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251 W Iowa Ave
B+ Composite 77.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$82,000

251 W Iowa Ave · Whitwell, TN 37397
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1985 0.63 ac lot Est $140k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Have you considered a move to the countryside? Check out this cute three bedroom, one bathroom home on . 63 acres! Lovely surroundings and set off the road for extra privacy. Home needs some work. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold ''AS-IS'' without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding.

Key facts

  • 0.63 acre lot
  • Built 1985
  • Listed 24 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as residential single-family residence; Lot approximately 0.63 acres (approx. dimensions 160 x 172 irr)
  • Financial info: Tax information not included (tax amount excluded)
  • HOA & community: Subdivision: Rolling Hills

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking (details not specified)
  • Security: Not specified
  • Utilities: Public water available; Sewer available (septic tank)
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; Built year not specified
  • Exterior features: No additional exterior features listed; Composition/Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Not specified
  • Flooring: Not specified
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating (type not specified); Has cooling (type not specified)
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($967 rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.9% in Whitwell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#346 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Marion County (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #89 of 139 in TN (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Whitwell Elementary (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #191 of 952 statewide, top 22%, 492 students, 0% FRL); Whitwell Middle School (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #187 of 333 statewide, top 58%, 308 students, 0% FRL); Whitwell High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #163 of 332 statewide, top 51%, 343 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 225 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($567 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,770 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
10.23%
Cash-on-cash
14.07%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,148
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
426 S Elm St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+14%) 16mo $159,000 $153 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$35,238
Equity at exit
$45,639
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
5.01×
Total profit
$92,035
Equity at exit
$78,090

Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37397

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$967 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$430
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $366/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$269

Break-even live

Break-even rent $626
Max offer price $82,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,500
Closing costs
$2,460
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $82,000 Pending 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $82,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $82,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $82,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $82,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $82,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $82,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $82,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $82,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $82,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $82,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $82,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    listed $82,000 Active
  16. 2026-04-02
    price $82,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$366 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$582 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$216/yr (+$18/mo · 59.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,604
− Mortgage interest
−$4,593
− Property taxes
−$366
− Insurance
−$410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$928
− Management
−$928
− Depreciation
−$2,385
Taxable income
$1,992
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$478
After-tax cash flow
$2,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion County
NCES district ID
4702640
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$41,941
Composite
20.88/100
National rank
#8494
State rank
#89 of 139 in TN

Livability — Whitwell

Score
56/100
State rank
#346
US rank
#22851

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Whitwell, TN
City population
10,044
Population (ZIP)
10,044

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,889 people
By 2030
28,915 · +0.1%
By 2040
28,662 · -0.8%
By 2050
28,053 · -2.9%
By 2075
26,855 · -7.0%
By 2100
24,404 · -15.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -55.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.83%
Current HPI
307.3072
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $82,000 GCAR
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $82,000 GCAR

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $366 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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