7147 Route 9 · Plattsburgh, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home could be renovated for residential or has potential as commercial. 2 car attached garage. Close to I-87 and the Ferry to Vermont. Town variance for residential has expired and would be renewed by new owners for residential use.
Key facts
- Close to i-87
- The ferry to vermont
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $917 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.2% vs local median 2.8% in Plattsburgh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#262 in NY, #4,134 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Beekmantown Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #360 of 590 in NY (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 606 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $69k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 606 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.97%
- DSCR
- 3.53
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $314,199
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -78.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $47,270
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 60.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.03×
- Total profit
- $116,522
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12901
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,779 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,173/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $917
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 606 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 605 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 604 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 603 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 601 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,000 Active 600 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 597 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 596 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 595 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 594 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,000 Active 591 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 590 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 589 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 588 DOM
-
2026-01-27status Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This home could be renovated for residential or has potential as commercial. 2 car attached garage. Close to I-87 and the Ferry to Vermont. Town variance for residential has expired and would be renewed by new owners for residential use.
-
2026-01-01historical 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This home could be renovated for residential or has potential as commercial. 2 car attached garage. Close to I-87 and the Ferry to Vermont. Town variance for residential has expired and would be renewed by new owners for residential use.
-
2024-10-23price $69,000 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This home could be renovated for residential or has potential as commercial. 2 car attached garage. Close to I-87 and the Ferry to Vermont. Town variance for residential has expired and would be renewed by new owners for residential use.
-
2024-09-24$79,000 Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This home could be renovated for residential or has potential as commercial. 2 car attached garage. Close to I-87 and the Ferry to Vermont. Town variance for residential has expired and would be renewed by new owners for residential use.
-
2018-12-10soldstatus $36,000
-
2018-12-04soldstatus $36,000 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Older home which can be renovated to a single family home or removed to create a commercial building lot. Has been used as a two family in the past and could possible be suitable as such.
-
2018-08-07$59,900 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Older home which can be renovated to a single family home or removed to create a commercial building lot. Has been used as a two family in the past and could possible be suitable as such.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,173 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,173 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,350
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,173
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,708
- − Management
- −$1,708
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $10,544
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,531
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,476/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beekmantown Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3604290
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 18.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,577
- Composite
- 43.91/100
- National rank
- #2914
- State rank
- #360 of 590 in NY
Livability — Plattsburgh
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #4134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,012
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,791 people
- By 2030
- 76,848 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 71,579 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 66,471 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 57,361 · -27.2%
- By 2100
- 47,232 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.55%
- Current HPI
- 252.8692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+15.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Relisted — ACVMLS
- 2026-01-01 Delisted — ACVMLS
- 2024-10-23 Price Changed $69,000 ACVMLS
- 2024-09-24 Listed $79,000 ACVMLS
- 2018-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 2018-12-04 Sold (MLS) $36,000 ACVMLS
- 2018-08-07 Listed $59,900 ACVMLS
Property tax history
-7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,173 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…