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3 2 $2,377
Total (3 units) $6,686

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$231,250
Closing costs
$27,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $925,000 Pending 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $925,000 Active 145 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $925,000 Active 144 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $925,000 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $925,000 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $925,000 Active 140 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $925,000 Active 139 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $925,000 Active 136 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $925,000 Active 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $925,000 Active 134 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $925,000 Active 133 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $925,000 Active 132 DOM
  13. 2026-01-05
    historical $2,450
  14. 2025-11-20
    listed $2,450
  15. 2025-04-11
    historical $1,750
  16. 2025-03-19
    listed $1,750
  17. 2022-12-20
    historical
  18. 2001-12-11
    soldstatus $278,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,677 · $390/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,030 · $586/mo
Expected delta
+$2,353/yr (+$196/mo · 50.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$80,232
− Mortgage interest
−$51,814
− Property taxes
−$4,677
− Insurance
−$4,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,419
− Management
−$6,419
− Depreciation
−$26,909
Taxable loss
−$20,631
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,951
After-tax cash flow
$823/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ripon Unified
NCES district ID
0632880
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$75,364
Composite
47.64/100
National rank
#2249
State rank
#106 of 517 in CA

Livability — Ripon

Score
60/100
State rank
#579
US rank
#18838

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ripon, CA
County
San Joaquin County · 729,570 people
City population
18,954
Metro
Stockton, CA
Population (ZIP)
18,954
Household income
$112,097
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
511.0

Population outlook (San Joaquin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
796,965 people
By 2030
828,849 · +4.0%
By 2040
885,611 · +11.1%
By 2050
929,798 · +16.7%
By 2075
994,578 · +24.8%
By 2100
971,291 · +21.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Asian 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Russian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Joaquin

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.9% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -0.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+12.9 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.97%
Current HPI
288.2777
Rent YoY
Metro
Stockton, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-05 Rental Removed $2,450 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-11-20 Listed for Rent $2,450 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-04-11 Rental Removed $1,750 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-03-19 Listed for Rent $1,750 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-12-20 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2001-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $278,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,677 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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