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5505 S Grove St #119
B- Composite 69.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

5505 S Grove St #119 · Rocklin, CA 95677
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 149 Days on market
Built 1967 $129/sqft · 5% above area Est $147k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your dream home! Fantastic double-wide in 55+ Rocklin Estates Mobile Home Park. This beautifully re-done and lovingly maintained 2-bedroom, 2- bathroom home has been completely updated and upgraded throughout over the past 5 years with tasteful luxury. The kitchen offers quartz countertops, a single large, extra deep gray stone sink, and stainless-steel appliances. Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring runs throughout the home. Oversize Master Suite with large closet and tastefully re-done bathroom with quartz countertops and step-in shower with fiberglass shower pan. Second bathroom offers a soaking tub, and quartz countertops. Large sunroom at entrance to home and off of living area. Mos

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Soaking tub
  • Updated and upgraded

Tags

UPDATED AND UPGRADEDQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCESLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGOVERSIZE MASTER SUITESOAKING TUB

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $747 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 2.7% in Rocklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#136 in CA, #4,755 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Rocklin Unified (suburban): math 44% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #96 of 517 in CA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.07%
Cash-on-cash
20.65%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,229
List price
$155,000
Delta
5.28%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4140 Lakeside Dr 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+4%) 1mo $55,000 $44 88
5505 South Grv #60 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-4%) 12mo $125,000 $109 84
4212 Rockwood St 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,141 (-5%) 0mo $158,600 $139 82
5505 S Grove St #113 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,164 (-3%) 15mo $112,000 $96 77
4267 Fernwood St 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+4%) 6mo $130,000 $104 76
4288 Fernwood St #48 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-4%) 15mo $65,000 $56 69
5505 S Grove St #88 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,314 (+10%) 13mo $90,000 $68 69
5505 S Grove St #15 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,293 (+8%) 20mo $169,000 $131 66
4264 Fernwood St #54 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+8%) 8mo $100,000 $77 63
5505 S Grove St #51 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,380 (+15%) 10mo $135,000 $98 62
4311 Oakwood St 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,296 (+8%) 16mo $115,000 $89 59
4319 Oakwood St 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,368 (+14%) 10mo $151,000 $110 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$22,321
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$80,161
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95677

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
159
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,301 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax est. 1.5%
$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$747

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,356
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5415 S Grove St Rocklin, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 765 $2,100 $2.75 1d 6 0.08mi
5800 Woodside Dr Rocklin, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $2,239 $2.63 3d 4 0.42mi
4769 Racetrack Cir Rocklin, CA 3.0 2.0 1148 $2,950 $2.57 43d 1 0.63mi
6250 Westwood Dr Rocklin, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,995 $2.41 23d 1 1.01mi
6260 Westwood Dr Rocklin, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,995 $2.41 22d 1 1.02mi
6260 Westwood Dr Rocklin, CA 2.0 1.0 828 $1,995 $2.41 12d 1 1.02mi
3041 Twin Creeks Ln Rocklin, CA 3.0 2.0 986 $2,695 $2.73 23d 1 1.27mi
5902 Springview Dr Rocklin, CA 2.0 2.0 840 $2,099 $2.50 14d 1 1.28mi
5902 Springview Dr Rocklin, CA 2.0 2.0 840 $2,199 $2.62 23d 1 1.28mi
5051 El Don Dr Rocklin, CA 2.0 2.0 1125 $2,270 $2.02 1d 7 1.31mi
1501 Cobble Creek Cir Rocklin, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 881 $2,300 $2.61 1d 7 1.32mi
5953 Springview Dr Rocklin, CA 2.0 1.5–2.0 840 $2,083 $2.48 3d 6 1.35mi
6115 Brookside Cir Rocklin, CA 3.0 3.0 1150 $2,814 $2.45 23d 1 1.42mi
6115 Brookside Cir Rocklin, CA 3.0 3.0 1150 $2,783 $2.42 2d 1 1.42mi
6115 Brookside Cir Rocklin, CA 2.0 3.0 1102 $2,706 $2.46 4d 1 1.42mi
5180 Rocklin Rd Rocklin, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 857 $2,552 $2.98 1d 9 1.44mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 135 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 134 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 133 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 132 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 32 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,615
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,325
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,209
− Management
−$2,209
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$6,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,657
After-tax cash flow
$7,305/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rocklin Unified
NCES district ID
0600013
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$82,858
Composite
49.58/100
National rank
#1984
State rank
#96 of 517 in CA

Livability — Rocklin

Score
74/100
State rank
#136
US rank
#4755

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rocklin, CA
County
Placer County · 390,510 people
City population
73,077
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
29,206
Household income
$105,713
Rent vs Own
33.7% rent · 66.3% own
Severe rent burden
1107.0

Population outlook (Placer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
422,709 people
By 2030
444,249 · +5.1%
By 2040
480,192 · +13.6%
By 2050
506,390 · +19.8%
By 2075
550,219 · +30.2%
By 2100
547,760 · +29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 15% Asian 7% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Placer

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.3% · R 52.8% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: -11.3pp · 2024: -8.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.7 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+11.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -443.08%
Current HPI
278.1359
Rent YoY
▲ 2.93%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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