707-709 Wolf Trl · Columbia, MO
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$379,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Each unit offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a 1-car garage, creating a duplex that combines space, flexibility and income. With over 1,800 sq ft per unit plus unfinished lower-level space, the layouts feature multiple living areas, oversized bathrooms, large walk-in closets, and private garages-appealing to both tenants and owner-occupants. Unit 707 will be vacant June 1, providing an opportunity for owner-occupancy or to secure market rents, while the occupied unit delivers immediate income. Ideal for house hacking, investing, or multigenerational living, this property offers versatility and long-term value.
Key facts
- Built 1996
- Listed 19 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $50 fee
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s)
- Utilities: Natural gas available
- Home design: Duplex (residential income property)
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 76.86 × 106.58; Zoned R-2 for two-family dwellings
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Disposal; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Walk-out basement access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3.0-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $379k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($371/yr) — positive. Per door: $15/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $321k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $321k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in MO, #862 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Columbia 93 (urban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Shepard Blvd. Elem. (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 516 students, 63% FRL); Oakland Middle School (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #342 of 391 statewide, top 88%, 544 students, 59% FRL); Muriel W. Battle High School (math 7% / reading 47%, grade F, #420 of 521 statewide, top 82%, 1,581 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 35% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,214/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 4323% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.98%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-42,478
- Equity at exit
- $56,510
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $42,776
- Equity at exit
- $32,769
Cash invested: $106,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65201
- Rents YoY
- 10.3%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 19.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,214 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,988
- Tax from tax record
- −$257 /mo · $3,086/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$675
- Net cashflow
- $31
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $245 | -5% $138 | +0% $31 | +5% $-76 | +10% $-184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-223 | -5% $-96 | +0% $31 | +5% $158 | +10% $285 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $222 | -0.5pp $127 | base $31 | +0.5pp $-67 | +1.0pp $-167 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3.0 | 2.5 | $3,214 |
| #1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | $1,607 |
| #2 | 3.0 | 2.5 | $1,607 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,214 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,750
- Closing costs
- $11,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-16status Active
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-14status Active
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-15$379,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,086 · $257/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,676 · $306/mo
- Expected delta
- +$591/yr (+$49/mo · 19.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,568
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,230
- − Property taxes
- −$3,086
- − Insurance
- −$2,562
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,085
- − Management
- −$3,085
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$11,025
- Taxable loss
- −$6,105
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,465
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia 93
- NCES district ID
- 2901000
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,547
- Composite
- 31.21/100
- National rank
- #6036
- State rank
- #194 of 324 in MO
Livability — Columbia
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #862
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbia, MO
- County
- Boone County · 158,877 people
- City population
- 158,877
- Metro
- Columbia, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,011
- Household income
- $48,113
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4323.0
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,891 people
- By 2030
- 217,799 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 246,789 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 276,116 · +36.1%
- By 2075
- 348,426 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 400,856 · +97.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.9% · R 44.1% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+12.5 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -170.32%
- Current HPI
- 195.2059
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.33%
- Metro
- Columbia, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — CBORMLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — CBORMLS
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — CBORMLS
- 2026-04-26 Pending — CBORMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $379,000 CBORMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,086 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…