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12044 Royal Rd #121
B- Composite 68.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,000

12044 Royal Rd #121 · Winter Gardens, CA 92021
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured public records · 102 Days on market
Built 2003 7.75 ac lot Est $206k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Gas stove
  • Recessed lighting
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

CORNER LOTOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTRECESSED LIGHTINGSKYLIGHTSCOZY FIREPLACEGAS STOVE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot features listed as 0-1 Unit/Acre
  • HOA & community: Land lease in place; Monthly land lease: $1,560; Park name: Westward Ho Manor

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 carport spaces; Located in Westward Ho Manor park
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Mobile home remains on site; Single-story; Entry at front
  • Construction: Mobile home dimensions approximately 10' x 56'; Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Street lighting; Storm drains; Sidewalks; Park; Has a view

Interior

  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms located on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless cooling
  • Interior features: All bedrooms on the main level; Front entry; One-level home; Ductless cooling
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Has laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $994 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 2.7% in Winter Gardens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#515 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A-, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Lakeside Union Elementary (suburban): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #480 of 1,400 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,845/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 4178% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,550 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
12.11%
Cash-on-cash
20.78%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12044 Royal Rd #63 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,000 (-11%) 5mo $257,321 $257 78
1351 Pepper Dr #18 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,140 (+2%) 3mo $184,000 $161 72
1351 Pepper Dr Spc 62 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,056 (-6%) 2mo $226,900 $215 66
1351 Pepper Dr #26 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (+7%) 10mo $160,000 $133 58
12250 Vista Del Cajon Rd Spc 25 0.36mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,275 (+14%) 1mo $235,000 $184 55
1315 Pepper Dr #72 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,220 (+9%) 10mo $194,000 $159 54
12250 Vista Del Cajon Rd Spc 45 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+11%) 14mo $183,000 $147 53
12250 Vista Del Cajon Rd #17 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+11%) 14mo $275,000 $220 51
1315 Pepper Dr Spc 35 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+11%) 17mo $290,000 $232 47
8661 Winter Gardens Blvd #58 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,080 (-4%) 12mo $265,000 $245 46
1120 Pepper Dr Spc 5 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (+7%) 18mo $140,000 $117 43
1120 Pepper Dr #101 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (-14%) 11mo $139,000 $145 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$21,697
Equity at exit
$30,566
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$67,959
Equity at exit
$17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92021

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,845 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,121/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$598
Net cashflow
$994

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,587
Max offer price $205,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8031 Winter Gardens Blvd El Cajon, CA 3.0 2.0 1124 $2,995 $2.66 2d 1 0.09mi
8424 Pueblo Rd Unit 8424 Lakeside, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,750 $2.75 2d 1 0.36mi
12171 Winter Gardens Dr Lakeside, CA 2.0 1.0 862 $2,500 $2.90 2d 1 0.43mi
1221 Oro St El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.5 1020 $2,575 $2.52 2d 1 0.95mi
1696 Buckeye Dr El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.0 942 $2,900 $3.08 2d 1 1.03mi
2000 E Main St El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.5–2.5 1165 $3,300 $2.83 2d 1 1.04mi
1430 Diamond Ln El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 863 $2,695 $3.12 2d 1 1.06mi
1314 5 D Dr Unit 1318 El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.0 960 $2,600 $2.71 24d 1 1.11mi
1365 Broadway El Cajon, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,478 $3.48 2d 1 1.15mi
745 E Bradley Ave Unit 46 El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.0 806 $2,298 $2.85 24d 1 1.19mi
1219 Denver Ln Unit 1465013P El Cajon, CA 3.0 2.5 1194 $8,558 $7.17 21d 1 1.27mi
816 Oro St El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.0 1235 $3,400 $2.75 2d 1 1.35mi
1294 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $2,128 $2.84 2d 8 1.37mi
425 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 771 $2,350 $3.05 2d 13 1.37mi
360 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA 3.0 2.0 1116 $2,934 $2.63 2d 3 1.39mi
1171 Marline Ave Unit 1171-A El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.5 1141 $3,100 $2.72 2d 1 1.42mi
1050 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 2.0 850 $3,460 $4.07 5d 1 1.43mi
1038 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.5 850 $1,978 $2.33 2d 4 1.45mi
1005 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,195 $2.93 2d 1 1.47mi
310 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 664 $2,050 $3.09 2d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $205,000 Active 102 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $205,000 Active 101 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $205,000 Active 100 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $205,000 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $205,000 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,000 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $205,000 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $205,000 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $205,000 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,000 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $205,000 Active 85 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,000 Active 84 DOM
  14. 2026-03-08
    listed $205,000 Active
  15. 2026-01-18
    historical
  16. 2025-06-18
    listed $205,000 Active
  17. 2025-06-18
    historical
  18. 2023-03-30
    soldstatus $180,000 Closed Sale 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2023-01-31
    status Pending Sale 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

  20. 2022-12-20
    price $160,000 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

  21. 2022-12-01
    status Active 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

  22. 2022-11-28
    status Pending Sale 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

  23. 2022-11-13
    price $169,999 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

  24. 2022-09-30
    status Active 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

  25. 2022-09-28
    historical 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

  26. 2022-09-23
    listed $175,000 Active 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

  27. 2022-09-13
    historical $175,000 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    CORNER UNIT, OPEN CONCEPT mobile home in ALL AGE Westwood Ho Manor AWAITS ITS NEW OWNER!! Step into this open concept home with BRAND NEW FLOORING and a spacious living area complete with cozy fireplace Close to freeway, shops and schools. The kitchen has a gas stove and plenty of cabinet and counter space for the chef in the family. The three bedrooms are all spacious and offer storage/closet space. The home gets plenty of natural lighting, thanks to the skylights throughout. But wait. . there's more! The master is very spacious and has a walk in closet and a fabulous master bathroom with both stall shower and soak-in tub!! A/C, New baseboards, neutral paint and canned lighting throughout! Community is family friendly and offers community center and pool/spa! Schedule your showing today!

  28. 2012-09-21
    historical
  29. 2012-08-21
    price $30,000
  30. 2012-08-14
    price $37,500
  31. 2012-06-12
    listed $40,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,121 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,558 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$437/yr (+$36/mo · 39.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,146
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$1,121
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,732
− Management
−$2,732
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable income
$9,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,182
After-tax cash flow
$9,747/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakeside Union Elementary
NCES district ID
0620790
Math proficiency
41% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$65,574
Composite
43.51/100
National rank
#6453
State rank
#480 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Winter Gardens

Score
61/100
State rank
#515
US rank
#17448

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A- Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Winter Gardens, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
70,501
Household income
$74,013
Rent vs Own
46.2% rent · 53.8% own
Severe rent burden
4178.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Asian 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Arab 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 7% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -654.88%
Current HPI
335.0617
Rent YoY
▼ -0.83%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+412.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $205,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-18 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $205,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Coming Soon CRMLS
  • 2023-03-30 Sold (MLS) $180,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-01-31 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-12-20 Price Changed $160,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-12-01 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2022-11-28 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-11-13 Price Changed $169,999 CRMLS
  • 2022-09-30 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2022-09-28 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2022-09-23 Listed $175,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-09-13 Coming Soon $175,000 CRMLS
  • 2012-09-21 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2012-08-21 Price Changed $30,000 SDMLS
  • 2012-08-14 Price Changed $37,500 SDMLS
  • 2012-06-12 Listed $40,000 SDMLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2014): $1,121 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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