1309 N Main St · Independence, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special. Turn-key package of 10 rental units (9 properties) priced at $169,000 or $16,900 per unit. Rental portfolio generates estimated $37,000/year in net income and is priced at a very competitive 22.16 % cap rate. Cash on cash return could exceed 60% based on a 25% down payment and a 20-year amortization loan. See supplements for list of other properties and breakdown of valuations and pro-formas. Please contact listing agent to setup viewings.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Fenced yard
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 951 (public records); Property age: 101 years or more
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Bungalow floor plan; Facing/entry level: first floor
- Construction: Wood siding and other exterior materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Privacy and other fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower-over-tub (first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Country kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.58%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,223
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -51.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 E 3rd Dr S | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 975 (+2%) | 1mo | $209,900 | $215 | 78 |
| 910 N Lynn St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-2%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $171 | 75 |
| 1716 N High St | 0.50mi | 2/1.5 | 957 (+1%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $166 | 72 |
| 1531 N Liberty St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 976 (+3%) | 12mo | $169,700 | $174 | 70 |
| 500 E 3rd Dr S | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 925 (-3%) | 8mo | $168,000 | $182 | 64 |
| 723 N Spring St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 970 (+2%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $144 | 64 |
| 1503 N Mccoy St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 928 (-2%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $167 | 62 |
| 812 N Union St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 986 (+4%) | 5mo | $164,000 | $166 | 60 |
| 1608 N Liberty St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,064 (+12%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $207 | 56 |
| 1615 N High St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-9%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $174 | 53 |
| 738 E College St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+6%) | 13mo | $189,999 | $188 | 43 |
| 1227 Dickinson Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,079 (+14%) | 4mo | $149,000 | $138 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $10,061
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $41,113
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64050
- Home prices YoY
- -15.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,151 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $392 | -5% $369 | +0% $346 | +5% $324 | +10% $301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $255 | -5% $301 | +0% $346 | +5% $392 | +10% $437 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $387 | -0.5pp $367 | base $346 | +0.5pp $326 | +1.0pp $305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1100 N Noland Rd Apt D Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,025 | $1.28 | 8d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1207 N McCoy St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,295 | $1.33 | 8d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1612 N Dodgion Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,345 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1214 N Union St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $975 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1714 N Pearl St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,195 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 630 N Hocker Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,325 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 902 E Frederick St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 523 W Maple Ave Unit 1A Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $945 | $1.16 | 8d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 523 W Maple Ave Unit 2 A Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $995 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2405 N River Blvd Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,095 | $1.32 | 8d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1314 E Frederick St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2522 N River Blvd Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,495 | $1.64 | 5d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 511 S Osage St Independence, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 629 | $850 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 11601 E US Highway 24 Apt DA Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 315 S Crane St Unit c Independence, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $625 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 530 Sundown Dr Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,029 | $2.29 | 2d | 13 | 1.45mi |
| 3407 N Pleasant St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 905 | $1,400 | $1.55 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $79,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$89,900 Active 640-char remark
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2026-02-17status Pending
-
2026-02-17historical
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2026-02-09status Active
-
2026-02-03status Pending
-
2026-01-20$99,900 Active
-
2024-10-25historical $1,195
-
2024-09-10price $1,195
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2024-09-07$1,245
-
2015-11-09historical
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Investor Special. Turn-key package of 10 rental units (9 properties) priced at $169,000 or $16,900 per unit. Rental portfolio generates estimated $37,000/year in net income and is priced at a very competitive 22.16 % cap rate. Cash on cash return could exceed 60% based on a 25% down payment and a 20-year amortization loan. See supplements for list of other properties and breakdown of valuations and pro-formas. Please contact listing agent to setup viewings.
-
2015-10-19$22,495
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Investor Special. Turn-key package of 10 rental units (9 properties) priced at $169,000 or $16,900 per unit. Rental portfolio generates estimated $37,000/year in net income and is priced at a very competitive 22.16 % cap rate. Cash on cash return could exceed 60% based on a 25% down payment and a 20-year amortization loan. See supplements for list of other properties and breakdown of valuations and pro-formas. Please contact listing agent to setup viewings.
-
2005-10-31soldstatus
-
2005-10-25soldstatus
-
2005-09-23$27,000
-
1982-02-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,329
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,105
- − Management
- −$1,105
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,075
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$738
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Independence 30
- NCES district ID
- 2915480
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,843
- Composite
- 27.04/100
- National rank
- #7054
- State rank
- #252 of 324 in MO
Livability — Independence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #1296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Independence, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 117,675
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,079
- Household income
- $48,834
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 972.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.24%
- Current HPI
- 305.796
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+195.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $79,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listed $89,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-17 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-03 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-20 Listed $99,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-25 Rental Removed $1,195 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $1,195 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-09-07 Listed for Rent $1,245 SHOWMOJO
- 2015-11-09 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-19 Listed $22,495 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-10-25 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-23 Listed $27,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1982-02-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,329 · -5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…