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1522 Vernon St
B Composite 73.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

1522 Vernon St · Harrisburg, PA 17104
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1870 871 sqft lot $72/sqft · at area comps Est $122k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Schedule your showing today for this detached home with a completely remodeled kitchen with new counter tops and cabinets, completely remodeled bath with tile shower, and all new windows. The entire house has been painted and new laminate flooring has been installed. The furnace has been serviced and a new hot water heater has been installed as well. Large bedrooms with a large enclosed porch make this property a must see!

Key facts

  • Built 1870
  • Listed 20 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers; Natural gas heat and hot water
  • Home design: Detached structure; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Fiberglass and asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Balcony; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling (electric as cooling fuel); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Dining area; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: In-home laundry hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 6.6% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,350 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
11.84%
Cash-on-cash
19.80%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,374
List price
$110,000
Delta
-10.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1902 Rudy Rd 0.28mi 4/2.0 1,708 (+11%) 5mo $248,000 $145 60
125 N Linden St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,406 (-8%) 6mo $92,000 $65 50
1925 Whitehall St 0.45mi 4/3.0 1,693 (+10%) 13mo $207,000 $122 43
1715 Revere St 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,655 (+8%) 13mo $210,000 $127 38
1912 Holly St 0.28mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,307 (-15%) 21mo $182,320 $139 38
2133 Rudy Rd 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,311 (-15%) 17mo $210,000 $160 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$16,990
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$66,811
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17104

Home prices YoY
-6.3%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,647 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,047/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,004
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
29 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 1.0 1285 $1,895 $1.47 23d 1 0.17mi
337 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,195 $0.83 21d 1 0.17mi
14 S 17th St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 2.0 2136 $1,695 $0.79 14d 1 0.20mi
1610 Hunter St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1776 $1,450 $0.82 23d 1 0.22mi
349 S 14th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1544 $1,450 $0.94 23d 1 0.23mi
1414 Berryhill St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 2.0 1786 $1,700 $0.95 23d 1 0.30mi
1615 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1148 $1,400 $1.22 43d 1 0.33mi
331 Hummel St Unit B Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1590 $1,800 $1.13 43d 1 0.34mi
52 N 18th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 14d 1 0.35mi
1429 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,400 $1.12 23d 1 0.36mi
66 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 2.0 1845 $2,195 $1.19 43d 1 0.38mi
1251 Bailey St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 43d 1 0.40mi
1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1423 $1,995 $1.40 43d 1 0.41mi
1517 Walnut St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,150 $0.98 43d 1 0.41mi
2016 Swatara St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1380 $1,175 $0.85 43d 1 0.43mi
1139 Mulberry St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0 900 $1,185 $1.32 43d 1 0.45mi
21 Summit St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 14d 1 0.46mi
111 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 1.0 1800 $1,850 $1.03 14d 1 0.48mi
52 Balm St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1950 $1,495 $0.77 21d 1 0.48mi
2121 Kensington St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,450 $1.33 43d 1 0.57mi
1728 Paxton St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.5 1320 $1,295 $0.98 14d 1 0.69mi
200 S Court St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 950 $1,800 $1.89 14d 14 0.82mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,600 $1.81 43d 1 0.82mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $3,000 $2.09 14d 10 0.82mi
649 S 23rd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,465 $1.01 43d 1 0.89mi
649 S 23rd St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,465 $1.01 21d 1 0.89mi
919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,795 $1.23 23d 1 1.32mi
1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1706 $1,495 $0.88 43d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-05-09
    listed $110,000 Active 267-char remark
  8. 2026-05-07
    historical $110,000 267-char remark
  9. 2019-10-18
    soldstatus $328,000
  10. 2013-11-08
    soldstatus $27,500 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Schedule your showing today for this detached home with a completely remodeled kitchen with new counter tops and cabinets, completely remodeled bath with tile shower, and all new windows. The entire house has been painted and new laminate flooring has been installed. The furnace has been serviced and a new hot water heater has been installed as well. Large bedrooms with a large enclosed porch make this property a must see!

  11. 2013-10-25
    historical 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Schedule your showing today for this detached home with a completely remodeled kitchen with new counter tops and cabinets, completely remodeled bath with tile shower, and all new windows. The entire house has been painted and new laminate flooring has been installed. The furnace has been serviced and a new hot water heater has been installed as well. Large bedrooms with a large enclosed porch make this property a must see!

  12. 2013-03-30
    listed $39,900 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Schedule your showing today for this detached home with a completely remodeled kitchen with new counter tops and cabinets, completely remodeled bath with tile shower, and all new windows. The entire house has been painted and new laminate flooring has been installed. The furnace has been serviced and a new hot water heater has been installed as well. Large bedrooms with a large enclosed porch make this property a must see!

  13. 1998-06-30
    soldstatus $18,684

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,047 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,047 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,768
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$2,047
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,581
− Management
−$1,581
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$4,647
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,115
After-tax cash flow
$4,983/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,541
Household income
$46,510
Rent vs Own
54.4% rent · 45.6% own
Severe rent burden
1166.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% Hispanic / Latino 29% White 19% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Polish 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.83%
Current HPI
340.2808
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+488.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Coming Soon $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $328,000 Public Records
  • 2013-11-08 Sold (MLS) $27,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-10-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-03-30 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $18,684 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,047 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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