🏷️ Likely Rental
50 Jfk Blvd · Millville, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New Construction of Manufactured Home. New Colony model with 3 bedrooms 2 full baths. Utility room has washer and dryer hook up. Do not delay! Lot rent will be $615 per month. New residents will also be responsible for the water bill - $12 per month. Residents must be park approved and an application is available at the park office. Credit score must be at least 640. Pets are permitted with some restrictions.
Key facts
- Built 2025
- Listed 299 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.2% in Millville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#431 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Millville School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #447 of 472 in NJ (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.51%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $234,240
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Madison Pl | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (0%) | 7mo | $168,000 | $131 | 84 |
| 2 Eisenhower Blvd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+14%) | 9mo | $146,500 | $101 | 63 |
| 318 W Race St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-4%) | 8mo | $265,000 | $215 | 60 |
| 35 Cedar St | 0.53mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,304 (+2%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $130 | 58 |
| 6 Fairfield Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,335 (+4%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $236 | 57 |
| 815 S 2nd St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (-4%) | 8mo | $226,000 | $184 | 54 |
| 309 S 2nd St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,406 (+10%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $135 | 50 |
| 17 Hillside Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,380 (+8%) | 8mo | $300,000 | $217 | 50 |
| 833 2nd St S | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,224 (-4%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $188 | 47 |
| 301 Howard St | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,420 (+11%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $183 | 43 |
| 10 N Park Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,172 (-8%) | 8mo | $199,900 | $171 | 39 |
| 216 S 3rd St | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,437 (+12%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $97 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-18,452
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-8,320
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08332
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 296
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,764 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $184
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $305 | -5% $245 | +0% $184 | +5% $124 | +10% $63 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $45 | -5% $115 | +0% $184 | +5% $254 | +10% $324 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $272 | -0.5pp $229 | base $184 | +0.5pp $139 | +1.0pp $93 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 W Main St Unit B Millville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1384 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 313 W Main St Millville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1265 | $1,650 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $175,000 Active 300 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 299 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 298 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 297 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 296 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 294 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 293 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 291 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 290 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 289 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 282 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 281 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 280 DOM
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2025-08-23$175,000 Active 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
New Construction of Manufactured Home. New Colony model with 3 bedrooms 2 full baths. Utility room has washer and dryer hook up. Do not delay! Lot rent will be $615 per month. New residents will also be responsible for the water bill - $12 per month. Residents must be park approved and an application is available at the park office. Credit score must be at least 640. Pets are permitted with some restrictions.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,171
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,694
- − Management
- −$1,694
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$610
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$146
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This new construction manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a good return on investment with potential for value increases through minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting and updating the interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more appealing to potential buyers.
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can add value and attract more buyers.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting and updating the interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can add value and attract more buyers. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millville School District
- NCES district ID
- 3410320
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,851
- Composite
- 15.23/100
- National rank
- #9338
- State rank
- #447 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Millville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #431
- US rank
- #15561
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Millville, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,228
- Household income
- $67,496
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1761.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.45%
- Current HPI
- 274.8011
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.94%
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-08-23 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…