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8858 67th Way N
C+ Composite 60.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

8858 67th Way N · Pinellas Park, FL 33782
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,609 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1960 6,421 sqft lot Est $405k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * INCREDIBLE OPPORTUNITY * * This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the heart of Pinellas Park delivers space where it counts. This solid block construction home boasts a large and functional layout, well-suited for those needing room for work, family, or hobbies. The enclosed area next to the screened rear patio provides a convenient spot for your washer and dryer, keeping laundry days easy and organized. Outside, you’ll find two free-standing storage buildings, ideal for tools and extra storage. This home is fantastic for those focused on affordability and square footage with the chance to build equity. * * GREAT LOCATION * * Just 5 minutes from a massive park comple

Key facts

  • Horse trail
  • Screened rear patio
  • Walking trail

Tags

SOLID BLOCK CONSTRUCTIONENCLOSED AREASCREENED REAR PATIOMASSIVE PARK COMPLEXHORSE TRAILWALKING TRAIL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfurnished; No home warranty; No lease restrictions indicated
  • HOA & community: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; East-facing
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Built-up/other roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1 story
  • Exterior features: Covered rear porch; Screened porch; Patio/porch; Storage structure on property; Level, paved lot; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 107

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; French doors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry room located inside; Inside utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
  • Recommended offer: $223k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.0% in Pinellas Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in FL, #2,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Cross Bayou Elementary School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 356 students, 64% FRL); Dixie M. Hollins High School (math 30% / reading 40%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 1,822 students, 56% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.3%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,654/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 486% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $245k implies a 206% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $222,950 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.96%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$405,468
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9191 64th Way N 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,614 (+0%) 12mo $405,000 $251 62
6894 82nd Ave N 0.46mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,682 (+4%) 13mo $420,000 $250 53
9766 65th Way N 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,740 (+8%) 2mo $520,000 $299 52
6940 82nd Ave N 0.48mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,485 (-8%) 11mo $308,000 $207 49
9090 64th Way N 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,489 (-8%) 16mo $375,000 $252 48
6948 80th Ter N 0.57mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,661 (+3%) 19mo $489,000 $294 44
6890 80th Ave N 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,394 (-13%) 3mo $389,000 $279 42
9790 66th St N #400 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,448 (-10%) 14mo $247,000 $171 37
8748 Laurel Dr N 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,807 (+12%) 16mo $699,000 $387 35
9790 66th St N #231 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (-13%) 16mo $239,900 $171 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-25,684
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-24,140
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33782

Rents YoY
-5.3%
Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,654 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$369 /mo · $4,423/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$557
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,222
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6980 82nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 4.0 2.5 1250 $2,500 $2.00 24d 1 0.54mi
8133 65th Way N Pinellas Park, FL 4.0 2.0 1520 $2,600 $1.71 4d 1 0.58mi
8330 63rd Way N Pinellas Park, FL 4.0 2.0 1354 $2,475 $1.83 4d 1 0.61mi
6216 102nd Ter N Unit 1044688P Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 2.0 2109 $3,425 $1.62 17d 1 1.05mi
5865 92nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 2.0 1062 $2,400 $2.26 18d 1 1.11mi
8040 Canterbury Cir Seminole, FL 3.0 2.0 2100 $3,200 $1.52 24d 1 1.18mi
7075 65th Way N Pinellas Park, FL 4.0 2.0 1586 $2,500 $1.58 8d 1 1.19mi
8775 58th St N Pinellas Park, FL 4.0 1.5 1134 $1,875 $1.65 2d 1 1.22mi
5691 92nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 2.0 1152 $2,300 $2.00 4d 1 1.27mi
5561 90th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 2.0 1379 $2,385 $1.73 4d 1 1.37mi
5641 94th Ter N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 2.0 1066 $2,200 $2.06 8d 1 1.37mi
5577 89th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 1.0 1340 $2,170 $1.62 4d 1 1.38mi
5660 81st Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 4.0 1.0 1300 $2,295 $1.77 4d 1 1.38mi
6045 71st Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $3,150 $2.62 4d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $245,000 Pending 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 102 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $245,000 Active 101 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $255,000 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $255,000 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $255,000 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $255,000 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-05-05
    price $255,000
  10. 2026-04-03
    price $265,000
  11. 2026-02-26
    listed $275,000 Active
  12. 1999-11-05
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,423 · $369/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,423 · $369/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,844
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$4,423
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,548
− Management
−$2,548
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable income
$250
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$60
After-tax cash flow
$4,031/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pinellas Park

Score
78/100
State rank
#170
US rank
#2546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pinellas Park, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
50,533
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,461
Household income
$66,461
Rent vs Own
25.6% rent · 74.4% own
Severe rent burden
486.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 12% Two or more races 8% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 7% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -250.17%
Current HPI
314.1689
Rent YoY
▼ -5.28%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+218.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $255,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $265,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,423 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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