8858 67th Way N · Pinellas Park, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * INCREDIBLE OPPORTUNITY * * This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the heart of Pinellas Park delivers space where it counts. This solid block construction home boasts a large and functional layout, well-suited for those needing room for work, family, or hobbies. The enclosed area next to the screened rear patio provides a convenient spot for your washer and dryer, keeping laundry days easy and organized. Outside, you’ll find two free-standing storage buildings, ideal for tools and extra storage. This home is fantastic for those focused on affordability and square footage with the chance to build equity. * * GREAT LOCATION * * Just 5 minutes from a massive park comple
Key facts
- Horse trail
- Screened rear patio
- Walking trail
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished; No home warranty; No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; East-facing
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Built-up/other roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1 story
- Exterior features: Covered rear porch; Screened porch; Patio/porch; Storage structure on property; Level, paved lot; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 107
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; French doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry room located inside; Inside utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
- Recommended offer: $223k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.0% in Pinellas Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in FL, #2,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cross Bayou Elementary School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 356 students, 64% FRL); Dixie M. Hollins High School (math 30% / reading 40%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 1,822 students, 56% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.3%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,654/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 486% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $245k implies a 206% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.96%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $405,468
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9191 64th Way N | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,614 (+0%) | 12mo | $405,000 | $251 | 62 |
| 6894 82nd Ave N | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,682 (+4%) | 13mo | $420,000 | $250 | 53 |
| 9766 65th Way N | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (+8%) | 2mo | $520,000 | $299 | 52 |
| 6940 82nd Ave N | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,485 (-8%) | 11mo | $308,000 | $207 | 49 |
| 9090 64th Way N | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,489 (-8%) | 16mo | $375,000 | $252 | 48 |
| 6948 80th Ter N | 0.57mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,661 (+3%) | 19mo | $489,000 | $294 | 44 |
| 6890 80th Ave N | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,394 (-13%) | 3mo | $389,000 | $279 | 42 |
| 9790 66th St N #400 | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,448 (-10%) | 14mo | $247,000 | $171 | 37 |
| 8748 Laurel Dr N | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,807 (+12%) | 16mo | $699,000 | $387 | 35 |
| 9790 66th St N #231 | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-13%) | 16mo | $239,900 | $171 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-25,684
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-24,140
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33782
- Rents YoY
- -5.3%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,654 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$369 /mo · $4,423/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$557
- Net cashflow
- $341
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6980 82nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 8133 65th Way N Pinellas Park, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $2,600 | $1.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8330 63rd Way N Pinellas Park, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $2,475 | $1.83 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 6216 102nd Ter N Unit 1044688P Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2109 | $3,425 | $1.62 | 17d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5865 92nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 18d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8040 Canterbury Cir Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $3,200 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7075 65th Way N Pinellas Park, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $2,500 | $1.58 | 8d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8775 58th St N Pinellas Park, FL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,875 | $1.65 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5691 92nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,300 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5561 90th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $2,385 | $1.73 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5641 94th Ter N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $2,200 | $2.06 | 8d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5577 89th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $2,170 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5660 81st Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,295 | $1.77 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 6045 71st Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,150 | $2.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $245,000 Pending 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $245,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $255,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $255,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $255,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $255,000
-
2026-04-03price $265,000
-
2026-02-26$275,000 Active
-
1999-11-05soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,423 · $369/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,423 · $369/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$4,423
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,548
- − Management
- −$2,548
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable income
- $250
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$60
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,031/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pinellas Park
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #2546
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pinellas Park, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 50,533
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,461
- Household income
- $66,461
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 486.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 12% Two or more races 8% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 7% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.17%
- Current HPI
- 314.1689
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.28%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+218.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $255,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $265,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,423 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…