22417 Road 128 · Oakwood, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity is knocking at 22417 Road 128, Oakwood, OH 45873--a 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,808 sq ft and positioned on a nice lot in an excellent rural setting just minutes from SR 66 and a short drive to Defiance. This property is mid-renovation, making it an ideal fit for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build instant equity through customization. With an asking price of $115,000, there is significant upside potential whether you're finishing the project for resale or creating a personalized home. Major value-add: the sale includes materials currently onsite--insulation, wood, drywall, OSB, windows, screws, doors, baseboard units, select plumbing and electrical components, shower/tub kit, cabinets, and enough Monroe Park laminate flooring to complete the entire home. Additional highlights include a metal roof approximately 10 years old, helping reduce one of the larger capital expense concerns. Whether you're looking for your next fix-and-flip or a rare chance to customize a home to your exact vision while gaining equity, this property checks the boxes. Financing options such as rehab loans may also make this a streamlined path to completion.
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Built 1901
- Listed 61 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 1.9% in Oakwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Paulding Exempted Village (town): math 57% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #319 of 656 in OH (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Paulding County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $57k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.62%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,471
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -46.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $16,044
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $52,329
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45873
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,270 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $645/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $468
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $516 | -5% $492 | +0% $468 | +5% $444 | +10% $420 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $368 | -5% $418 | +0% $468 | +5% $519 | +10% $569 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $511 | -0.5pp $490 | base $468 | +0.5pp $446 | +1.0pp $424 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-20$115,000 Active 1178-char remark
Show marketing remark (1178 chars)
Opportunity is knocking at 22417 Road 128, Oakwood, OH 45873--a 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,808 sq ft and positioned on a nice lot in an excellent rural setting just minutes from SR 66 and a short drive to Defiance. This property is mid-renovation, making it an ideal fit for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build instant equity through customization. With an asking price of $115,000, there is significant upside potential whether you're finishing the project for resale or creating a personalized home. Major value-add: the sale includes materials currently onsite--insulation, wood, drywall, OSB, windows, screws, doors, baseboard units, select plumbing and electrical components, shower/tub kit, cabinets, and enough Monroe Park laminate flooring to complete the entire home. Additional highlights include a metal roof approximately 10 years old, helping reduce one of the larger capital expense concerns. Whether you're looking for your next fix-and-flip or a rare chance to customize a home to your exact vision while gaining equity, this property checks the boxes. Financing options such as rehab loans may also make this a streamlined path to completion.
-
2026-04-20$115,000 Active 1178-char remark
Show marketing remark (1178 chars)
Opportunity is knocking at 22417 Road 128, Oakwood, OH 45873--a 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,808 sq ft and positioned on a nice lot in an excellent rural setting just minutes from SR 66 and a short drive to Defiance. This property is mid-renovation, making it an ideal fit for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build instant equity through customization. With an asking price of $115,000, there is significant upside potential whether you're finishing the project for resale or creating a personalized home. Major value-add: the sale includes materials currently onsite--insulation, wood, drywall, OSB, windows, screws, doors, baseboard units, select plumbing and electrical components, shower/tub kit, cabinets, and enough Monroe Park laminate flooring to complete the entire home. Additional highlights include a metal roof approximately 10 years old, helping reduce one of the larger capital expense concerns. Whether you're looking for your next fix-and-flip or a rare chance to customize a home to your exact vision while gaining equity, this property checks the boxes. Financing options such as rehab loans may also make this a streamlined path to completion.
-
2025-10-14price $57,000
-
2024-11-25status Pending
-
2024-11-22soldstatus $57,000 Closed
-
2024-11-22soldstatus $57,000
-
2024-10-30historical Contingent
-
2024-10-28price $62,000
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2024-10-21$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $645 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $985 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$341/yr (+$28/mo · 52.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$645
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,219
- − Management
- −$1,219
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $4,497
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paulding Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904557
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,105
- Composite
- 49.36/100
- National rank
- #2017
- State rank
- #319 of 656 in OH
Livability — Oakwood
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Paulding · 17,531 people
- City population
- 32,301
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,232
- Household income
- $66,771
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,539 people
- By 2030
- 16,627 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 14,716 · -16.1%
- By 2050
- 12,853 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 9,142 · -47.9%
- By 2100
- 6,313 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% English 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Paulding
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.4% · R 77.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.4pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.04%
- Current HPI
- 162.9737
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+64.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $115,000 WCARE
- 2026-04-20 Listed $115,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $57,000 NORIS
- 2024-11-25 Pending — NORIS
- 2024-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-22 Sold (MLS) $57,000 NORIS
- 2024-10-30 Contingent — NORIS
- 2024-10-28 Price Changed $62,000 NORIS
- 2024-10-21 Listed $70,000 NORIS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $645 · +35.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…